AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem Previsione

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

Post on X

Beitar Jerusalem

Away

Previsione AI AEK Larnaca o pareggio

46%

28%

25%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem: Sportiko assegna a AEK Larnaca una probabilità di vittoria del 46%, a Beitar Jerusalem del 25% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 23 Jul 2026, 18:24.

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Casa a Segno 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Oltre 1.5 Gol 73%

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Match Report

Beitar Jerusalem claimed a narrow 0–1 victory over AEK Larnaca in the UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round, booking their place in the next stage with a hard-fought away win in Cyprus. The first half was goalless, with neither side able to break the deadlock before the interval.

The second half proved far more eventful. A flurry of substitutions from both teams reshaped the contest after the hour mark, and the match turned significantly when AEK Larnaca were reduced to ten men following a red card on 75 minutes. Beitar Jerusalem wasted little time capitalising, scoring the decisive goal just two minutes later in the 77th minute to take the lead they would not relinquish.

AEK Larnaca struggled to mount a meaningful response despite pressing forward in the closing stages, with a late yellow card in stoppage time reflecting the frustration of the hosts. Our pre-match AI model had rated an AEK Larnaca win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark as Beitar Jerusalem held firm for the victory.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 7'

Yellow Card

HT 0–0

▮ 54'

Yellow Card

⇄ 57'

62' ⇄

⇄ Youssef Amyn

63' ⇄

▮ 65'

Yellow Card

69' ⇄

Red Card

75' ▮

76' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 77'

⇄ 82'

▮ 90+4'

Yellow Card

FT 0–1

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

AEK Larnaca o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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AEK Larnaca

WLWWL

Beitar Jerusalem

WWWLL

Last 1 meetings AEK Larnaca · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

AEK Larnaca faces Beitar Jerusalem in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with both teams keen to secure points early in the group stage. AEK's recent form shows a solid home record, averaging 2 goals per match, while Beitar Jerusalem’s away performances have been inconsistent, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game in their last five outings. Key players for AEK will likely include their leading striker, who has been pivotal in converting chances, while Beitar will rely on their midfield to control possession and create opportunities. The match promises to be competitive, with tactical discipline crucial for both sides to capitalize on any defensive weaknesses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Beitar Jerusalem goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	5	2
1	10	14	7	2	1
2	8	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ AEK Larnaca goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.9%	7.2%	4.7%	1.7%	0.5%
1	10.2%	14.3%	6.8%	2.4%	0.6%
2	8.4%	9.0%	4.8%	1.7%	0.5%
3	4.0%	4.3%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.4%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AEK Larnaca	Draw	Beitar Jerusalem
AEK Larnaca	26.3%	4.3%	1.5%
Draw	16.3%	19.1%	10.7%
Beitar Jerusalem	2.1%	4.3%	15.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem

1 AEK Larnaca Wins

0 Draws

0 Beitar Jerusalem Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	Beitar Jerusalem	2 - 3	AEK Larnaca

AEK Larnaca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Omonia 29is Maiou	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Pafos	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Nea Salamis	W	1 - 4
29 Aug	H Apoel Nicosia	W	3 - 1
08 Aug	H Omonia Aradippou	L	0 - 1

Beitar Jerusalem — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Hapoel Haifa	W	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Maccabi Petah Tikva	W	3 - 1
07 Sep	A Bnei Sakhnin	W	0 - 1
03 Sep	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	L	3 - 0
29 Aug	H Maccabi Netanya	L	1 - 4

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

AEK Larnaca

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Mauro Camoranesi

51 Paraskevas

17 Pileas

3 Hoorn

15 Miličević

21 Miramón

7 Ledes

9 Ivanović

6 Pankov

20 Repas

14 Layouni

11 Bajić

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
51	Andreas Paraskevas	G
21	Jorge Miramón	M
15	Hrvoje Miličević	D
3	Mike Van der Hoorn	D
17	Kostas Pileas	D
7	Gus Ledes	M
14	Amor Layouni	M
20	Jan Repas	M
6	Ivan Chavdarov Pankov	M
9	Đorđe Ivanović	M
11	Riad Bajić	F

Substitutes

1	Vedad Muftić	G
99	Dimitris Dimitriou	G
13	Yahav Garfinkel	D
22	Godswill Ekpolo	D
44	Zacharias Adoni	D
8	Youssef Amyn	M
10	Waldo Rubio Marín	M
25	Chambos Kyriakou	M
29	Giorgos Naoum	M
37	David Gerasimou	F

Beitar Jerusalem

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Almog Cohen

55 Silva

16 Cohen

4 Carabalí

5 Cohen

2 Antwi

15 Muche

40 Enow

26 Worko

7 Shua

13 Ansah

77 Atzili

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
55	Miguel Silva	G
2	Nana Antwi	D
5	Gil Cohen	D
4	Brayan Carabalí	D
16	Yarden Cohen	D
26	Daniel Worko	M
40	Boris Enow	M
15	Noam Muche	M
77	Omer Atzili	F
13	Eugene Ansah	F
7	Yarden Shua	F

Substitutes

22	Yehonatan Ozer	G
33	Dvir Nir	G
14	Roey Elimelech	D
20	Ori Dahan	D
25	Liel Deri	D
8	Ziv Ben Shimol	M
11	Timothy Muzie	M
24	Nadav Markovitch	M
9	Johnbosco Samuel Kalu	F
19	Shon Weissman	F