Senegal vs Iraq Previsione

World Cup World Cup · Group Stage - 3
FT
Post on X
BMO Field, Toronto
Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Senegal
61%
29%
10%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Senegal vs Iraq: Sportiko assegna a Senegal una probabilità di vittoria del 61%, a Iraq del 10% e al pareggio del 29%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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  • Casa a Segno 76%
  • Under 2.5 Gol 71%
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Timeline

Habib Diarra assist: Abdoulaye Seck
4' ⚽ 1–0
🖵 12'
Rebin Sulaka Card upgrade
▮ 13'
Rebin Sulaka Red Card
⇄ 16'
Ahmed Qasem ⇄ Munaf Younus
Abdoulaye Seck Yellow Card
18' ▮
HT 1–0
⇄ 46'
Ahmed Basil ⇄ Jalal Hassan
Ismaïla Sarr assist: Lamine Camara
56' ⚽ 2–0
Lamine Camara ⇄ Nicolas Jackson
57' ⇄
Habib Diarra ⇄ Pape Gueye
57' ⇄
Ibrahim Mbaye ⇄ Iliman Ndiaye
57' ⇄
Abdoulaye Seck ⇄ Pathé Ismaël Ciss
58' ⇄
⇄ 58'
Ali Al-Hamadi ⇄ Ali Yousif
⇄ 58'
Ali Jasim ⇄ Ahmed Hasan Maknazi
Pape Gueye assist: Ismaïla Sarr
59' ⚽ 3–0
⇄ 67'
Zidane Iqbal ⇄ Kevin Yakob
Pape Gueye assist: Iliman Ndiaye
71' ⚽ 4–0
▮ 75'
Amir Al-Ammari Yellow Card
Pape Gueye Yellow Card
81' ▮
Ismaïla Sarr ⇄ Assane Diao
81' ⇄
Iliman Ndiaye assist: Pape Gueye
82' ⚽ 5–0
▮ 90'
Merchas Doski Yellow Card
FT 5–0
Senegal

Match Stats

Iraq
69% Ball Possession 31%
3.01 Expected Goals (xG) 0.14
28 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Goal 1
11 Shots off Goal 1
5 Blocked Shots 4
17 Shots insidebox 1
11 Shots outsidebox 5
12 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
590 Total passes 266
517 Passes accurate 184
88% Passes % 69%
-0.07 goals_prevented -0.07
Senegal
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
26 Pape Gueye M 9.9 33' 2 1 4 48 (43%) 1
13 Iliman Ndiaye F 8.6 33' 1 1 2 22 (21%) –
5 Idrissa Gana Gueye M 8.3 90' – – 1 94 (81%) 3
8 Lamine Camara M 8.2 57' – 1 1 45 (36%) –
18 Ismaïla Sarr F 7.7 81' 1 1 3 19 (14%) –
21 Habib Diarra M 7.5 57' 1 – 2 17 (16%) 2
15 Krépin Diatta D 7.2 90' – – 1 66 (62%) 3
19 Moussa Niakhaté D 7.2 90' – – 1 72 (65%) –
11 Nicolas Jackson F 7.2 33' – – 2 6 (4%) 1
23 Mory Diaw G 7.2 90' – – – 22 (20%) –
10 Sadio Mané F 7.0 90' – – 3 43 (31%) –
14 Ismail Jakobs D 6.9 90' – – 1 49 (47%) 1
4 Abdoulaye Seck D 6.9 58' – 1 1 30 (26%) –
7 Assane Diao F 6.7 9' – – – 13 (13%) 1
20 Ibrahim Mbaye F 6.7 57' – – – 25 (20%) –
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss M 6.6 32' – – 1 19 (18%) –
Iraq
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 Jalal Hassan G 6.9 45' – – – 13 (2%) –
9 Ali Al-Hamadi F 6.9 58' – – – 7 (4%) 1
13 Ali Yousif F 6.7 32' – – – 5 (4%) 1
22 Ahmed Basil G 6.6 45' – – – 22 (8%) –
8 Ibrahim Bayesh M 6.3 90' – – – 11 (10%) 4
16 Amir Al-Ammari M 6.3 90' – – – 31 (22%) 1
17 Ali Jasim M 6.2 58' – – 1 20 (14%) –
15 Ahmed Hasan Maknazi D 6.2 32' – – – 6 (3%) 3
11 Ahmed Qasem M 6.2 16' – – – 2 –
14 Zidane Iqbal M 6.2 67' – – – 33 (31%) 1
19 Kevin Yakob M 6.2 23' – – 1 12 (9%) 1
6 Munaf Younus D 5.9 74' – – – 21 (17%) 1
5 Akam Hashem D 5.7 90' – – – 25 (17%) 1
23 Merchas Doski D 5.6 90' – – – 26 (15%) 3
26 Frans Putros D 5.6 90' – – – 22 (20%) 3
2 Rebin Sulaka D 3.0 13' – – – 10 (8%) –
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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Senegal
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Senegal
LWLLD
Iraq
DLLLL

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 26, 2026, Senegal will host Iraq, bringing together contrasting football styles. Senegal, known for their strong physical presence and pace, relies heavily on their attacking talents, including key players like Sadio Mané. They have a solid defensive record, having conceded only 1 goal in their last 5 matches. Iraq, while less heralded, has shown resilience and tactical discipline, often relying on a compact defense and quick counter-attacks. This match could hinge on Senegal’s ability to break down Iraq’s defensive setup, while Iraq will aim to exploit any gaps left in the Senegalese backline. Overall, Senegal enters as favorites, but Iraq's unpredictable nature could lead to a competitive encounter.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
61%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
10%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Senegal
I. Sarr 4 gls
Iraq

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Senegal vs Iraq

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Senegal — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Jul A Belgium L 3 - 2
26 Jun H Iraq W 5 - 0
23 Jun A Norway L 3 - 2
16 Jun A France L 3 - 1
09 Jun A Saudi Arabia D 0 - 0

Iraq — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
23 Sep H Oman D 1 - 1
26 Jun A Senegal L 5 - 0
22 Jun A France L 3 - 0
16 Jun H Norway L 1 - 4
10 Jun H Venezuela L 0 - 2

World Cup Standings

Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Mexico
3 3 0 0 +6 9
2
South Africa
3 1 1 1 -1 4
4
Czechia
3 0 1 2 -4 1

Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Switzerland
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Canada
3 1 1 1 +5 4
4
Qatar
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group C

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Brazil
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Morocco
3 2 1 0 +3 7
4
Haiti
3 0 0 3 -6 0

Group D

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
USA
3 2 0 1 +4 6
2
Australia
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Türkiye
3 1 0 2 -2 3

Group E

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Germany
3 2 0 1 +6 6
2
Ivory Coast
3 2 0 1 +2 6
4
Curaçao
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group F

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Netherlands
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Japan
3 1 2 0 +4 5
4
Tunisia
3 0 0 3 -10 0

Group G

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Belgium
3 1 2 0 +4 5
2
Egypt
3 1 2 0 +2 5
4
New Zealand
3 0 1 2 -6 1

Group H

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Spain
3 2 1 0 +5 7
2
Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3 0 0 3
4
Saudi Arabia
3 0 2 1 -4 2

Group I

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
France
3 3 0 0 +8 9
2
Norway
3 2 0 1 +1 6
4
Iraq
3 0 0 3 -11 0

Group J

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentina
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Austria
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Jordan
3 0 0 3 -5 0

Group K

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Colombia
3 2 1 0 +3 7
2
Portugal
3 1 2 0 +5 5
4
Uzbekistan
3 0 0 3 -9 0

Group L

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
England
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Croatia
3 2 0 1 0 6
4
Panama
3 0 0 3 -4 0

Group Stage

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Congo DR
3 1 1 1 +1 4
2
Sweden
3 1 1 1 0 4
3
Ghana
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Ecuador
3 1 1 1 0 4
5
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 1 1 -1 4
6
Algeria
3 1 1 1 -2 4
7
Paraguay
3 1 1 1 -2 4
8
Senegal
3 1 0 2 +2 3
9
Iran
3 0 3 0 0 3
10
South Korea
3 1 0 2 -1 3
11
Scotland
3 1 0 2 -3 3
12
Uruguay
3 0 2 1 -1 2

Senegal

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Bouna Thiaw Pape
23 Diaw
14 Jakobs
19 Niakhate
4 Seck
15 Diatta
8 Camara
5 Gueye
21 Diarra
10 Mane
18 Sarr
20 Mbaye

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 M. Diaw G
15 K. Diatta D
4 A. Seck D
19 M. Niakhate D
14 I. Jakobs D
21 H. Diarra M
5 I. Gueye M
8 L. Camara M
20 I. Mbaye F
18 I. Sarr F
10 S. Mane F

Substitutes

1 Y. Diouf G
3 K. Koulibaly D
11 N. Jackson F
9 B. Dieng F
24 A. Mendy D
2 M. Sarr D
7 A. Diao F
12 C. Ndiaye F
26 P. Gueye M
6 P. Ciss M
13 I. Ndiaye F
17 P. M. Sarr M
25 M. Diouf D
22 B. Sapoko Ndiaye M

Iraq

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Graham Arnold
22 Basil
23 Doski
5 Hashem
2 Sulaka
26 Putros
16 Ammari
14 Iqbal
8 Bayesh
17 Jasim
11 Qasem
9 Hamadi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 A. Basil G
26 F. Putros D
2 R. Sulaka D
5 A. Hashem D
23 M. Doski D
14 Z. Iqbal M
16 A. Al Ammari M
11 A. Qasem M
17 A. Jasim M
8 I. Bayesh M
9 A. Al Hamadi F

Substitutes

12 J. Hassan G
1 F. Talib G
13 A. Yousif F
3 H. Ali D
21 M. Farji M
4 Z. Tahseen D
10 M. Ali -
18 A. Hussein F
19 K. Yakob M
20 A. Sher M
7 Y. Amyn F
15 A. Maknzi D
6 M. Younis D
24 Z. Ismaeel M
25 M. Saadoon D

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