Brighton vs Crystal Palace Previsione

Premier League · Regular Season - 7

17 Oct 2026, 14:00

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Crystal Palace

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Brighton

56%

29%

14%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Brighton vs Crystal Palace: Sportiko assegna a Brighton una probabilità di vittoria del 56%, a Crystal Palace del 14% e al pareggio del 29%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 16.5%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Brighton

WWWDL

Crystal Palace

DWLWW

Last 3 meetings Brighton · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Brighton faces Crystal Palace, with both teams vying for crucial points. Brighton has exhibited a strong attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while Crystal Palace has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per match. Additionally, Brighton’s possession-based style could challenge Palace’s counter-attacking approach. The match promises to be competitive, with both sides needing a win to bolster their standings. Expect tactical battles in midfield to be pivotal in determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

56%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

14%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Crystal Palace goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	6	2	1
1	16	13	4	1
2	13	8	3	1
3	7	4	1
4	2	2
5	1

↑ Brighton goals · most likely 1–0 (16.5%)

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Players in form

Brighton

P. Groß 3 gls

C. Kostoulas 2 gls

M. Yalcouyé 2 gls

Crystal Palace

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

29%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

29%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

80% Home (No Draw) 20% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.5%	6.1%	2.4%	0.5%	0.1%
1	16.5%	12.8%	3.6%	0.8%	0.1%
2	13.4%	8.4%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
3	6.7%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
4	2.5%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Brighton	Draw	Crystal Palace
Brighton	35.0%	3.2%	0.6%
Draw	21.0%	20.7%	6.4%
Crystal Palace	1.8%	3.4%	8.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Brighton vs Crystal Palace

0 Brighton Wins

1 Draws

2 Crystal Palace Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Feb 2026	Brighton	0 - 1	Crystal Palace
09 Nov 2025	Crystal Palace	0 - 0	Brighton
05 Apr 2025	Crystal Palace	2 - 1	Brighton

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Brighton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arsenal	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	A Manchester United	W	2 - 3
13 Sep	A Coventry	W	0 - 5
05 Sep	H Leeds	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Chelsea	L	4 - 3

Crystal Palace — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Leeds	D	0 - 0
17 Sep	H Lech Poznan	W	4 - 0
12 Sep	H Ipswich	L	2 - 3
08 Sep	H Middlesbrough	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Fulham	W	2 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.