Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise Predviđanje

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
FT
Post on X
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
AI predikcija Previše neizvjesno za procjenu
35%
28%
37%
Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: Sportiko procjenjuje da Celta Vigo ima 35% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Union St. Gilloise 37%, a neriješeno 28%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 5 Nov 2026, 21:55.

Match Report

Celta Vigo made a bright start at Balaídos, with Pablo Durán breaking the deadlock in the 11th minute. Union St. Gilloise responded swiftly, however, as Besfort Zeneli levelled on 35 minutes to ensure the sides went into the break level at 1–1. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Union St. Gilloise win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that remained very much in the balance at half-time.

The Belgian side took control early in the second half, with Zeneli completing a brace just four minutes after the restart to put St. Gilloise ahead. Despite Celta enjoying moments of pressure — reflected in an expected goals figure of 2.06 against the visitors' 1.1 — the home side struggled to convert, managing only three shots on target across the entire match.

St. Gilloise's resilience was tested further when a VAR-confirmed penalty was awarded on 78 minutes, but Zeneli saw his spot-kick missed, sparing the visitors any late anxiety. Union St. Gilloise dominated possession at 58% and earned a commanding 11 corner kicks to Celta's one, sealing a composed 2–1 victory.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Pablo Durán assist: Sergio Carreira
11' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 35'
Besfort Zeneli assist: Adem Zorgane
HT 1–1
⚽ 1–2 49'
Besfort Zeneli assist: Kevin Rodriguez
Aleix Febas ⇄ Iago Aspas
60' ⇄
Hugo Álvarez ⇄ Ilaix Moriba
60' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Adem Zorgane ⇄ Dylan Aquino
⇄ 66'
Kevin Rodriguez ⇄ Denzel De Roeve
▮ 71'
Guilherme Smith Yellow Card
Williot Swedberg ⇄ Couhaib Driouech
71' ⇄
🖵 78'
Relebohile Mofokeng Penalty confirmed
✗ 80'
Besfort Zeneli Missed Penalty
Javier Rueda ⇄ Ferran Jutglà
81' ⇄
Hugo Burcio ⇄ Andrés Antañón
81' ⇄
⇄ 81'
Guilherme Smith ⇄ I. Hurtevent
⇄ 81'
Nikki Havenaar ⇄ R. Sykes
⇄ 86'
Relebohile Mofokeng ⇄ Darius Olaru
Pablo Durán Yellow Card
90+5' ▮
FT 1–2
Celta Vigo

Match Stats

Union St. Gilloise
58% Ball Possession 42%
1.1 Expected Goals (xG) 2.06
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 9
5 Shots outsidebox 6
11 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 1
16 Fouls 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
575 Total passes 422
502 Passes accurate 351
10 Free Kicks 14
Celta Vigo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Pablo Durán F 8.2 90' 1 – 5 22 (14%) 1
5 Sergio Carreira M 7.4 90' – 1 2 50 (45%) –
10 Iago Aspas F 7.2 30' – – – 23 (19%) –
20 Javi Rodríguez D 6.9 90' – – 1 92 (81%) 2
3 Marcos Alonso D 6.8 90' – – 1 76 (66%) 3
18 Yoel Lago D 6.8 90' – – – 73 (70%) 3
24 Couhaib Driouech F 6.7 19' – – 1 9 (8%) –
6 Ilaix Moriba M 6.5 30' – – 1 24 (23%) 1
9 Ferran Jutglà F 6.5 9' – – 1 3 (3%) –
14 Aleix Febas M 6.4 60' – – 1 29 (25%) 1
19 Williot Swedberg F 6.4 71' – – – 20 (19%) 1
17 Javier Rueda M 6.3 81' – – – 33 (28%) 2
30 Hugo Burcio M 6.3 81' – – 1 45 (42%) 2
23 Hugo Álvarez F 6.2 60' – – – 34 (29%) –
28 Andrés Antañón M 6.0 9' – – – 11 (9%) –
13 Ionuț Radu G 5.9 90' – – – 24 (15%) –
Union St. Gilloise
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Besfort Zeneli M 8.9 90' 2 – 4 41 (35%) –
8 Adem Zorgane M 7.6 66' – 1 2 56 (49%) 1
29 Massire Sylla D 7.1 90' – – 1 42 (38%) 2
12 Hervé Koffi G 6.9 90' – – – 26 (19%) –
13 Kevin Rodriguez F 6.8 66' – 1 1 15 (11%) –
25 I. Hurtevent F 6.8 9' – – – – –
20 Dylan Aquino F 6.7 24' – – – 5 (3%) 1
6 Kamiel Van de Perre M 6.6 90' – – 1 57 (51%) 4
55 Nikki Havenaar D 6.6 81' – – – 42 (34%) 4
38 Relebohile Mofokeng M 6.5 86' – – 2 29 (26%) 1
27 Louis Patris M 6.5 90' – – 2 30 (21%) 1
11 Guilherme Smith M 6.4 81' – – 1 34 (30%) 4
26 R. Sykes D 6.3 9' – – – 1 –
21 Denzel De Roeve D 6.2 24' – – – 7 (3%) –
28 Darius Olaru M 6.2 4' – – – 1 (1%) –
4 N. Chibani D 6.1 90' – – 1 33 (27%) 1
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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Naša prednost
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Celta Vigo
LLDWW
Union St. Gilloise
WWWWW

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Union St. Gilloise leads 1-2. Win probability: 85.4%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 14.6%.

49' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Union St. Gilloise win: 76.3%. BTTS: 100%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 24.3%, Away win 2H: 35.8%.

36' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 36.2%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

12' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Celta Vigo win: 56.9%. BTTS: 76.6%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Head to Head: Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Union St. Gilloise L 1 - 2
31 Oct A Rayo Vallecano L 3 - 0
25 Oct H Real Betis D 0 - 0
22 Oct A Celtic W 1 - 2
18 Oct H Alaves W 2 - 1

Union St. Gilloise — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Celta Vigo W 1 - 2
31 Oct A SK Beveren W 1 - 2
25 Oct H Cercle Brugge W 5 - 2
22 Oct H Hapoel Beer Sheva W 4 - 0
18 Oct H Nijlen W 3 - 0

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Benfica
4 4 0 0 +10 12
2
Bournemouth
4 4 0 0 +9 12
3
Ferencvarosi TC
4 4 0 0 +8 12
4
Union St. Gilloise
4 3 1 0 +8 10
5
Juventus
4 3 1 0 +7 10
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 +3 10
7
Bayer Leverkusen
4 3 0 1 +7 9
8
Beşiktaş
4 2 1 1 +3 7
9
Dinamo Zagreb
4 2 1 1 +1 7
10
Levski Sofia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
11
Sunderland
4 2 1 1 0 7
12
NEC Nijmegen
4 2 1 1 -1 7
13
Lyon
4 2 1 1 -1 7
14
AZ Alkmaar
4 2 0 2 +3 6
15
Anderlecht
4 2 0 2 +3 6
16
OFI
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Rennes
4 1 3 0 +1 6
18
Omonia Nicosia
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Torreense
4 2 0 2 -2 6
20
Real Sociedad
4 1 2 1 +5 5
21
Crystal Palace
4 1 2 1 +3 5
22
Sparta Praha
4 1 1 2 0 4
23
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 1 2 0 4
24
Sturm Graz
4 1 1 2 -3 4
25
Celje
4 1 1 2 -4 4
26
Red Bull Salzburg
4 1 1 2 -5 4
27
Celta Vigo
4 1 0 3 -2 3
28
AC Milan
4 1 0 3 -3 3
29
Jagiellonia
4 1 0 3 -3 3
30
Plzen
4 1 0 3 -4 3
31
Marseille
4 1 0 3 -4 3
32
Celtic
4 1 0 3 -5 3
33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4 0 1 3 -7 1
34
Lillestrom
4 0 1 3 -8 1
35
Lech Poznan
4 0 1 3 -10 1
36
Ararat-Armenia
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Union St. Gilloise

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: D. Hubert
12 Koffi
55 Havenaar
29 Sylla
4 Chibani
11 Carvalho
8 Zorgane
6 Perre
27 Patris
23 Zeneli
38 Mofokeng
13 Rodríguez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 H. Koffi G
4 N. Chibani D
29 M. Sylla D
55 N. Havenaar D
27 L. Patris M
6 K. Van de Perre M
8 A. Zorgane M
11 Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho M
38 R. Mofokeng M
23 B. Zeneli M
13 K. Rodríguez F

Substitutes

26 R. Sykes D
17 R. Schoofs M
28 D. Olaru M
25 I. Hurtevent F
39 youssef hamoutahar F
30 R. Florucz F
21 D. De Roeve D
1 V. Chambaere G
20 D. Aquino F
43 Daniel Tshilanda Kabongo D
32 S. Keita F

Celta Vigo

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
13 Radu
3 Alonso
18 Lago
20 Rodríguez
5 Carreira
30 Burcio
14 Febas
17 Rueda
19 Swedberg
11 Durán
23 Álvarez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 I. Radu G
20 Javi Rodríguez D
18 Yoel Lago D
3 Marcos Alonso D
17 Javi Rueda M
14 Aleix Febas M
30 H. Burcio M
5 Sergio Carreira M
23 Hugo Álvarez F
11 Pablo Durán F
19 W. Swedberg F

Substitutes

6 I. Moriba M
35 G. Miller D
9 Ferran Jutglà F
22 Javi Galán D
28 Andrés Antañón M
4 A. Faye D
31 Ángel Arcos F
10 Iago Aspas F
1 A. Bayındır G
21 S. Cáceres D
24 C. Driouech F
16 Hugo González F

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