Bayern München vs Arsenal Predviđanje

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
FT
Post on X
Allianz Arena, München
AI predikcija Bayern München ili neriješeno
43%
27%
31%
Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Bayern München vs Arsenal: Sportiko procjenjuje da Bayern München ima 43% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Arsenal 31%, a neriješeno 27%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 21 Oct 2026, 20:53.

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Match Report

Arsenal came from behind twice to earn a 2–2 draw against Bayern München in the UEFA Champions League league stage, in a match that saw both sides trade blows across 90 absorbing minutes. Eberechi Eze broke the deadlock on 25 minutes, with VAR confirming the goal shortly after, before Alphonso Davies levelled for the hosts on 35 minutes to send the teams in level at the break. Bukayo Saka had been forced off as early as the 10th minute, adding an early complication to Arsenal's evening.

Bayern took the lead through a Harry Kane penalty on 61 minutes, putting the German side in control, but Arsenal refused to fold. Declan Rice equalised with eight minutes remaining to secure a point for the visitors. The xG figures — 1.35 for Bayern against 2.55 for Arsenal — underlined that the Gunners created the clearer opportunities overall despite spending less time on the ball.

The result leaves both clubs with points on the board in the league stage. Notably, our pre-match AI model had rated a Bayern win as the most likely outcome at 43%, a call that ultimately fell just short of materialising.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⇄ 10'
Bukayo Saka ⇄ Eberechi Eze
▮ 13'
Kai Havertz Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 25'
Eberechi Eze assist: Martin Ødegaard
🖵 26'
Eberechi Eze Goal confirmed
Alphonso Davies assist: Harry Kane
35' ⚽ 1–1
▮ 39'
Ezri Konsa Yellow Card
Kim Min-jae ⇄ Jonathan Tah
45' ⇄
HT 1–1
Harry Kane Penalty
61' ⚽ 2–1
Ismael Saibari ⇄ Luis Díaz
68' ⇄
S. Gnabry ⇄ Lennart Karl
68' ⇄
⇄ 68'
Kai Havertz ⇄ Viktor Gyökeres
⇄ 69'
Bruno Guimarães ⇄ Myles Lewis-Skelly
⚽ 2–2 82'
Declan Rice assist: Viktor Gyökeres
⇄ 85'
Martin Ødegaard ⇄ Mikel Merino
Alphonso Davies ⇄ Nathaniel Brown
85' ⇄
Luis Díaz ⇄ Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
90' ⇄
FT 2–2
Bayern München

Match Stats

Arsenal
42% Ball Possession 58%
2.55 Expected Goals (xG) 1.35
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 9
3 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
433 Total passes 500
372 Passes accurate 435
5 Free Kicks 15
Bayern München
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Harry Kane F 7.7 90' 1 1 4 25 (18%) –
19 Alphonso Davies M 7.5 85' 1 – 2 25 (21%) 1
45 Aleksandar Pavlović M 6.7 90' – – – 64 (61%) 2
2 Dayot Upamecano D 6.7 90' – – 1 52 (47%) 5
14 Luis Díaz F 6.6 22' – – 1 1 –
8 Tom Bischof M 6.6 90' – – – 51 (50%) 2
4 Jonathan Tah D 6.5 44' – – – 35 (33%) –
44 Josip Stanišić D 6.4 90' – – – 36 (32%) 2
34 Ismael Saibari M 6.3 68' – – 2 22 (17%) 1
27 Konrad Laimer D 6.3 90' – – 1 25 (19%) 1
1 Manuel Neuer G 6.2 90' – – – 36 (24%) –
3 Kim Min-jae D 6.1 46' – – – 27 (22%) –
11 Nathaniel Brown D 6.1 5' – – – 1 –
7 S. Gnabry M 6.0 68' – – 2 17 (15%) 1
42 Lennart Karl M 5.9 22' – – – 6 (5%) –
Arsenal
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
41 Declan Rice M 8.2 90' 1 – 1 76 (68%) 5
10 Eberechi Eze M 7.9 80' 1 – 2 21 (18%) 1
8 Martin Ødegaard M 7.6 85' – 1 1 69 (62%) 1
39 Bruno Guimarães M 6.7 69' – – 2 32 (29%) 2
14 Viktor Gyökeres F 6.6 22' – 1 – 2 (1%) –
7 Bukayo Saka F 6.6 10' – – – 5 (4%) –
33 Riccardo Calafiori D 6.6 90' – – 4 26 (22%) 1
6 Gabriel Magalhães D 6.5 90' – – – 68 (65%) 1
20 Noni Madueke F 6.4 90' – – 1 34 (32%) 2
12 J. Timber D 6.4 90' – – 1 31 (25%) 3
29 Kai Havertz F 6.2 68' – – 1 14 (13%) –
15 Ezri Konsa D 6.1 90' – – – 59 (56%) –
49 Myles Lewis-Skelly D 6.1 21' – – – 7 (6%) –
23 Mikel Merino M 6.0 5' – – 1 1 (1%) –
1 David Raya G 5.8 90' – – – 46 (24%) –
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Naša prednost
Bayern München ili neriješeno
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Bayern München
WWDWW
Arsenal
WWWDW
Last 3 meetings Bayern München · 1W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
43%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
31%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bayern München
H. Kane 4 gls
Arsenal

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Bayern München vs Arsenal

1 Bayern München Wins
1 Draws
1 Arsenal Wins
Date Home Score Away
26 Nov 2025 Arsenal 3 - 1 Bayern München
17 Apr 2024 Bayern München 1 - 0 Arsenal
09 Apr 2024 Arsenal 2 - 2 Bayern München
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Bayern München — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A FSV Mainz 05 W 1 - 2
03 Nov A Atletico Madrid W 0 - 2
31 Oct H Borussia Dortmund D 2 - 2
28 Oct H 1. FC Magdeburg W 6 - 1
25 Oct A SC Freiburg W 1 - 3

Arsenal — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Hull City W 1 - 0
04 Nov A Slavia Praha W 1 - 2
01 Nov A Liverpool W 0 - 1
27 Oct A Fleetwood Town D 1 - 1
24 Oct H Everton W 2 - 0

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
4 4 0 0 +15 12
2
Real Madrid
4 4 0 0 +6 12
3
Arsenal
4 3 1 0 +5 10
4
Como
4 3 0 1 +13 9
5
Barcelona
4 3 0 1 +8 9
6
Aston Villa
4 3 0 1 +6 9
7
Manchester City
4 3 0 1 +5 9
8
Liverpool
4 3 0 1 +4 9
9
Club Brugge KV
4 3 0 1 +4 9
10
Sporting CP
4 3 0 1 +4 9
11
Real Betis
4 3 0 1 +2 9
12
Borussia Dortmund
4 3 0 1 +2 9
13
Bayern München
4 2 2 0 +7 8
14
VfB Stuttgart
4 2 1 1 +3 7
15
Inter
4 2 0 2 +2 6
16
Lask Linz
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Manchester United
4 2 0 2 0 6
18
Galatasaray
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Fenerbahçe
4 1 2 1 -5 5
20
AS Roma
4 1 1 2 +2 4
21
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 1 1 2 0 4
22
Viking
4 1 1 2 -1 4
23
Atletico Madrid
4 1 1 2 -1 4
24
PSV Eindhoven
4 1 1 2 -1 4
25
Bodo/Glimt
4 1 1 2 -5 4
26
FC Porto
4 1 0 3 -1 3
27
Napoli
4 1 0 3 -5 3
28
Villarreal
4 1 0 3 -6 3
29
AEK Athens FC
4 1 0 3 -6 3
30
RB Leipzig
4 1 0 3 -6 3
31
Sabah FA
4 1 0 3 -6 3
32
Feyenoord
4 1 0 3 -7 3
33
Lens
4 1 0 3 -12 3
34
Slavia Praha
4 0 1 3 -4 1
35
Lille
4 0 1 3 -6 1
36
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 -16 0

Arsenal

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Mikel Arteta
1 Raya
33 Calafiori
6 Magalhães
15 Konsa
12 Timber
41 Rice
39 Guimarães
8 Ødegaard
20 Madueke
29 Havertz
7 Saka

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 David Raya G
12 J. Timber D
15 E. Konsa D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
33 R. Calafiori D
8 M. Ødegaard M
39 Bruno Guimarães M
41 D. Rice M
7 B. Saka F
29 K. Havertz F
20 N. Madueke F

Substitutes

56 M. Dowman F
10 E. Eze M
14 V. Gyökeres F
49 M. Lewis-Skelly D
23 Mikel Merino M
30 I. Meslier G
3 Cristhian Mosquera D
4 B. White D
36 Martín Zubimendi M
13 Kepa G

Bayern München

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: V. Kompany
1 Neuer
44 Stanišić
3 Min-Jae
2 Upamecano
27 Laimer
45 Pavlović
8 Bischof
19 Davies
34 Saibari
7 Gnabry
9 Kane

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Neuer G
27 K. Laimer D
2 D. Upamecano D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
44 J. Stanišić D
8 T. Bischof M
45 A. Pavlović M
7 S. Gnabry M
34 I. Saibari M
19 A. Davies M
9 H. Kane F

Substitutes

39 Bara Ndiaye M
23 S. Boey D
46 T. Binder M
42 L. Karl M
21 H. Ito D
4 J. Tah D
14 L. Díaz F
26 S. Ulreich G
40 J. Urbig G
11 N. Brown D

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