Newcastle vs West Ham Prediction
Newcastle vs West Ham prediction: Sportiko gives Newcastle a 50% chance of winning, West Ham 25% and the draw 25%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Newcastle secured a comfortable 3–1 home victory over West Ham in Matchday 37 of the Premier League, establishing early dominance with two goals inside the opening 20 minutes. Nick Woltemade broke the deadlock in the 15th minute before William Osula doubled the advantage just four minutes later, putting the hosts firmly in control by half-time.
The second half continued in much the same vein, with Osula adding his second of the match in the 65th minute to effectively put the game beyond West Ham's reach. Valentín Castellanos pulled one back for the visitors in the 69th minute, but it proved little more than a consolation. Newcastle's dominance was reflected in their 55% possession and nine corner kicks compared to West Ham's one, though the shot count was level at 15 apiece. The hosts also held a clear edge in expected goals at 1.73 to 0.95.
The result was in line with pre-match expectations — Newcastle's win had been rated the most likely outcome at 50% by our AI model. West Ham's afternoon was further disrupted by yellow cards for Souček, Diouf, Kanté, and Hall in a fractious second period.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Newcastle
Match Stats
Newcastle
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 William Osula F | 9.3 | 85' | 2 | – | 2 | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 39 Bruno Guimarães M | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 68 (58%) | 5 |
| 1 Nick Pope G | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (16%) | – |
| 27 Nick Woltemade M | 7.3 | 75' | 1 | – | 1 | 35 (29%) | 1 |
| 41 Jacob Ramsey M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 56 (51%) | 5 |
| 12 Malick Thiaw D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (42%) | 3 |
| 4 Sven Botman D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (41%) | 2 |
| 28 Joe Willock M | 7.2 | 37' | – | 1 | – | 16 (15%) | – |
| 23 Jacob Murphy M | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 11 Harvey Barnes M | 6.9 | 75' | – | 1 | 1 | 26 (21%) | – |
| 9 Yoane Wissa F | 6.6 | 13' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| 33 Dan Burn D | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 8 Sandro Tonali M | 6.6 | 53' | – | – | – | 42 (37%) | 1 |
| 2 Kieran Trippier D | 6.6 | 85' | – | – | – | 46 (30%) | 1 |
| 20 Anthony Elanga F | 6.2 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 3 Lewis Hall D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 61 (50%) | 2 |
West Ham
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Konstantinos Mavropanos D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 52 (45%) | 3 |
| 11 Valentín Castellanos F | 7.5 | 64' | 1 | – | 6 | 14 (6%) | 1 |
| 7 C. Summerville F | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | 1 |
| 28 Tomáš Souček M | 6.9 | 63' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | 4 |
| 20 Jarrod Bowen F | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 25 (22%) | 2 |
| 18 Mateus Fernandes M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 71 (65%) | 1 |
| 29 Aaron Wan-Bissaka M | 6.7 | 63' | – | – | – | 22 (21%) | 2 |
| 12 El Hadji Malick Diouf M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (40%) | 1 |
| 4 Axel Disasi D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (40%) | 1 |
| 19 Pablo Felipe F | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 3 |
| 9 Callum Wilson F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 55 Mohamadou Kanté M | 6.2 | 27' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 25 Jean-Clair Todibo D | 6.0 | 26' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 1 Mads Hermansen G | 5.5 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 35 (18%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Newcastle vs West Ham
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov 2025 | West Ham | 3 - 1 | Newcastle |
| 10 Mar 2025 | West Ham | 0 - 1 | Newcastle |
| 25 Nov 2024 | Newcastle | 0 - 2 | West Ham |
Newcastle — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul | A Bristol City | L | 4 - 1 |
| 25 Jul | A Gateshead | D | 1 - 1 |
| 24 May | A Fulham | L | 2 - 0 |
| 17 May | H West Ham | W | 3 - 1 |
| 10 May | A Nottingham Forest | D | 1 - 1 |
West Ham — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug | A 1. FC Magdeburg | D | 1 - 1 |
| 26 Jul | A Rangers | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 May | H Leeds | W | 3 - 0 |
| 17 May | A Newcastle | L | 3 - 1 |
| 10 May | H Arsenal | L | 0 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Aston Villa
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Bournemouth
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Brighton
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Coventry
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Crystal Palace
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Everton
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Fulham
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Hull City
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Ipswich
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Leeds
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Liverpool
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Manchester City
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Manchester United
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |
Newcastle
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |
Nottingham Forest
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 |
Sunderland
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Newcastle
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Eddie Howe
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Pope | G |
| 2 | K. Trippier | D |
| 12 | M. Thiaw | D |
| 4 | S. Botman | D |
| 3 | L. Hall | D |
| 39 | Bruno Guimaraes | M |
| 8 | S. Tonali | M |
| 11 | H. Barnes | M |
| 27 | N. Woltemade | M |
| 41 | J. Ramsey | M |
| 18 | W. Osula | F |
Substitutes
| 32 | A. Ramsdale | G |
| 33 | D. Burn | D |
| 28 | J. Willock | M |
| 9 | Y. Wissa | F |
| 10 | A. Gordon | F |
| 23 | J. Murphy | M |
| 20 | A. Elanga | F |
| 37 | A. Murphy | D |
| 62 | S. Neave | F |
West Ham
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Hermansen | G |
| 4 | A. Disasi | D |
| 15 | K. Mavropanos | D |
| 25 | J. Todibo | D |
| 29 | A. Wan-Bissaka | M |
| 28 | T. Soucek | M |
| 18 | M. Fernandes | M |
| 12 | M. Diouf | M |
| 20 | J. Bowen | F |
| 7 | C. Summerville | F |
| 9 | C. Wilson | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | A. Areola | G |
| 2 | K. Walker-Peters | D |
| 27 | S. Magassa | M |
| 11 | T. Castellanos | F |
| 3 | M. Kilman | D |
| 32 | F. Potts | M |
| 19 | Pablo | F |
| 30 | O. Scarles | D |
| 55 | M. Kante | M |