Aston Villa vs Brentford Previsione

Premier League · Regular Season - 6

10 Oct 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Brentford

Away

Villa Park, Birmingham

Previsione AI Aston Villa o pareggio

42%

31%

27%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Aston Villa vs Brentford: Sportiko assegna a Aston Villa una probabilità di vittoria del 42%, a Brentford del 27% e al pareggio del 31%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Aston Villa

WWLWD

Brentford

WWDDD

Last 3 meetings Aston Villa · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Aston Villa will face Brentford in what promises to be an intriguing Premier League encounter. Villa has shown a strong attacking presence, ranking in the top half for goals scored, while Brentford has been solid defensively, boasting one of the better defensive records in the league. Key players to watch include Villa's forwards, who excel in creating chances, and Brentford's organized backline. The match will likely hinge on Villa's ability to break through Brentford's defense and capitalize on goal-scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

42%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

27%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Brentford goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	8	5	2
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Aston Villa goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Aston Villa

No scorer data.

Brentford

K. Schade 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

31%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

31%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

61% Home (No Draw) 39% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.5%	8.2%	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%
1	11.2%	14.7%	6.6%	2.2%	0.6%
2	8.5%	8.6%	4.3%	1.5%	0.4%
3	3.7%	3.8%	1.9%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.2%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Aston Villa	Draw	Brentford
Aston Villa	25.0%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	16.2%	20.5%	10.9%
Brentford	2.0%	4.3%	15.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Aston Villa vs Brentford

1 Aston Villa Wins

0 Draws

2 Brentford Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Feb 2026	Aston Villa	0 - 1	Brentford
23 Aug 2025	Brentford	1 - 0	Aston Villa
08 Mar 2025	Brentford	0 - 1	Aston Villa

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Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Tottenham	W	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Coventry	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Nottingham Forest	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Hull City	D	0 - 0

Brentford — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Chelsea	W	3 - 0
15 Sep	A Reading	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Sunderland	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Leeds	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.