Liverpool vs Manchester City Previsione

Premier League · Regular Season - 6

10 Oct 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Manchester City

Away

Anfield, Liverpool

Previsione AI Liverpool o pareggio

44%

26%

29%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Liverpool vs Manchester City: Sportiko assegna a Liverpool una probabilità di vittoria del 44%, a Manchester City del 29% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

63%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Liverpool

WWDWW

Manchester City

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Liverpool · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash between Liverpool and Manchester City, both teams will look to assert their dominance given their historical rivalry. Liverpool's attack, led by their high pressing and quick transitions, will test Manchester City's defense, which has shown vulnerability at times this season. Conversely, City's possession-based style and ability to create chances from midfield will challenge Liverpool's backline. Recent form and head-to-head statistics will be crucial, as both teams have the potential to capitalize on any defensive lapses. Expect a tightly contested match that could have significant implications for the title race.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Manchester City goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	5	4	2	1
1	6	12	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	5	4	2	1
4	2	2	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Liverpool goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Players in form

Liverpool

A. Isak 4 gls

Manchester City

E. Haaland 5 gls

R. Cherki 3 gls

A. Semenyo 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Away Win

29%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Away Win

29%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	4.8%	4.3%	2.0%	0.7%
1	6.4%	12.1%	7.4%	3.4%	1.2%
2	6.8%	9.3%	6.4%	3.0%	1.0%
3	3.9%	5.4%	3.7%	1.7%	0.6%
4	1.7%	2.4%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Liverpool	Draw	Manchester City
Liverpool	30.3%	5.8%	2.9%
Draw	13.4%	15.1%	12.2%
Manchester City	2.0%	3.6%	14.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Liverpool vs Manchester City

1 Liverpool Wins

0 Draws

2 Manchester City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Feb 2026	Liverpool	1 - 2	Manchester City
09 Nov 2025	Manchester City	3 - 0	Liverpool
23 Feb 2025	Manchester City	0 - 2	Liverpool

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Liverpool — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bournemouth	W	0 - 1
15 Sep	H Tottenham	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Fulham	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Ipswich	W	0 - 2

Manchester City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Sunderland	W	5 - 3
17 Sep	H Norwich	W	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Manchester United	W	0 - 1
08 Sep	A FC Porto	W	0 - 2
05 Sep	H Coventry	W	1 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.