Arsenal vs Hull City Previsione

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 10
FT
Post on X
Emirates Stadium, London
Previsione AI Vittoria Arsenal
83%
13%
4%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Arsenal vs Hull City: Sportiko assegna a Arsenal una probabilità di vittoria del 83%, a Hull City del 4% e al pareggio del 13%. Ultimo aggiornamento 7 Nov 2026, 16:56.

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  • Casa a Segno 2+ 76%
  • Home 1H Over 0.5 71%
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Match Report

Arsenal edged past Hull City 1–0 at the Emirates in a match that took until the second half to produce its decisive moment. The first half was largely uneventful despite Arsenal's dominance, with a VAR review cancelling a penalty for Kai Havertz just before the break. Hull showed discipline defensively but were restricted to minimal attacking output, finishing with just two shots on target across the entire game.

The second half saw a flurry of bookings and substitutions disrupt the flow, with Hull collecting several yellow cards as they struggled to contain Arsenal's pressure. Martin Ødegaard finally broke the deadlock on 72 minutes with a composed finish, rewarding Arsenal's sustained superiority. The Gunners finished with 67% possession, 20 total shots, and an expected goals figure of 1.01 compared to Hull's 0.36, underlining their control throughout.

The result was the outcome our pre-match AI model considered most likely, having assigned an 83% probability to an Arsenal win. Arsenal move further up the Premier League table, while Hull remain under pressure in the lower reaches of the standings.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 34'
Lewie Coyle Yellow Card
Kai Havertz Penalty cancelled
43' 🖵
HT 0–0
▮ 48'
Lucas Gourna-Douath Yellow Card
▮ 54'
Yellow Card
⇄ 60'
Mohamed-Ali Cho ⇄ J. Gelhardt
▮ 61'
Brooke Norton-Cuffy Yellow Card
⇄ 61'
Lewie Coyle ⇄ Brooke Norton-Cuffy
Declan Rice ⇄ Mikel Merino
63' ⇄
Kai Havertz ⇄ Viktor Gyökeres
63' ⇄
Christos Tzolis ⇄ Eberechi Eze
69' ⇄
Riccardo Calafiori ⇄ Piero Hincapié
69' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Semi Ajayi ⇄ Lucas Herrington
Martin Ødegaard
72' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 75'
Elliot Stroud Yellow Card
⇄ 75'
Elliot Stroud ⇄ Ryan Giles
⇄ 75'
Tim Iroegbunam ⇄ Christos Mouzakitis
▮ 87'
Nobel Mendy Yellow Card
Bruno Guimarães ⇄ Martín Zubimendi
89' ⇄
FT 1–0
Arsenal

Match Stats

Hull City
67% Ball Possession 33%
1.01 Expected Goals (xG) 0.36
20 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 2
13 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 1
7 Corner Kicks 4
4 Offsides 1
5 Fouls 15
0 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 9
568 Total passes 269
490 Passes accurate 189
15 Free Kicks 5
Arsenal
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Martin Ødegaard M 8.2 90' 1 – 2 79 (65%) –
15 Ezri Konsa D 7.8 90' – – 1 53 (51%) 1
33 Riccardo Calafiori D 7.5 69' – – – 31 (28%) –
12 J. Timber D 7.4 90' – – – 57 (49%) 2
6 Gabriel Magalhães D 7.3 90' – – – 55 (50%) 1
23 Mikel Merino M 7.2 27' – – 2 13 (12%) 2
20 Noni Madueke M 7.2 90' – – 3 46 (39%) –
39 Bruno Guimarães M 7.1 89' – – 2 92 (82%) 3
5 Piero Hincapié D 7.0 21' – – – 11 (8%) 1
1 David Raya G 7.0 90' – – – 33 (28%) –
10 Eberechi Eze M 6.9 21' – – 2 13 (12%) –
36 Martín Zubimendi M 6.8 1' – – – – –
41 Declan Rice M 6.8 63' – – 3 47 (36%) –
14 Viktor Gyökeres F 6.6 27' – – 1 6 (5%) –
17 Christos Tzolis M 6.5 69' – – 4 18 (14%) –
29 Kai Havertz F 6.4 63' – – – 14 (11%) –
Hull City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Konstantinos Tzolakis G 8.2 90' – – – 43 (15%) 1
6 Semi Ajayi D 7.4 69' – – 2 20 (17%) 3
15 John Egan D 6.8 90' – – 1 20 (15%) 1
22 Lucas Herrington D 6.7 21' – – – 15 (13%) 1
42 Tim Iroegbunam M 6.6 75' – – 1 15 (11%) 1
27 Regan Slater M 6.5 90' – – – 13 (9%) 1
36 Christos Mouzakitis M 6.4 15' – – – 10 (10%) –
3 Ryan Giles D 6.4 15' – – – 4 (3%) 1
29 Lucas Gourna-Douath M 6.3 90' – – – 32 (25%) 1
9 Oli McBurnie F 6.2 90' – – – 21 (15%) 1
11 J. Gelhardt F 6.2 30' – – – 12 (9%) –
50 Mohamed-Ali Cho F 6.1 60' – – 1 7 (4%) –
32 Nobel Mendy D 6.1 90' – – – 24 (18%) 1
18 Brooke Norton-Cuffy D 6.0 29' – – – 6 (4%) –
21 Elliot Stroud D 5.9 75' – – 2 17 (14%) –
2 Lewie Coyle D 5.8 61' – – – 10 (7%) 1
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Confidence High (83%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Vittoria Arsenal
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Arsenal
WWWDW
Hull City
LDDLD
Last 3 meetings Arsenal · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Arsenal will host Hull City in an intriguing Premier League clash. Arsenal currently boasts a strong attacking unit, averaging 2.1 goals per match, while Hull City has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per match this season. The Gunners are also likely to dominate possession, aiming to exploit Hull's vulnerabilities on the counter. Hull City's ability to execute set-pieces could be crucial in this matchup, as they have scored 30% of their goals from dead-ball situations. Overall, Arsenal’s offensive prowess will be a significant challenge for Hull's defense.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Arsenal leads 1-0. Win probability: 94.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 5.1%.

73' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Arsenal win: 94.6%. BTTS: 9.5%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 80.5%. Over 1.5 remaining: 50.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
83%
45%
Draw
13%
45%
Away
4%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Arsenal
K. Havertz 3 gls
Hull City
M. Belloumi 3 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Arsenal vs Hull City

3 Arsenal Wins
0 Draws
0 Hull City Wins
Date Home Score Away
11 Feb 2017 Arsenal 2 - 0 Hull City
17 Sep 2016 Hull City 1 - 4 Arsenal
04 May 2015 Hull City 1 - 3 Arsenal
Vedi tutti i 6 incontri — Premium

Arsenal — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Hull City W 1 - 0
04 Nov A Slavia Praha W 1 - 2
01 Nov A Liverpool W 0 - 1
27 Oct A Fleetwood Town D 1 - 1
24 Oct H Everton W 2 - 0

Hull City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Arsenal L 1 - 0
31 Oct H Ipswich D 2 - 2
25 Oct H Brentford D 1 - 1
17 Oct A Fulham L 1 - 0
11 Oct H Everton D 2 - 2

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal
10 9 0 1 +10 27
2
Manchester City
10 7 0 3 +8 21
3
Brighton
9 6 1 2 +17 19
4
Chelsea
9 5 1 3 +4 16
5
Everton
10 4 4 2 +2 16
6
Liverpool
9 4 3 2 +2 15
7
Brentford
9 3 5 1 +7 14
8
Leeds
10 3 5 2 +2 14
9
Bournemouth
9 3 3 3 +1 12
10
Tottenham
10 3 3 4 -1 12
11
Newcastle
10 3 3 4 -3 12
12
Aston Villa
9 3 3 3 -3 12
13
Hull City
10 2 5 3 0 11
14
Ipswich
9 3 2 4 -4 11
15
Fulham
10 2 4 4 -2 10
16
Nottingham Forest
10 2 3 5 -4 9
17
Coventry
10 3 0 7 -9 9
18
Manchester United
9 1 4 4 -5 7
19
Crystal Palace
9 2 1 6 -12 7
20
Sunderland
9 1 2 6 -10 5

Arsenal

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mikel Arteta
1 Raya
33 Calafiori
6 Magalhães
15 Konsa
12 Timber
41 Rice
39 Guimarães
17 Tzolis
8 Ødegaard
20 Madueke
29 Havertz

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 David Raya G
12 J. Timber D
15 E. Konsa D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
33 R. Calafiori D
39 Bruno Guimarães M
41 D. Rice M
20 N. Madueke M
8 M. Ødegaard M
17 C. Tzolis M
29 K. Havertz F

Substitutes

36 Martín Zubimendi M
23 Mikel Merino M
14 V. Gyökeres F
10 E. Eze M
13 Kepa G
4 B. White D
3 Cristhian Mosquera D
5 P. Hincapié D
49 M. Lewis-Skelly D

Hull City

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: S. Jakirović
19 Tzolakis
21 Stroud
32 Mendy
15 Egan
6 Ajayi
2 Coyle
27 Slater
29 Gourna-Douath
42 Iroegbunam
9 McBurnie
50 Cho

Starting XI

# Player Pos
19 K. Tzolakis G
2 L. Coyle D
6 S. Ajayi D
15 J. Egan D
32 N. Mendy D
21 E. Stroud D
42 T. Iroegbunam M
29 L. Gourna-Douath M
27 R. Slater M
50 M. Cho F
9 O. McBurnie F

Substitutes

3 R. Giles D
22 L. Herrington D
7 S. Thomas F
11 J. Gelhardt F
14 J. Hjertø-Dahl M
18 B. Norton-Cuffy D
36 C. Mouzakitis M
1 J. Butland G
47 R. Vaz F

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