Aston Villa vs Sunderland Previsione

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

21 Nov 2026, 15:00

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Sunderland

Away

Villa Park, Birmingham

Previsione AI Vittoria Aston Villa

80%

17%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Aston Villa vs Sunderland: Sportiko assegna a Aston Villa una probabilità di vittoria del 80%, a Sunderland del 3% e al pareggio del 17%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Aston Villa

WWLWD

Sunderland

LWLWD

Last 3 meetings Aston Villa · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Aston Villa faces Sunderland in a Premier League clash that promises to be competitive. Villa has shown strong form at home, leveraging their attacking prowess, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season. Sunderland struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, which could be a critical factor. Both teams will be looking to secure vital points, but Villa's offensive capabilities may give them the edge in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

80%

45%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sunderland goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	2
1	18	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	15	4	1
4	8	2
5	4	1

↑ Aston Villa goals · most likely 2–0 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Aston Villa

No scorer data.

Sunderland

B. Brobbey 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

55% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

80% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

20%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	1.8%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	17.9%	6.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.4%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	14.9%	4.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	8.2%	2.4%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

34%

24%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Aston Villa	Draw	Sunderland
Aston Villa	55.8%	1.4%	0.1%
Draw	24.2%	12.3%	1.6%
Sunderland	1.3%	1.5%	1.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

37%

1.5

63%

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Aston Villa vs Sunderland

1 Aston Villa Wins

1 Draws

1 Sunderland Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Apr 2026	Aston Villa	4 - 3	Sunderland
21 Sep 2025	Sunderland	1 - 1	Aston Villa
02 Jan 2016	Sunderland	3 - 1	Aston Villa

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Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Tottenham	W	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Coventry	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Nottingham Forest	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Hull City	D	0 - 0

Sunderland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Manchester City	L	5 - 3
16 Sep	H AZ Alkmaar	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Arsenal	L	0 - 2
08 Sep	H Hull City	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Brentford	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.