FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz Previsione

Super League Super League · Regular Season - 1
FT
Post on X
Previsione AI FC Lugano vince o pareggia
68%
20%
12%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz: Sportiko assegna a FC Lugano una probabilità di vittoria del 68%, a FC Vaduz del 12% e al pareggio del 20%. Ultimo aggiornamento 26 Jul 2026, 16:28.

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  • Home/Draw & Over 1.5 73%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
  • Under 3.5 Gol 71%
  • Home 2H Over 0.5 70%
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Timeline

Antonios Papadopoulos assist: Lars Lukas Mai
29' ⚽ 1–0
Antonios Papadopoulos Yellow Card
32' ▮
Lars Lukas Mai assist: Renato Steffen
37' ⚽ 2–0
HT 2–0
⇄ 46'
Dejan Đokić ⇄ Dejan Sorgić
⇄ 57'
Mischa Beeli ⇄ Nicolas Hasler
⇄ 58'
Juan Cabrera ⇄ Mischa Eberhard
Renato Steffen ⇄ Dereck Moncada
60' ⇄
Ahmed Kendouci ⇄ Daniel Dos Santos
60' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Julian Stark ⇄ Miloš Cocić
Yanis Cimignani ⇄ Mattia Zanotti
70' ⇄
Elias Pihlström ⇄ Kevin Behrens
70' ⇄
⚽ 2–1 71'
Lutfi Dalipi assist: Dejan Sorgić
▮ 74'
Marcel Monsberger Yellow Card
⇄ 80'
Malik Sawadogo
▮ 82'
Leon Schaffran Red Card
Ezgjan Alioski ⇄ Carbone
90+3' ⇄
FT 2–1
FC Lugano

Match Stats

FC Vaduz
48% Ball Possession 52%
2.02 Expected Goals (xG) 0.71
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots off Goal 8
4 Blocked Shots 0
14 Shots insidebox 9
8 Shots outsidebox 2
9 Corner Kicks 3
0 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
399 Total passes 439
323 Passes accurate 353
81% Passes % 80%
1.04 goals_prevented 1.04
FC Lugano
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Lars Lukas Mai D 8.9 95' 1 1 1 43 (36%) 3
8 Anto Grgić M 8.0 95' – – 2 63 (54%) 2
25 Uran Bislimi M 7.7 95' – – 1 55 (49%) 2
7 Ezgjan Alioski M 7.5 93' – – – 46 (42%) 4
6 Antonios Papadopoulos D 7.3 95' 1 – 3 23 (19%) 3
11 Renato Steffen F 7.3 59' – 1 2 24 (19%) –
91 Kevin Behrens F 7.2 25' – – 1 5 (3%) –
18 Joel Bichsel D 7.2 95' – – 1 31 (26%) 2
21 Yanis Cimignani M 7.0 70' – – – 34 (28%) –
30 Dereck Moncada F 6.9 36' – – 1 5 (2%) –
46 Mattia Zanotti D 6.7 25' – – 1 10 (7%) –
24 Elias Pihlström F 6.7 70' – – 3 19 (13%) –
14 Ahmed Kendouci F 6.5 60' – – 1 14 (12%) 1
16 David von Ballmoos G 6.3 95' – – – 21 (8%) –
27 Daniel Dos Santos M 6.3 35' – – 1 6 (5%) –
44 Carbone D — 2' – – – – –
FC Vaduz
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Leon Schaffran G 7.9 82' – – – 42 (29%) –
27 Niklas Lang D 7.6 95' – – – 59 (54%) 2
11 Lutfi Dalipi M 7.3 95' 1 – 2 30 (27%) –
4 Nicolas Hasler D 7.2 38' – – – 15 (13%) 3
19 Dejan Đokić F 6.9 45' – – 2 7 (4%) 2
5 Liridon Berisha D 6.7 95' – – – 70 (58%) 2
7 Dominik Schwizer M 6.7 15' – – – 9 (6%) –
39 Dejan Sorgić F 6.7 50' – 1 1 3 (2%) –
20 Luca Mack M 6.6 95' – – – 66 (56%) –
28 Miloš Cocić M 6.6 29' – – – 12 (10%) 1
14 Mischa Beeli D 6.3 57' – – 1 19 (13%) –
17 Julian Stark M 6.3 66' – – – 32 (24%) 1
10 Juan Cabrera M 6.3 58' – – 1 12 (10%) 1
22 Mischa Eberhard M 6.3 37' – – 1 11 (10%) 1
29 Malik Sawadogo D 6.2 80' – – – 42 (31%) 1
9 Marcel Monsberger F 5.9 95' – – 3 10 (6%) 1
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Confidence Medium (68%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
FC Lugano vince o pareggia
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FC Lugano
WWDWW
FC Vaduz
LLWLW
Last 3 meetings FC Lugano · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

FC Lugano faces FC Vaduz in a Super League clash on July 26, 2026. Lugano's recent form shows a strong offense, averaging 2 goals per match over their last five fixtures, while Vaduz has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. The matchup highlights Lugano's home scoring prowess against Vaduz's inconsistent defense, suggesting a potential advantage for the hosts. However, Vaduz's counter-attacking capability could pose a threat if they capitalize on defensive lapses. Overall, this match could hinge on whether Vaduz can stabilize their defense against Lugano's attacking intensity.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
68%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
12%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

FC Lugano
D. Moncada 3 gls
H. Delcroix 3 gls
FC Vaduz
M. Monsberger 4 gls
Juan Cabrera 4 gls
L. Dalipi 3 gls
M. Ćoćić 3 gls

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Head to Head: FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz

1 FC Lugano Wins
1 Draws
1 FC Vaduz Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 May 2021 FC Lugano 0 - 2 FC Vaduz
14 Mar 2021 FC Vaduz 0 - 3 FC Lugano
03 Feb 2021 FC Lugano 1 - 1 FC Vaduz
Vedi tutti i 8 incontri — Premium

FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Lausanne W 0 - 4
16 Sep H FC ST. Gallen W 4 - 1
12 Sep H BSC Young Boys D 2 - 2
06 Sep A FC Basel 1893 W 1 - 3
03 Sep H Servette FC W 1 - 0

FC Vaduz — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H FC Thun L 1 - 2
13 Sep A FC Zurich L 2 - 1
05 Sep H Lausanne W 3 - 1
02 Sep A FC Luzern L 2 - 1
30 Aug H Grasshoppers W 5 - 2

Super League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Lugano
9 8 1 0 +20 25
2
BSC Young Boys
9 5 4 0 +13 19
3
FC Sion
9 6 1 2 +9 19
4
FC Basel 1893
9 4 1 4 0 13
5
FC ST. Gallen
9 4 1 4 -3 13
6
FC Luzern
9 3 3 3 -1 12
7
FC Zurich
9 3 2 4 -6 11
8
Servette FC
9 3 1 5 -2 10
9
FC Thun
9 3 1 5 -8 10
10
Grasshoppers
9 2 2 5 -11 8
11
FC Vaduz
9 2 0 7 -3 6
12
Lausanne
9 1 3 5 -8 6

FC Lugano

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti
16 Ballmoos
18 Bichsel
17 Mai
6 Papadopoulos
7 Alioski
25 Bislimi
8 Grgić
21 Cimignani
14 Kendouci
11 Steffen
24 Pihlström

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 David von Ballmoos G
6 Antonios Papadopoulos D
17 Lars Lukas Mai D
18 Joel Bichsel D
21 Yanis Cimignani M
8 Anto Grgić M
25 Uran Bislimi M
7 Ezgjan Alioski M
14 Ahmed Kendouci F
24 Elias Pihlström F
11 Renato Steffen F

Substitutes

28 Felix Gebhardt G
46 Mattia Zanotti D
4 Damian Kelvin D
44 Carbone D
27 Daniel Dos Santos M
30 Dereck Moncada F
22 Beckham Castro F
23 Gjan Ajdin M
91 Kevin Behrens F

FC Vaduz

Formation: 4-3-1-2 Coach: Marc Schneider
25 Schaffran
29 Sawadogo
5 Berisha
27 Lang
14 Beeli
10 Cabrera
20 Mack
17 Stark
11 Dalipi
19 Đokić
9 Monsberger

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 Leon Schaffran G
14 Mischa Beeli D
27 Niklas Lang D
5 Liridon Berisha D
29 Malik Sawadogo D
17 Julian Stark M
20 Luca Mack M
10 Juan Cabrera M
11 Lutfi Dalipi M
9 Marcel Monsberger F
19 Dejan Đokić F

Substitutes

1 Benjamin Büchel G
6 Denis Simani D
7 Dominik Schwizer M
37 Luca Celentano D
4 Nicolas Hasler D
22 Mischa Eberhard M
23 Mats Hammerich M
28 Miloš Cocić M
39 Dejan Sorgić F

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