Ecuador vs Curaçao Previsione

World Cup · Group Stage - 2

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Curaçao

Away

Previsione AI Ecuador vince o pareggia

73%

20%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Ecuador vs Curaçao: Sportiko assegna a Ecuador una probabilità di vittoria del 73%, a Curaçao del 7% e al pareggio del 20%. Ultimo aggiornamento 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Under 3.5 Gol 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
Oltre 1.5 Gol 75%
Home/Draw & Over 1.5 70%

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Match Report

Ecuador were frustrated by a resolute Curaçao side as the two teams played out a goalless draw in this World Cup Group Stage encounter. Despite dominating possession with 75% of the ball and registering 28 shots — 15 on target — Ecuador could not find a way through, with their expected goals figure of 3.06 underlining just how wasteful they were in front of goal. Curaçao, by contrast, offered little going forward, managing just three shots on target and no corner kicks throughout the match.

Discipline was a recurring theme, with five yellow cards distributed across both sides in a fractious contest. Jordy Alcivar's booking in the 38th minute led to his half-time withdrawal, while Juninho Bacuna and Livano Comenencia both picked up cautions before being substituted later in the game. Pervis Estupiñán was withdrawn at the 70-minute mark as Ecuador pushed for a breakthrough that never came.

The result was a significant upset — our pre-match AI model had rated an Ecuador win as most likely at 73% — as Curaçao held firm to claim a valuable point against heavily favoured opposition.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jordy Alcivar Yellow Card

38' ▮

▮ 39'

Leandro Bacuna Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Jordy Alcivar ⇄ Kevin Rodriguez

46' ⇄

▮ 53'

Juninho Bacuna Yellow Card

▮ 56'

Livano Comenencia Yellow Card

Pervis Estupiñán ⇄ Nilson Angulo

70' ⇄

▮ 75'

Jurien Gaari Yellow Card

⇄ 75'

Juninho Bacuna ⇄ Kenji Gorré

⇄ 76'

Deveron Fonville ⇄ Roshon van Eijma

⇄ 76'

Tahith Chong ⇄ Jearl Margaritha

Alan Franco ⇄ Ángelo Preciado

83' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Jürgen Locadia ⇄ Gervane Kastaneer

⇄ 84'

Livano Comenencia ⇄ Godfried Roemeratoe

John Yeboah ⇄ Jordy Caicedo

89' ⇄

▮ 90+1'

Gervane Kastaneer Yellow Card

FT 0–0

Ecuador

Match Stats

Curaçao

75% Ball Possession 25%

3.06 Expected Goals (xG) 0.48

28 Total Shots 10

15 Shots on Goal 3

10 Shots off Goal 4

3 Blocked Shots 3

22 Shots insidebox 4

6 Shots outsidebox 6

8 Corner Kicks 0

1 Offsides 2

7 Fouls 10

1 Yellow Cards 5

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 15

633 Total passes 220

571 Passes accurate 154

90% Passes % 70%

2.48 goals_prevented 2.48

Ecuador

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Moisés Caicedo M	8.0	93'	–	–	1	109 (97%)	2
1 Hernán Galíndez G	7.9	93'	–	–	–	14 (12%)	–
15 Pedro Vite M	7.9	93'	–	–	2	93 (87%)	2
6 Willian Pacho D	7.3	93'	–	–	1	69 (64%)	2
19 Gonzalo Plata F	7.3	93'	–	–	5	49 (43%)	2
21 Alan Franco D	7.2	83'	–	–	–	63 (61%)	2
9 John Yeboah M	7.2	89'	–	–	2	38 (34%)	1
3 Piero Hincapié D	7.2	93'	–	–	2	72 (61%)	3
13 Enner Valencia F	6.7	93'	–	–	6	11 (11%)	–
20 Nilson Angulo F	6.7	23'	–	–	1	15 (14%)	–
7 Pervis Estupiñán M	6.3	70'	–	–	–	50 (43%)	3
5 Jordy Alcivar M	6.3	45'	–	–	1	33 (31%)	1
17 Ángelo Preciado D	6.3	10'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
11 Kevin Rodriguez F	6.3	48'	–	–	4	11 (9%)	1
16 Jordy Caicedo F	—	4'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

Curaçao

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Eloy Room G	10.0	93'	–	–	–	30 (10%)	–
5 Sherel Constancio Floranus D	7.5	93'	–	–	1	18 (17%)	3
20 Joshua Brenet D	7.2	93'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	5
18 Armando Obispo D	7.0	93'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	1
21 Tahith Chong M	6.9	76'	–	–	–	20 (18%)	–
24 Deveron Fonville D	6.6	76'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	2
7 Juninho Bacuna M	6.6	75'	–	–	1	14 (13%)	1
4 Roshon van Eijma D	6.6	17'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	1
19 Gervane Kastaneer F	6.6	10'	–	–	–	3	1
10 Leandro Bacuna M	6.5	93'	–	–	2	24 (17%)	–
9 Jürgen Locadia F	6.5	83'	–	–	–	18 (11%)	–
14 Kenji Gorré F	6.5	18'	–	–	–	2	–
16 Jearl Margaritha F	6.5	17'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
3 Jurien Gaari D	6.3	93'	–	–	–	17 (9%)	3
6 Godfried Roemeratoe M	6.3	9'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
8 Livano Comenencia M	6.2	84'	–	–	3	16 (13%)	–

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Confidence High (73%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Ecuador vince o pareggia

Most likely score

2:0 · 16.1%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Ecuador

LWDLW

Curaçao

LDLW

Match summary

Ecuador hosts Curaçao in a World Cup qualifying match on June 21, 2026. Ecuador, ranked 46th in FIFA standings, boasts a strong home advantage, having secured 70% of their points in qualifiers at home. They feature a balanced attack led by their captain, with a goal conversion rate of 15% in recent matches. In contrast, Curaçao, ranked 79th, has struggled in away fixtures, winning only 20% of their last five. While Ecuador aims to solidify their position in the qualification race, Curaçao must overcome their away form to pull off an upset. Expect Ecuador to control possession and create more scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Curaçao goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	3	1
1	14	9	2
2	16	9	2
3	11	6	2
4	6	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Ecuador goals · most likely 2–0 (16.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

73%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

73%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

91% Home (No Draw) 9% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 7% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	2.8%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
1	14.1%	9.3%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
2	16.1%	8.7%	2.3%	0.4%	0.1%
3	11.4%	6.1%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%
4	6.0%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ecuador	Draw	Curaçao
Ecuador	49.6%	2.5%	0.4%
Draw	22.5%	13.4%	3.3%
Curaçao	2.0%	2.4%	3.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

58%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ecuador vs Curaçao

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ecuador — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Jul	A Mexico	L	2 - 0
25 Jun	H Germany	W	2 - 1
21 Jun	H Curaçao	D	0 - 0
14 Jun	A Ivory Coast	L	1 - 0
31 May	H Saudi Arabia	W	2 - 1

Curaçao — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jun	H Ivory Coast	L	0 - 2
21 Jun	A Ecuador	D	0 - 0
14 Jun	A Germany	L	7 - 1
07 Jun	H Aruba	W	3 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Ecuador

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: Sebastian Beccacece

1 Galíndez

3 Hincapié

6 Pacho

21 Franco

5 Alcivar

7 Estupiñán

23 Caicedo

15 Vite

9 Yeboah

13 Valencia

19 Plata

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Hernán Galíndez	G
21	Alan Franco	D
6	Willian Pacho	D
3	Piero Hincapié	D
5	Jordy Alcivar	M
9	John Yeboah	M
15	Pedro Vite	M
23	Moisés Caicedo	M
7	Pervis Estupiñán	M
19	Gonzalo Plata	F
13	Enner Valencia	F

Substitutes

11	Kevin Rodriguez	F
20	Nilson Angulo	F
12	Moisés Ramírez	G
22	Gonzalo Valle	G
26	Yaimar Medina	D
4	Joel Ordóñez	D
25	Jackson Porozo	D
2	Félix Torres	D
17	Ángelo Preciado	D
10	Kendry Páez	M
18	Denil Castillo	M
16	Jordy Caicedo	F
24	Jeremy Arevalo	F
8	Anthony Valencia	F
14	Alan Minda	F

Curaçao

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: D. Advocaat

1 Room

24 Fonville

5 Floranus

18 Obispo

3 Gaari

20 Brenet

7 Bacuna

10 Bacuna

8 Comenencia

21 Chong

9 Locadia

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Eloy Room	G
20	Joshua Brenet	D
3	Jurien Gaari	D
18	Armando Obispo	D
5	Sherel Constancio Floranus	D
24	Deveron Fonville	D
21	Tahith Chong	M
8	Livano Comenencia	M
10	Leandro Bacuna	M
7	Juninho Bacuna	M
9	Jürgen Locadia	F

Substitutes

25	Tyrick Bodak	G
26	Trevor Iriving Doornbusch	G
2	Shurandy Sambo	D
4	Roshon van Eijma	D
23	Riechedly Bazoer	D
15	Ar'Jany Martha	M
16	Jearl Margaritha	F
14	Kenji Gorré	F
13	Tyrese Noslin	M
11	Jeremy Antonisse	F
22	Kevin Felida	M
6	Godfried Roemeratoe	M
19	Gervane Kastaneer	F
17	Brandley Kuwas	F
12	Sontje Hansen	F