Le Havre vs Marseille Predviđanje

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33
FT
Post on X
Stade Océane, Le Havre
AI predikcija Marseille – pobjeda ili neriješeno
11%
22%
66%
Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Le Havre vs Marseille: Sportiko procjenjuje da Le Havre ima 11% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Marseille 66%, a neriješeno 22%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

A tense Ligue 1 encounter at Le Havre remained goalless at half-time, with the decisive moment arriving early in the second half. A VAR review confirmed a penalty for Marseille in the 53rd minute, and Mason Greenwood converted two minutes later to give the visitors the lead. The match grew increasingly fractious in the aftermath, with four yellow cards shown in quick succession between the 57th and 59th minutes.

Le Havre pushed for an equaliser in the closing stages but were denied in dramatic fashion when a late goal from Igor Paixão was ruled out by VAR in stoppage time, preserving Marseille's slender advantage. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Marseille win as the most likely outcome at 66%, a call that proved correct.

The statistics reflected a closely contested affair, with possession split evenly at 50-50 and expected goals nearly identical at 1.21 for Le Havre and 1.14 for Marseille. Ultimately, Greenwood's penalty proved the difference, securing all three points for the away side.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Sofiane Boufal Yellow Card
41' ▮
HT 0–0
Ayumu Seko Yellow Card
47' ▮
🖵 53'
Mason Greenwood Penalty confirmed
⚽ 0–1 55'
Mason Greenwood Penalty
Yanis Zouaoui Yellow Card
57' ▮
▮ 59'
Tochukwu Nnadi Yellow Card
⇄ 66'
Tochukwu Nnadi ⇄ Arthur Vermeeren
Fodé Doucouré ⇄ Timothee Pembele
72' ⇄
Sofiane Boufal ⇄ Simon Ebonog
72' ⇄
Yanis Zouaoui ⇄ Enzo Koffi
80' ⇄
▮ 81'
Q. Timber Yellow Card
⇄ 87'
Mason Greenwood ⇄ Ange Lago
⇄ 87'
Q. Timber ⇄ Nouhoum Kamissoko
Simon Ebonog Yellow Card
88' ▮
Lucas Gourna-Douath ⇄ Yassine Kechta
89' ⇄
⇄ 90'
Amine Gouiri ⇄ Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri
🖵 90+8'
Igor Paixão Goal cancelled
FT 0–1
Le Havre

Match Stats

Marseille
50% Ball Possession 50%
1.14 Expected Goals (xG) 1.21
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Corner Kicks 0
4 Offsides 3
20 Fouls 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
386 Total passes 392
310 Passes accurate 317
80% Passes % 81%
0.13 goals_prevented 0.13
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Naša prednost
Marseille – pobjeda ili neriješeno
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Le Havre
LDLDL
Marseille
LLLLL
Last 3 meetings Le Havre · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on May 9, 2026, Le Havre will host Marseille at home. Le Havre, known for their solid defensive structure, will need to be particularly vigilant against Marseille's potent attacking trio, which has registered an impressive average of 2.2 goals per game this season. Marseille’s away form has been strong, with a win rate of around 60% in away matches, while Le Havre struggles to maintain consistency, particularly against top-tier opponents. Key players to watch include Le Havre’s goalkeeper, who has made crucial saves this season, and Marseille's leading scorer, who has been instrumental in breaking down defensive lines. Overall, this matchup could hinge on Le Havre's ability to frustrate Marseille's attack while leveraging their home advantage.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Le Havre
M. Samatta 2 gls
Marseille
A. Gouiri 4 gls

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Head to Head: Le Havre vs Marseille

0 Le Havre Wins
0 Draws
3 Marseille Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Oct 2025 Marseille 6 - 2 Le Havre
10 May 2025 Le Havre 1 - 3 Marseille
05 Jan 2025 Marseille 5 - 1 Le Havre
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Le Havre — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Toulouse L 3 - 2
12 Sep H Angers D 0 - 0
05 Sep H Stade Brestois 29 L 1 - 2
29 Aug A Lyon D 1 - 1
23 Aug H Monaco L 0 - 1

Marseille — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Paris Saint Germain L 1 - 2
17 Sep A Beşiktaş L 4 - 1
11 Sep A Rennes L 1 - 0
06 Sep H Paris FC L 2 - 3
30 Aug A Monaco L 2 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Marseille

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Habib Beye
1 Rulli
33 Emerson
32 Medina
5 Balerdi
28 Pavard
23 Hojbjerg
6 Nnadi
14 Paixao
27 Timber
10 Greenwood
9 Gouiri

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 G. Rulli G
28 B. Pavard D
5 L. Balerdi D
32 F. Medina D
33 Emerson D
6 T. Nnadi M
23 P. Hojbjerg M
10 M. Greenwood M
27 Q. Timber M
14 I. Paixao M
9 A. Gouiri F

Substitutes

12 J. De Lange G
11 E. Nwaneri M
18 A. Vermeeren M
72 H. Hamzaoui D
78 E. Lago F
35 K. Bezahaf D
76 T. Mmadi M
71 N. Kamissoko M
70 U. Lamare El Kadmiri F

Le Havre

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: D. Digard
99 Diaw
18 Zouaoui
4 Lloris
15 Seko
93 Sangante
14 Ndiaye
19 Gourna-Douath
45 Soumare
17 Boufal
13 Doucoure
25 Samatta

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 M. Diaw G
93 A. Sangante D
15 A. Seko D
4 G. Lloris D
18 Y. Zouaoui D
19 L. Gourna-Douath M
14 R. Ndiaye M
13 F. Doucoure M
17 S. Boufal M
45 I. Soumare M
25 A. Samatta F

Substitutes

77 L. Mpasi-Nzau G
10 F. Mambimbi F
11 G. Kyeremeh F
8 Y. Kechta M
7 L. Nego D
32 T. Pembele D
6 E. Youte Kinkoue D
26 S. Ebonog M
27 E. K. Vinette F

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