Turku PS vs Ilves Predviđanje

Veikkausliiga · Relegation Group - 25

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Turku PS

Home

0 : 3

HT 0 - 1

Ilves

Away

Veritas Stadion, Åbo

AI predikcija Previše neizvjesno za procjenu

37%

28%

35%

Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Turku PS vs Ilves: Sportiko procjenjuje da Turku PS ima 37% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Ilves 35%, a neriješeno 28%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 19 Sep 2026, 13:54.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
1st Half Home or Draw 70%

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Timeline

Abdoulie Tamba Yellow Card

4' ▮

✗ 4'

T. Hytönen Missed Penalty

⚽ 0–1 24'

T. Hytönen Penalty

HT 0–1

⇄ 60'

Y. Raap ⇄ L. Ala-Myllymäki

⇄ 60'

T. Miettunen ⇄ M. Rale

⇄ 60'

M. Stjopin ⇄ E. Tamminen

T. Zaal Yellow Card

66' ▮

⚽ 0–2 67'

E. Tamminen assist: O. Multala

⇄ 72'

J. Kilo ⇄ S. Baranov

E. Vauhkonen ⇄ S. Anini

72' ⇄

M. Hrádecký ⇄ A. Sihvonen

84' ⇄

T. Vakiparta

84' ⇄

⇄ 86'

T. Hytönen ⇄ H. Coulibaly

▮ 87'

S. Väisänen Yellow Card

⚽ 0–3 90+2'

S. Baranov assist: E. Tamminen

FT 0–3

Turku PS

Match Stats

Ilves

59% Ball Possession 41%

26 Total Shots 13

8 Shots on Goal 6

10 Shots off Goal 3

8 Blocked Shots 4

13 Shots insidebox 12

13 Shots outsidebox 1

8 Corner Kicks 3

2 Offsides 2

14 Fouls 9

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 8

445 Total passes 340

370 Passes accurate 265

9 Free Kicks 13

Turku PS

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 M. Kauppila D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	51 (45%)	8
10 M. Könkkölä M	7.0	90'	–	–	7	26 (21%)	–
14 M. Hrádecký D	6.9	84'	–	–	3	49 (42%)	3
28 T. Vakiparta M	6.8	84'	–	–	2	35 (33%)	–
25 Abdoulie Tamba D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	72 (66%)	3
22 T. Zaal M	6.6	90'	–	–	4	57 (48%)	–
41 S. Anini F	6.5	18'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	–
99 K. Visser F	6.5	90'	–	–	3	20 (15%)	–
1 E. Henriksson G	6.4	90'	–	–	–	39 (26%)	–
Seamus Maughan	6.3	6'	–	–	–	–	–
11 E. Vauhkonen M	6.3	72'	–	–	2	22 (20%)	–
2 O. Häggström D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	31 (24%)	2
17 A. Sihvonen D	6.2	6'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
6 Pau Juvanteny M	6.1	90'	–	–	2	33 (21%)	2

Ilves

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
12 F. Krkalić G	9.0	90'	–	–	–	38 (23%)	–
22 O. Multala M	7.7	90'	–	1	–	24 (21%)	1
5 S. Väisänen D	7.6	90'	–	–	–	33 (27%)	1
24 V. Kumpu D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	36 (27%)	3
3 M. Rale D	7.4	30'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	–
16 T. Miettunen D	7.4	60'	–	–	–	35 (30%)	–
45 E. Tamminen F	7.3	30'	1	–	5	11 (7%)	–
9 T. Hytönen F	7.2	86'	1	–	2	13 (6%)	–
6 Y. Raap M	7.2	60'	–	–	–	18 (12%)	6
19 Goudouss Bamba M	7.1	90'	–	–	–	22 (20%)	7
13 K. Wallius M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	32 (29%)	1
15 L. Ala-Myllymäki M	6.9	30'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	–
17 S. Baranov F	6.8	18'	1	–	2	3 (1%)	1
8 M. Stjopin F	6.6	60'	–	–	1	20 (19%)	–
11 H. Coulibaly F	6.5	4'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
28 J. Kilo F	6.4	72'	–	–	3	21 (16%)	1

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Naša prednost

Previše neizvjesno za procjenu

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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Turku PS

LLDDD

Ilves

WWWLL

Last 1 meetings Turku PS · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Ilves leads 0-2. Win probability: 97.9%. Comeback chance: 2.1%.

69' Goal 85% sure

Ilves now leads 0-2 with 96.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 49.2%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Ilves leads. Win probability: 69.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 75.7%.

25' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Ilves win: 65.7%. BTTS: 66.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

35%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ilves goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	6	3	1
1	6	13	8	4	1
2	6	9	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5

↑ Turku PS goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Players in form

Turku PS

A. Muzaci 3 gls

Ilves

T. Hytönen 7 gls

J. Kanga 4 gls

E. Tamminen 3 gls

M. Stjopin 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

35%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

35%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 17% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 35% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	6.1%	5.5%	2.7%	1.0%
1	6.3%	12.9%	8.3%	4.1%	1.5%
2	5.9%	8.6%	6.3%	3.1%	1.1%
3	3.0%	4.3%	3.2%	1.5%	0.6%
4	1.1%	1.6%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Turku PS	Draw	Ilves
Turku PS	23.8%	4.6%	2.0%
Draw	12.3%	16.2%	11.4%
Ilves	2.2%	4.8%	22.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Turku PS vs Ilves

0 Turku PS Wins

0 Draws

1 Ilves Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Jul 2026	Turku PS	1 - 3	Ilves

Turku PS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ilves	L	0 - 3
12 Sep	A Mariehamn	L	1 - 0
08 Sep	H SJK	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Inter Turku	D	0 - 0

Ilves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Turku PS	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lahti	W	3 - 1
08 Sep	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
31 Aug	H HJK Helsinki	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	H VPS	L	0 - 1

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Ilves

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

12 Krkalić

5 Väisänen

16 Miettunen

24 Kumpu

13 Wallius

6 Raap

22 Multala

19 Bamba

28 Kilo

9 Hytönen

8 Stjopin

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	F. Krkalić	G
24	V. Kumpu	D
16	T. Miettunen	D
5	S. Väisänen	D
19	Goudouss Bamba	M
22	O. Multala	M
6	Y. Raap	M
13	K. Wallius	M
8	M. Stjopin	F
9	T. Hytönen	F
28	J. Kilo	F

Substitutes

11	H. Coulibaly	F
45	E. Tamminen	F
17	S. Baranov	F
15	L. Ala-Myllymäki	M
3	M. Rale	D
31	R. Leislahti	G
27	F. Kouakou	D

Turku PS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ivan Piñol

1 Henriksson

20 Kauppila

25 Tamba

14 Hrádecký

2 Häggström

22 Zaal

6 Juvanteny

11 Vauhkonen

28 Vakiparta

10 Könkkölä

99 Visser

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	E. Henriksson	G
2	O. Häggström	D
14	M. Hrádecký	D
25	Abdoulie Tamba	D
20	M. Kauppila	D
6	Pau Juvanteny	M
22	T. Zaal	M
10	M. Könkkölä	M
28	T. Vakiparta	M
11	E. Vauhkonen	M
99	K. Visser	F

Substitutes

35	D. Lauri	G
17	A. Sihvonen	D
24	N. Talo	D
9	L. Ivanovic	F
41	S. Anini	F
7	R. Harjanne	F
45	Joel Ahen	F