FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi Previsione

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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FK Zalgiris Vilnius

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7 : 2

HT 1 - 1

Andata 0-3 · Aggregato 7-5

Dinamo Tbilisi

Away

Previsione AI FK Zalgiris Vilnius o pareggio

47%

27%

26%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi: Sportiko assegna a FK Zalgiris Vilnius una probabilità di vittoria del 47%, a Dinamo Tbilisi del 26% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 30 Jul 2026, 18:57.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Under 3.5 Gol 73%

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Timeline

▮ 8'

Yellow Card

Missed Penalty

9' ✗

⇄ 22'

25' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 40'

▮ 41'

Yellow Card

HT 1–1

Yellow Card

56' ▮

assist: Dominik Franke

59' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 60'

61' ⚽ 3–1

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62' ▮

▮ 68'

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⇄ 70'

⚽ 3–2 72'

▮ 74'

Yellow Card

74' ⚽ 4–2

▮ 76'

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82' ⚽ 5–2

84' ⇄

88' ⚽ 6–2

90' ⚽ 7–2

Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

Dominik Franke

90+3' ⇄

▮ 90+7'

Yellow Card

FT 7–2

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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

FK Zalgiris Vilnius o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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FK Zalgiris Vilnius

LWDWL

Dinamo Tbilisi

WWDDW

Last 1 meetings FK Zalgiris Vilnius · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, FK Zalgiris Vilnius faces Dinamo Tbilisi on July 30, 2026. Zalgiris boasts a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.9 goals per match this season, while Dinamo Tbilisi has shown offensive prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per game. The match could pivot on Zalgiris's ability to neutralize Tbilisi's attacking threats, particularly their top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season. Both teams will be eager to secure valuable points in the group stage, making this a crucial encounter. Expect a tightly contested match as each side looks to leverage its strengths.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

47%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

26%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dinamo Tbilisi goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	5	2
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5		1

↑ FK Zalgiris Vilnius goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

27%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

27%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	6.4%	4.5%	1.7%	0.5%
1	9.2%	13.8%	6.9%	2.6%	0.7%
2	8.2%	9.3%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.2%	4.7%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.6%	1.8%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	Draw	Dinamo Tbilisi
FK Zalgiris Vilnius	28.2%	4.6%	1.7%
Draw	15.4%	17.9%	10.4%
Dinamo Tbilisi	2.1%	4.3%	15.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi

0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius Wins

0 Draws

1 Dinamo Tbilisi Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jul 2026	Dinamo Tbilisi	3 - 0	FK Zalgiris Vilnius

FK Zalgiris Vilnius — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A TransINVEST Vilnius	L	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Kauno Žalgiris	W	3 - 2
13 Sep	A Suduva Marijampole	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Šiauliai	W	1 - 0
30 Aug	A Panevėžys	L	2 - 0

Dinamo Tbilisi — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Samgurali	W	2 - 3
14 Sep	H Gagra	W	4 - 0
10 Sep	H Meshakhte	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	A Torpedo Kutaisi	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	H Dila	W	2 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Andrius Skerla

12 Sarkauskas

21 Franke

15 Bosančić

4 Lupano

18 Šešplaukis

77 Kendysh

20 Lytvynenko

70 Teixeira

19 Bilenkyi

10 Golubickas

11 Petković

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Vincentas Sarkauskas	G
18	Deividas Šešplaukis	M
4	Danny Koy Lupano	D
15	Petar Bosančić	D
21	Dominik Franke	D
20	Ivan Lytvynenko	M
77	Yuri Kendysh	D
10	Paulius Golubickas	M
19	Stanislav Bilenkyi	F
70	Bryan Silva Teixeira	M
11	Nikola Petković	F

Substitutes

1	Carlos Olses	G
5	Grigore Turda	D
13	Klaudijus Upstas	D
14	Martynas Setkus	D
23	Saba Mamatsashvili	D
6	Marko Capan	M
7	Nemanja Mihajlović	M
9	Gustas Jarusevicius	M
22	Ovidijus Verbickas	M
27	Matas Vareika	M
29	Kajus Bička	M
8	Liviu Antal	F

Dinamo Tbilisi

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Vladimer Kakashvili

1 Loria

3 Kalandadze

22 Ninua

27 Kurdić

6 Santos

18 Kvaratskhelia

24 Osei

39 Kakashvili

17 Psaltis

14 Couto

12 Bah

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Giorgi Loria	G
6	Léo Santos	D
27	Numan Kurdić	D
22	Nika Ninua	M
3	Aleksandre Kalandadze	D
17	Paris Psaltis	D
39	Koba Kakashvili	M
24	Barnes Osei	M
18	Tornike Kvaratskhelia	F
12	Algassime Bah	F
14	Maxime Do Couto	M

Substitutes

33	Lyes Houri	M
16	Nikoloz Tkalia	M
11	Mate Vatsadze	F
37	Mikheil Makatsaria	G
40	Mate Gagvishvili	G
26	Gabriel Gogua	M
32	Luka Tsikolia	M
21	Daniel Kvartskhava	F
28	Rati Aleksidze	F
29	Reziko Danelia	F
34	Mathew Tegiri Gbomadu	F