Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense Predviđanje

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

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Cruzeiro

Home

3 : 1

HT 1 - 1

Atletico Paranaense

Away

AI predikcija Cruzeiro ili neriješeno

47%

29%

24%

Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense: Sportiko procjenjuje da Cruzeiro ima 47% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Atletico Paranaense 24%, a neriješeno 29%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 6 Sep 2026, 21:04.

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Ispod 3.5 golova 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Matheus Pereira assist: Gerson

30' ⚽ 1–0

Gabriel Rojas Yellow Card

33' ▮

Gabriel Rojas ⇄ Lucas Villalba

45' ⇄

⇄ 45'

Arthur Dias ⇄ Lucas Esquivel

⇄ 45'

Jádson ⇄ Juan Portilla

Matheus Henrique Goal cancelled

45' 🖵

⚽ 1–1 45+1'

João Cruz

Matheus Pereira Penalty confirmed

45+6' 🖵

Matheus Pereira Missed Penalty

45+8' ✗

HT 1–1

▮ 62'

Juan Felipe Aguirre Yellow Card

Fabrício Bruno Yellow Card

64' ▮

⇄ 65'

Leozinho ⇄ Kerwin Calderón Vargas

⇄ 65'

João Cruz ⇄ Bruno Zapelli

Keny Arroyo ⇄ Wesley

70' ⇄

Lucas Romero assist: Matheus Pereira

71' ⚽ 2–1

▮ 79'

Mycael Yellow Card

⇄ 81'

Kevin Viveros ⇄ Renan

Kaio Jorge Penalty

82' ⚽ 3–1

Gerson ⇄ João Costa

87' ⇄

Kaio Jorge ⇄ Luciano Rodríguez

90+2' ⇄

Matheus Henrique ⇄ Zé Lucas

90+2' ⇄

FT 3–1

Cruzeiro

Match Stats

Atletico Paranaense

61% Ball Possession 39%

19 Total Shots 16

6 Shots on Goal 6

11 Shots off Goal 6

2 Blocked Shots 4

13 Shots insidebox 7

6 Shots outsidebox 9

7 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 2

9 Fouls 14

2 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 3

589 Total passes 382

514 Passes accurate 315

13 Free Kicks 9

Cruzeiro

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Matheus Pereira M	9.0	90'	1	1	4	55 (50%)	2
29 Lucas Romero M	8.2	90'	1	–	2	78 (73%)	2
81 Otávio Costa G	7.4	90'	–	–	–	19 (11%)	–
8 Gerson M	7.3	87'	–	1	1	54 (45%)	1
7 Matheus Henrique M	7.1	92'	–	–	2	73 (71%)	–
19 Kaio Jorge F	7.1	92'	1	–	3	27 (19%)	–
67 João Costa F	7.0	3'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	1
43 João Marcelo D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	77 (70%)	–
23 Fagner D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	44 (34%)	3
27 Gabriel Rojas D	6.6	46'	–	–	1	33 (27%)	–
99 Keny Arroyo M	6.6	70'	–	–	5	18 (14%)	–
20 Wesley F	6.5	20'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
25 Lucas Villalba D	6.4	44'	–	–	–	35 (34%)	1
15 Fabrício Bruno D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	63 (56%)	–

Atletico Paranaense

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 João Cruz M	7.0	65'	1	–	2	22 (16%)	1
14 Luiz Gustavo M	6.7	90'	–	–	2	24 (22%)	3
18 Kerwin Calderón Vargas F	6.6	25'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	–
27 Juan Portilla M	6.5	44'	–	–	2	31 (27%)	1
25 Dantas D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	41 (36%)	3
12 Gilberto M	6.4	90'	–	–	2	52 (41%)	1
21 Leozinho M	6.4	65'	–	–	1	24 (22%)	1
70 Renan F	6.3	9'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
9 Kevin Viveros F	6.2	81'	–	–	4	8 (7%)	–
4 Arthur Dias D	6.0	46'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	1
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	28 (24%)	–
7 Steven Mendoza M	5.9	90'	–	–	2	42 (35%)	1
10 Bruno Zapelli M	5.9	25'	–	–	1	14 (12%)	2
16 Jádson M	5.8	46'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	–
1 Mycael G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	23 (13%)	–
37 Lucas Esquivel D	5.5	44'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	–

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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Naša prednost

Cruzeiro ili neriješeno

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Cruzeiro

WLWLL

Atletico Paranaense

WDLDW

Last 3 meetings Cruzeiro · 1W 0D 2L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

47%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

24%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atletico Paranaense goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	1
1	10	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Cruzeiro goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

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Players in form

Cruzeiro

Matheus Pereira 9 gls

Atletico Paranaense

K. Viveros 18 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

29%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

29%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	6.3%	4.1%	1.4%	0.4%
1	10.3%	13.8%	6.3%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.1%	9.4%	4.8%	1.7%	0.4%
3	4.7%	4.8%	2.5%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.8%	1.9%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cruzeiro	Draw	Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro	31.1%	4.5%	1.5%
Draw	15.6%	18.2%	9.5%
Atletico Paranaense	2.0%	4.0%	13.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense

1 Cruzeiro Wins

0 Draws

2 Atletico Paranaense Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Mar 2026	Atletico Paranaense	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
26 Oct 2024	Atletico Paranaense	3 - 0	Cruzeiro
26 Jun 2024	Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Atletico Paranaense

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Cruzeiro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Vitoria	W	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Santos	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Atletico Paranaense	W	3 - 1
02 Sep	A Atletico-MG	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Vasco DA Gama	L	3 - 1

Atletico Paranaense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Bahia	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Coritiba	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	A Cruzeiro	L	3 - 1
30 Aug	H Fluminense	D	3 - 3
24 Aug	A Botafogo	W	2 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Atletico Paranaense

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Odair Hellmann

1 Mycael

4 Dias

33 Aguirre

25 Dantas

7 Mendoza

14 Gustavo

16 Jádson

12 Gilberto

8 Cruz

21 Leozinho

9 Viveros

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Mycael	G
25	Dantas	D
33	J. Aguirre	D
4	Arthur Dias	D
12	Gilberto	M
16	Jádson	M
14	Luiz Gustavo	M
7	S. Mendoza	M
21	Leozinho	M
8	João Cruz	M
9	K. Viveros	F

Substitutes

10	B. Zapelli	M
18	K. Vargas	F
53	Dudu	M
22	C. Terán	D
23	Santos	G
19	Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto	F
70	Renan	F
27	J. Portilla	M
3	Léo	D
2	Gilberto	D
5	Felipinho	D
37	L. Esquivel	D

Cruzeiro

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Artur Jorge

81 Costa

27 Rojas

43 Marcelo

15 Bruno

23 Fágner

7 Henrique

29 Romero

8 Gerson

10 Pereira

99 Arroyo

19 Jorge

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
81	Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa	G
23	Fágner	D
15	Fabrício Bruno	D
43	João Marcelo	D
27	G. Rojas	D
29	L. Romero	M
7	Matheus Henrique	M
99	K. Arroyo	M
10	Matheus Pereira	M
8	Gerson	M
19	Kaio Jorge	F

Substitutes

1	Cássio	G
5	Zé Lucas	M
12	William	D
20	Wesley Gassova	F
25	L. Villalba	D
97	L. Rodríguez	F
16	Lucas Silva	M
9	Bruno Rodrigues	F
67	João Gabriel e Costa Cesco	F
38	Felipe Morais	M
2	Kauã Moraes	D
70	Kenji	F