South Africa vs Canada Previsione

World Cup · Round of 32

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Canada

Away

Previsione AI Canada o pareggio

18%

32%

50%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico South Africa vs Canada: Sportiko assegna a South Africa una probabilità di vittoria del 18%, a Canada del 50% e al pareggio del 32%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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Ospite a Segno 73%

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Timeline

HT 0–0

Relebohile Mofokeng ⇄ Thalente Mbatha

46' ⇄

▮ 54'

Nathan-Dylan Saliba Yellow Card

⇄ 59'

Moise Bombito ⇄ Luc De Fougerolles

⇄ 59'

Nathan-Dylan Saliba ⇄ Niko Sigur

▮ 67'

Niko Sigur Yellow Card

⇄ 70'

Liam Millar ⇄ Jacob Shaffelburg

⇄ 70'

Tani Oluwaseyi ⇄ Promise David

⇄ 75'

Tajon Buchanan ⇄ Alphonso Davies

Evidence Makgopa ⇄ Iqraam Rayners

86' ⇄

Thapelo Maseko ⇄ Tshepang Moremi

86' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 90'

Stephen Eustaquio

FT 0–1

South Africa

Match Stats

Canada

58% Ball Possession 42%

0.13 Expected Goals (xG) 1.32

6 Total Shots 12

1 Shots on Goal 7

4 Shots off Goal 5

1 Blocked Shots 0

1 Shots insidebox 9

5 Shots outsidebox 3

1 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 0

10 Fouls 16

0 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 1

550 Total passes 380

468 Passes accurate 298

85% Passes % 78%

0.04 goals_prevented 0.04

South Africa

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Ronwen Williams G	8.3	97'	–	–	–	85 (77%)	–
6 Aubrey Modiba D	7.9	97'	–	–	–	35 (29%)	1
20 Khuliso Mudau D	7.2	97'	–	–	–	38 (35%)	3
14 Mbekezeli Mbokazi D	7.2	97'	–	–	–	86 (78%)	3
13 Siphephelo Sithole M	7.2	97'	–	–	–	58 (47%)	7
21 Ime Okon D	6.9	97'	–	–	1	91 (81%)	–
10 Relebohile Mofokeng M	6.9	45'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	1
4 Teboho Mokoena M	6.7	97'	–	–	1	55 (45%)	2
17 Evidence Makgopa F	6.7	86'	–	–	–	19 (12%)	–
12 Thapelo Maseko M	6.6	86'	–	–	–	18 (12%)	4
5 Thalente Mbatha M	6.5	52'	–	–	1	23 (19%)	–
15 Iqraam Rayners F	6.3	11'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
7 Oswin Appollis M	6.3	97'	–	–	2	28 (21%)	1
8 Tshepang Moremi F	6.3	11'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

Canada

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Stephen Eustaquio M	8.9	97'	1	–	2	48 (43%)	3
2 Alistair Johnston D	7.3	97'	–	–	–	36 (28%)	–
4 Luc De Fougerolles D	7.3	38'	–	–	1	17 (16%)	3
13 Derek Cornelius D	7.3	97'	–	–	1	50 (45%)	–
12 Tani Oluwaseyi F	7.2	70'	–	–	3	13 (10%)	1
25 Nathan-Dylan Saliba M	7.0	59'	–	–	–	28 (18%)	3
16 Maxime Crépeau G	6.9	97'	–	–	–	23 (16%)	–
22 Richie Laryea D	6.9	97'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	4
15 Moise Bombito D	6.9	59'	–	–	1	33 (24%)	1
11 Liam Millar M	6.5	70'	–	–	–	25 (19%)	2
23 Niko Sigur M	6.3	38'	–	–	–	17 (11%)	–
19 Alphonso Davies D	6.3	22'	–	–	–	14 (10%)	–
24 Promise David F	6.3	27'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	2
14 Jacob Shaffelburg F	6.2	27'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
17 Tajon Buchanan M	6.0	75'	–	–	1	21 (15%)	1
10 Jonathan David F	6.0	97'	–	–	2	23 (17%)	–

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Confidence Low (50%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Canada o pareggio

Most likely score

0:1 · 15.7%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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South Africa

LWDL

Canada

LWLWD

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup clash, South Africa faces Canada in a pivotal group stage match. South Africa has shown resilience, boasting a solid defensive record, allowing only 1.2 goals per match in recent qualifiers. Canada, on the other hand, relies on a potent attacking lineup, scoring an average of 2.1 goals per game, driven by key players who excel in creating chances. Both teams will need to adapt quickly to the neutral venue dynamics, making tactical flexibility crucial for success. Expect a competitive match as each side vies for crucial points in the tournament.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Canada goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15	16	12	5	2
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	3	4	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ South Africa goals · most likely 0–1 (15.7%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

32%

Home Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

32%

Home Win

18%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

73% Away (No Draw) 27% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 18% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.6%	15.7%	11.5%	5.1%	1.7%
1	7.7%	13.9%	8.2%	3.6%	1.2%
2	3.3%	4.4%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%
3	0.8%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	South Africa	Draw	Canada
South Africa	10.2%	3.6%	1.7%
Draw	8.2%	22.5%	19.2%
Canada	0.8%	3.6%	30.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

49%

35%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: South Africa vs Canada

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

South Africa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
28 Jun	H Canada	L	0 - 1
25 Jun	H South Korea	W	1 - 0
18 Jun	A Czechia	D	1 - 1
11 Jun	A Mexico	L	2 - 0

Canada — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Jul	H Morocco	L	0 - 3
28 Jun	A South Africa	W	0 - 1
24 Jun	A Switzerland	L	2 - 1
18 Jun	H Qatar	W	6 - 0
12 Jun	H Bosnia & Herzegovina	D	1 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

South Africa

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Hugo Broos

1 Williams

6 Modiba

14 Mbokazi

21 Okon

20 Mudau

13 Sithole

4 Mokoena

7 Appollis

10 Mofokeng

12 Maseko

17 Makgopa

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	R. Williams	G
20	K. Mudau	D
21	I. Okon	D
14	M. Mbokazi	D
6	A. Modiba	D
4	T. Mokoena	M
13	Y. Sithole	M
12	T. Maseko	M
10	R. Mofokeng	M
7	O. Appollis	M
17	E. Makgopa	F

Substitutes

22	R. Goss	G
16	S. Chaine	G
26	B. Cross	D
23	J. Adams	M
5	T. Mbatha	M
2	T. Matuludi	D
3	K. Ndamane	D
15	I. Rayners	F
19	N. Sibisi	D
9	L. Foster	F
8	T. Moremi	F
25	K. Sebelebele	M
24	O. Makhanya	D
18	S. Kabini	D

Canada

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jesse Marsch

16 Crepeau

22 Laryea

13 Cornelius

15 Bombito

2 Johnston

11 Millar

7 Eustaquio

25 Saliba

17 Buchanan

12 Oluwaseyi

10 David

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	M. Crepeau	G
2	A. Johnston	D
15	M. Bombito	D
13	D. Cornelius	D
22	R. Laryea	D
17	T. Buchanan	M
25	N. Saliba	M
7	S. Eustaquio	M
11	L. Millar	M
10	J. David	F
12	T. Oluwaseyi	F

Substitutes

1	D. St.Clair	G
18	O. Goodman	G
9	C. Larin	F
5	J. Waterman	D
19	A. Davies	D
14	J. Shaffelburg	F
26	J. Nelson	F
4	L. De Fougerolles	D
23	N. Sigur	M
21	J. Osorio	M
3	A. Jones	D
6	M. Choiniere	M
24	P. David	F
20	A. Ahmed	M