Nice vs Lille Predviđanje

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
Allianz Riviera, Nice
AI predikcija Lille ili neriješeno
28%
28%
45%
Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Nice vs Lille: Sportiko procjenjuje da Nice ima 28% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Lille 45%, a neriješeno 28%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 20 Sep 2026, 17:12.

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Match Report

Nice claimed a 2-1 victory over Lille in Ligue 1's fifth matchday, with the hosts dominant throughout in terms of possession and attacking intent. The only goal of the first half came via an unfortunate own goal from Nathan Ngoy in the 22nd minute, giving Nice a deserved lead at the break after controlling large portions of play.

The second half brought more drama. Mohamed Amoura pulled Lille level in the 67th minute, briefly threatening a turnaround for the visitors, but Nice responded swiftly. Ayase Ueda restored the home side's advantage just twelve minutes later, and Nice held firm to secure all three points. Nice finished with 20 total shots to Lille's 10, and 8 shots on target to 4, reflecting their overall superiority across the ninety minutes.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lille win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that did not materialise. The result leaves Nice with a positive return from this early-season fixture, while Lille will reflect on a second half that ultimately offered too little too late.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Mohamed Abdelmonem Yellow Card
5'
Nathan Ngoy Own Goal
22' 1–0
Xavier Mandza Yellow Card
45+1'
HT 1–0
55'
Ethan Mbappé ⇄ Dilane Bakwa
Mohamed Amoura Yellow Card
57'
Youssouf Ndayishimiye ⇄ Alidu Seidu
58'
64'
Başar Önal ⇄ Osame Sahraoui
64'
Benjamin André ⇄ Maurits Kjaergaard
64'
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson ⇄ Olivier Giroud
Mohamed Amoura assist: Gauthier Hein
67' 2–0
Djibril Coulibaly ⇄ Everton Pereira
73'
Elye Wahi ⇄ Sofiane Diop
74'
77'
Nabil Bentaleb ⇄ Ngal'ayel Mukau
Mohamed Amoura ⇄ Nathan N'Goumou
77'
Niels Nkounkou ⇄ Ali Abdi
78'
2–1 79'
Ayase Ueda assist: Maurits Kjaergaard
90+1'
Maurits Kjaergaard Yellow Card
FT 2–1
Nice

Match Stats

Lille
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Goal 8
6 Shots off Goal 5
0 Blocked Shots 7
7 Shots insidebox 14
3 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Corner Kicks 7
4 Offsides 1
16 Fouls 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
7 Goalkeeper Saves 3
391 Total passes 534
336 Passes accurate 466
9 Free Kicks 16
Nice
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Mohamed Amoura M 8.2 77' 1 2 25 (21%) 4
23 Yehvann Diouf G 7.8 90' 36 (23%)
7 Gauthier Hein M 7.7 90' 1 2 49 (40%) 2
55 Youssouf Ndayishimiye D 6.9 58' 36 (32%)
5 Mohamed Abdelmonem D 6.8 90' 43 (42%) 1
35 Xavier Mandza D 6.7 90' 39 (35%) 2
28 Axel Witsel M 6.6 90' 1 42 (40%)
29 Nathan N'Goumou F 6.6 13' 1 (1%) 1
36 Alidu Seidu D 6.5 32' 14 (12%)
87 Everton Pereira M 6.5 17' 10 (9%)
27 Niels Nkounkou M 6.4 78' 1 23 (17%) 3
39 Djibril Coulibaly M 6.4 73' 2 17 (16%) 1
10 Sofiane Diop M 6.3 16' 9 (9%)
2 Ali Abdi D 6.2 12' 5 (3%)
92 Jonathan Clauss M 6.1 90' 35 (28%)
11 Elye Wahi F 6.0 74' 2 9 (8%)
Lille
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Ayase Ueda F 7.8 90' 1 4 12 (9%) 1
22 Tiago Santos D 7.5 90' 3 40 (32%) 3
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D 7.0 90' 3 93 (87%) 2
15 Romain Perraud D 6.8 90' 2 54 (50%) 2
6 Nabil Bentaleb M 6.7 77' 1 61 (53%) 1
1 Berke Özer G 6.6 90' 28 (25%)
11 Osame Sahraoui F 6.6 26' 25 (23%)
7 Dilane Bakwa F 6.5 35' 13 (11%)
9 Olivier Giroud F 6.4 26' 1 5 (1%)
19 Başar Önal M 6.4 64' 1 13 (13%)
10 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson M 6.3 64' 3 24 (18%)
8 Ethan Mbappé M 6.2 55' 1 20 (15%)
14 Maurits Kjaergaard M 6.2 26' 1 1 24 (20%) 1
17 Ngal'ayel Mukau M 6.0 13' 15 (13%)
21 Benjamin André M 5.8 64' 33 (26%) 2
3 Nathan Ngoy D 5.5 90' 76 (71%) 1
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Naša prednost
Lille ili neriješeno
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Nice
WLDLD
Lille
LWLWD
Last 3 meetings Nice · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Nice will face Lille, both teams aiming to solidify their positions in the league standings. Nice has shown a strong defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals per match this season, while Lille's attack has been prolific, averaging 2 goals per game. The matchup will hinge on whether Nice can contain Lille's offensive threats while capitalizing on set-pieces, an area where they have excelled. Historically, matches between these two sides have been closely contested, suggesting a potentially tight encounter.

Live insights

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Nice leads 2-1. Win probability: 89.4%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 10.6%.

81' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! Nice win probability: 86.9%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 24.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Nice leads 2-0. Win probability: 97.8%. Comeback chance: 2.2%.

67' Goal 85% sure

Nice now leads 2-0 with 95.1% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 50.7%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Nice leads. Win probability: 64.6%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
45%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Nice

No scorer data.

Lille
Tiago Santos 2 gls

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Head to Head: Nice vs Lille

1 Nice Wins
1 Draws
1 Lille Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Apr 2026 Lille 0 - 0 Nice
29 Oct 2025 Nice 2 - 0 Lille
17 Jan 2025 Lille 2 - 1 Nice
Pogledaj svih 10 međusobnih susreta — Premium

Nice — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Lille W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Auxerre L 1 - 0
05 Sep H Le Mans D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Paris FC L 3 - 0
22 Aug H Lorient D 0 - 0

Lille — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Nice L 2 - 1
13 Sep H Estac Troyes W 2 - 0
08 Sep H Real Betis L 2 - 3
03 Sep A Toulouse W 0 - 1
28 Aug H Paris Saint Germain D 2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Lille

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
1 Özer
15 Perraud
4 Ribeiro
3 Ngoy
22 Santos
6 Bentaleb
21 André
19 Önal
10 Haraldsson
8 Mbappé
18 Ueda

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Özer G
22 Tiago Santos D
3 N. Ngoy D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
15 R. Perraud D
21 B. André M
6 N. Bentaleb M
8 E. Mbappé M
10 H. Haraldsson M
19 B. Önal M
18 A. Ueda F

Substitutes

26 I. Cossier D
12 O. Gill G
9 O. Giroud F
14 M. Kjærgaard M
17 N. Mukau M
28 G. Perrin F
11 O. Sahraoui F
24 C. Verdonk D
7 D. Bakwa F

Nice

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: O. Pantaloni
23 Diouf
35 Tsiendi
55 Ndayishimiye
5 Abdelmonem
27 Nkounkou
28 Witsel
39 Coulibaly
92 Clauss
9 Amoura
7 Hein
11 Wahi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Y. Diouf G
5 Mohamed Abdelmonem D
55 Y. Ndayishimiye D
35 X. Mandza Tsiendi D
92 J. Clauss M
39 D. Coulibaly M
28 A. Witsel M
27 N. Nkounkou M
7 G. Hein M
9 M. Amoura M
11 E. Wahi F

Substitutes

87 E. Pereira M
36 A. Seidu D
2 A. Abdi D
6 H. Boudaoui M
77 T. Boulhendi G
10 S. Diop M
21 I. Jansson F
84 H. Koutoune D
29 N. Ngoumou F

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