Venezia vs Udinese Predviđanje

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 11
FT
Post on X
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia
AI predikcija Venezia ili neriješeno
41%
29%
30%
Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Venezia vs Udinese: Sportiko procjenjuje da Venezia ima 41% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Udinese 30%, a neriješeno 29%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 6 Nov 2026, 21:39.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
  • Gosti postižu gol 71%
  • Ispod 3.5 golova 71%
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Match Report

Venezia claimed all three points at home against Udinese in a match that came to life in the second half after a goalless first 45 minutes. The hosts broke the deadlock through Toma Bašić in the 53rd minute, only to see their advantage doubled in unusual circumstances when Matias Moreno turned the ball into his own net four minutes later. Udinese responded quickly, with Kike Pérez pulling one back in the 65th minute to set up a tense closing period.

Despite Udinese carrying the greater attacking threat on paper — registering 15 total shots and an expected goals figure of 1.74 compared to Venezia's 1.01 — the hosts managed their lead effectively through a series of substitutions in the final quarter. Venezia's defensive resilience proved the difference, with the visitors unable to find an equaliser despite their pressure.

Our pre-match AI model had identified a Venezia win as the most likely outcome at 41%, a call that proved correct. The result moves Venezia forward in the Serie A standings after matchday 11.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
Pasquale Mazzocchi Yellow Card
51' ▮
Toma Bašić assist: Antoine Hainaut
53' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 57'
Matias Moreno Own Goal
⇄ 64'
Jakub Piotrowski ⇄ G. Chakvetadze
Kike Pérez assist: Pasquale Mazzocchi
65' ⚽ 2–1
Pasquale Mazzocchi ⇄ Ridgeciano Haps
70' ⇄
⇄ 74'
James Abankwah ⇄ Christian Kabasele
⇄ 75'
Nicolò Zaniolo ⇄ Unai Gómez
John Yeboah ⇄ Lion Lauberbach
84' ⇄
Toma Bašić ⇄ Þórir Jóhann Helgason
85' ⇄
⇄ 88'
Oumar Solet ⇄ Lennon Miller
⇄ 88'
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp ⇄ Vakoun Bayo
▮ 90+5'
Matteo Palma Yellow Card
FT 2–1
Venezia

Match Stats

Udinese
46% Ball Possession 54%
1.74 Expected Goals (xG) 1.01
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 9
5 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Corner Kicks 7
4 Offsides 3
11 Fouls 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
404 Total passes 462
343 Passes accurate 394
5 Free Kicks 11
Venezia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
71 Kike Pérez M 8.2 90' 1 – 1 50 (46%) 2
1 Filip Stanković G 7.7 90' – – – 29 (16%) –
26 Toma Bašić M 7.6 85' 1 – 2 33 (25%) –
18 Antoine Hainaut M 7.6 90' – 1 4 28 (25%) –
15 Juan Jesus D 7.2 90' – – 2 50 (44%) 5
25 Redouane Halhal D 7.1 90' – – – 48 (45%) 1
29 Lion Lauberbach F 6.8 6' – – – 4 (4%) –
5 Ridgeciano Haps D 6.7 20' – – – 6 (4%) 1
70 Pasquale Mazzocchi M 6.6 70' – 1 1 30 (24%) 1
19 Simon Sohm M 6.5 90' – – 1 30 (26%) –
45 Akor Adams F 6.5 90' – – 2 13 (10%) 2
21 Þórir Jóhann Helgason M 6.4 5' – – – 1 1
10 John Yeboah F 6.2 84' – – 2 28 (25%) 2
2 Matias Moreno D 6.1 90' – – – 57 (50%) –
Udinese
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
28 Oumar Solet D 6.9 88' – – 1 66 (59%) –
16 Matteo Palma D 6.8 90' – – – 62 (51%) –
32 Jürgen Ekkelenkamp M 6.6 88' – – 4 26 (23%) –
23 Mërgim Vojvoda M 6.6 90' – – – 48 (37%) 3
10 Nicolò Zaniolo M 6.5 75' – – 1 21 (18%) –
14 James Abankwah D 6.5 74' – – – 42 (39%) –
40 Maduka Okoye G 6.4 90' – – – 26 (21%) –
9 Keinan Davis F 6.4 90' – – 4 15 (14%) –
8 Jesper Karlström M 6.3 90' – – – 70 (55%) 2
24 Jakub Piotrowski M 6.3 64' – – 1 26 (24%) –
11 Hassane Kamara M 6.2 90' – – 1 36 (30%) 4
15 Vakoun Bayo F 6.2 2' – – – 1 –
38 Lennon Miller M 6.1 2' – – – 5 (5%) –
46 Unai Gómez M 6.0 15' – – – 4 (3%) –
27 Christian Kabasele D 5.9 16' – – – 4 (3%) –
30 G. Chakvetadze M 5.9 26' – – 1 12 (12%) –
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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Naša prednost
Venezia ili neriješeno
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Venezia
WLLLW
Udinese
LLDLL
Last 3 meetings Venezia · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Venezia faces Udinese in a Serie A clash where both teams have shown fluctuating form recently. Venezia has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in their last five outings, while Udinese's attack has been inconsistent, scoring only 4 goals in the same period. The matchup will likely hinge on Udinese's ability to exploit Venezia's vulnerabilities at the back, especially given their reliance on counter-attacks. With both teams vying for crucial points, tactical discipline and set-piece effectiveness could be decisive factors in this encounter.

Live insights

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: Venezia leads 2-1. Win probability: 92.8%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 7.2%.

80' Goal 85% sure

Venezia now leads 3-1 with 99.2% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 26%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Venezia leads 2-1. Win probability: 85.4%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 14.6%.

66' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Venezia win: 80.6%. BTTS: 100%.

58' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 49.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
41%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
30%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Venezia vs Udinese

1 Venezia Wins
0 Draws
2 Udinese Wins
Date Home Score Away
02 Sep 2026 Udinese 2 - 1 Venezia
01 Feb 2025 Udinese 3 - 2 Venezia
30 Oct 2024 Venezia 3 - 2 Udinese
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Venezia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Udinese W 2 - 1
01 Nov A Como L 1 - 0
28 Oct H Inter L 0 - 2
25 Oct A Genoa L 1 - 0
17 Oct H Napoli W 1 - 0

Udinese — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Venezia L 2 - 1
31 Oct H AS Roma L 2 - 5
28 Oct A Parma D 0 - 0
25 Oct H AC Milan L 0 - 2
18 Oct H Lecce L 0 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Udinese

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: P. Zanetti
40 Okoye
28 Solet
16 Palma
14 Abankwah
11 Kamara
8 Karlström
24 Piotrowski
23 Vojvoda
32 Ekkelenkamp
10 Zaniolo
9 Davis

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 M. Okoye G
14 J. Abankwah D
16 M. Palma D
28 O. Solet D
23 M. Vojvoda M
24 J. Piotrowski M
8 J. Karlström M
11 H. Kamara M
10 N. Zaniolo M
32 J. Ekkelenkamp M
9 K. Davis F

Substitutes

93 D. Padelli G
45 G. Vinciati F
6 Oier Zarraga M
41 B. Mrozek G
38 L. Miller M
4 S. Lovrić M
27 C. Kabasele D
91 L. Jovanović F
46 Unai Gómez M
77 E. Ebosse D
30 G. Chakvetadze M
13 N. Bertola D
20 J. Arizala M
15 V. Bayo F

Venezia

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: D. Nicola
1 Stanković
15 Jesus
2 Moreno
25 Halhal
70 Mazzocchi
26 Bašić
19 Sohm
71 Pérez
18 Hainaut
45 Adams
10 Yeboah

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 F. Stanković G
25 R. Halhal D
2 M. Moreno D
15 Juan Jesus D
18 A. Hainaut M
71 Kike Pérez M
19 S. Sohm M
26 T. Bašić M
70 P. Mazzocchi M
10 J. Yeboah F
45 A. Adams F

Substitutes

3 J. Schingtienne D
14 Thierry Correia D
17 A. Bella-Kotchap D
6 G. Busio M
30 M. Dagasso M
32 A. Duncan M
8 Lamine Dabo M
77 Toni Fernández M
5 R. Haps D
21 Þ. Helgason M
29 L. Lauberbach F
56 K. Lisman F
96 L. Montipò G
7 A. Rrahmani F
20 R. Sagrado D

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