SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen Predviđanje

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1
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AI predikcija Težak ishod — pobjeda ili remi za Bayer Leverkusen
22%
24%
54%
Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen: Sportiko procjenjuje da SV Elversberg ima 22% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Bayer Leverkusen 54%, a neriješeno 24%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 29 Aug 2026, 15:28.

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Match Report

SV Elversberg produced a stunning upset against Bayer Leverkusen, racing into a 2–0 lead inside the opening ten minutes through Lukas Petkov and Cole Campbell. The second-division hosts were ruthless on the counter, and despite Leverkusen dominating possession at 67%, they struggled to convert that control into clear chances before the break.

David Mokwa extended Elversberg's advantage immediately after half-time, making it 3–0 and seemingly putting the tie beyond doubt. Leverkusen responded with a triple substitution at the hour mark, and the changes began to have an effect — Patrik Schick pulled one back on 77 minutes, and Christian Kofane added a second deep into stoppage time to set up a nervy finish. Ultimately, Elversberg held on for a famous 3–2 victory, with Leverkusen's late pressure falling just short despite registering six shots on target.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Leverkusen win as the most likely outcome at 54%, a call that proved well wide of the mark. Elversberg's clinical early finishing and resolute defending made the difference in one of the more eye-catching results of the Bundesliga opening round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Lukas Petkov assist: Francis Onyeka
8' ⚽ 1–0
Cole Campbell
9' ⚽ 2–0
Maximilian Rohr Yellow Card
29' ▮
Cole Campbell Yellow Card
41' ▮
HT 2–0
David Mokwa assist: Lukas Petkov
46' ⚽ 3–0
▮ 53'
Ibrahim Maza Yellow Card
⇄ 55'
Loïc Badé ⇄ Jarell Quansah
⇄ 55'
Ezequiel Fernández ⇄ Facundo Medina
⇄ 55'
Lucas Vázquez ⇄ Christian Kofane
Francis Onyeka ⇄ Noah Darvich
65' ⇄
Cole Campbell ⇄ Maurice Krattenmacher
65' ⇄
⇄ 65'
Malik Tillman ⇄ Jonas Hofmann
David Mokwa ⇄ Luca Schnellbacher
75' ⇄
Jan Gyamerah ⇄ Luca Sirch
75' ⇄
⚽ 3–1 77'
Patrik Schick assist: Ibrahim Maza
▮ 78'
Facundo Medina Yellow Card
Maximilian Rohr ⇄ Florian Yves Le Joncour
82' ⇄
⇄ 85'
Afonso Moreira ⇄ Victor Okoh Boniface
Nicolas Kristof Yellow Card
89' ▮
⚽ 3–2 90+1'
Christian Kofane
FT 3–2
SV Elversberg

Match Stats

Bayer Leverkusen
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 12
2 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 12
3 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 1
18 Fouls 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
289 Total passes 582
212 Passes accurate 513
15 Free Kicks 17
SV Elversberg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
42 David Mokwa F 7.9 75' 1 – 2 8 (6%) –
25 Lukas Petkov M 7.6 90' 1 1 2 20 (12%) 3
39 Cole Campbell M 7.4 65' 1 – 3 8 (7%) –
40 Francis Onyeka M 7.3 65' – 1 1 11 (6%) 1
19 L. Pinckert D 6.7 90' – – – 29 (22%) 1
8 Łukasz Poręba M 6.6 90' – – – 21 (19%) 2
30 Jan Gyamerah D 6.5 75' – – – 22 (16%) 3
26 Luca Sirch D 6.5 15' – – – 6 (3%) –
3 Florian Yves Le Joncour D 6.4 8' – – – 8 (8%) –
43 Felix Keidel M 6.3 90' – – 1 26 (23%) 1
20 Nicolas Kristof G 6.2 90' – – – 52 (32%) –
10 Noah Darvich M 6.2 25' – – – 6 (5%) –
31 Maximilian Rohr D 6.1 82' – – 1 34 (28%) –
21 Lasse Günther D 6.0 90' – – – 25 (15%) 1
24 Luca Schnellbacher M 5.9 15' – – – 9 (7%) –
7 Maurice Krattenmacher M 5.8 25' – – 1 4 (3%) –
Bayer Leverkusen
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Patrik Schick F 7.7 90' 1 – 5 21 (17%) –
30 Ibrahim Maza M 7.2 90' – 1 3 37 (27%) 2
35 Christian Kofane F 7.2 35' 1 – 2 7 (7%) –
3 Miguel Gutiérrez D 7.1 90' – – – 67 (61%) 2
24 Aleix García M 6.7 90' – – 2 97 (91%) 1
22 Victor Okoh Boniface F 6.7 5' – – 2 3 (1%) –
12 Edmond Tapsoba D 6.5 90' – – – 76 (69%) 2
6 Ezequiel Fernández M 6.5 55' – – 1 46 (43%) 1
10 Malik Tillman M 6.3 65' – – 1 31 (27%) 2
4 Jarell Quansah D 6.3 35' – – – 18 (16%) –
5 Loïc Badé D 6.2 55' – – 1 45 (41%) 1
7 Jonas Hofmann M 6.1 25' – – 1 20 (16%) –
17 Lucas Vázquez D 6.0 55' – – – 22 (20%) 1
2 Facundo Medina D 5.9 35' – – – 48 (44%) –
1 M. Flekken G 5.8 90' – – – 21 (15%) –
9 Afonso Moreira M 5.5 85' – – 2 23 (18%) –
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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Naša prednost
Težak ishod — pobjeda ili remi za Bayer Leverkusen
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SV Elversberg
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Bayer Leverkusen
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Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, SV Elversberg will face a challenging match against Bayer Leverkusen. Elversberg, newly promoted, will look to leverage their home ground but face a significant test against a Leverkusen side known for their attacking prowess and depth. Leverkusen, currently positioned as a top contender, boasts a high-scoring offense with an average of 2.5 goals per game this season. Conversely, Elversberg's defense will need to improve, having conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match. The effectiveness of Elversberg's midfield will be crucial to disrupt Leverkusen's rhythm and maintain possession.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
22%
10%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
54%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

SV Elversberg
M. Krattenmacher 3 gls
Bayer Leverkusen
P. Schick 4 gls
Christian Kofane 2 gls

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Head to Head: SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

SV Elversberg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A FC Schalke 04 D 0 - 0
13 Sep H Bayern München L 1 - 2
05 Sep A Borussia Mönchengladbach W 3 - 4
29 Aug H Bayer Leverkusen W 3 - 2
22 Aug A MSV Duisburg W 1 - 3

Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H RB Leipzig W 2 - 0
16 Sep H Celje W 2 - 0
12 Sep A FC Augsburg D 2 - 2
05 Sep H Union Berlin W 4 - 0
29 Aug A SV Elversberg L 3 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Borussia Dortmund
4 4 0 0 +7 12
2
Bayern München
4 3 1 0 +12 10
3
SC Freiburg
4 3 1 0 +9 10
4
FC Augsburg
4 2 1 1 +5 7
5
Bayer Leverkusen
4 2 1 1 +5 7
6
FSV Mainz 05
4 2 1 1 +4 7
7
SV Elversberg
4 2 1 1 +1 7
8
Werder Bremen
4 2 1 1 0 7
9
RB Leipzig
4 2 0 2 +4 6
10
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 1 2 1 -1 5
11
FC Schalke 04
4 1 2 1 -1 5
12
SC Paderborn 07
4 1 1 2 -2 4
13
1. FC Köln
4 1 1 2 -3 4
14
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 0 3 -3 3
15
VfB Stuttgart
4 1 0 3 -3 3
16
Hamburger SV
4 1 0 3 -11 3
17
Union Berlin
4 0 1 3 -13 1
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Bayer Leverkusen

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Éric Chelle
1 Flekken
3 Gutiérrez
12 Tapsoba
5 Badé
17 Vázquez
24 García
6 Fernández
9 Moreira
10 Tillman
30 Maza
14 Schick

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Flekken G
17 Lucas Vázquez D
5 L. Badé D
12 E. Tapsoba D
3 Miguel Gutiérrez D
6 E. Fernández M
24 Aleix García M
30 I. Maza M
10 M. Tillman M
9 Afonso Moreira M
14 P. Schick F

Substitutes

35 Christian Kofane F
2 F. Medina D
4 J. Quansah D
7 J. Hofmann M
22 V. Boniface F
28 J. Blaswich G
44 J. Belocian D
13 Arthur D
8 R. Andrich M

SV Elversberg

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Éric Chelle
20 Kristof
21 Günther
31 Rohr
19 Pinckert
30 Gyamerah
8 Poręba
43 Keidel
39 Campbell
40 Onyeka
25 Petkov
42 Mokwa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
20 N. Kristof G
30 J. Gyamerah D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
21 L. Günther D
43 F. Keidel M
8 Ł. Poręba M
25 L. Petkov M
40 Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka M
39 William Cole Campbell M
42 D. Mokwa F

Substitutes

28 T. Boss G
6 A. Condé M
10 Noah Darvich M
9 N. Futkeu F
7 M. Krattenmacher M
3 F. Le Joncour D
2 N. Mickelson D
24 L. Schnellbacher M
26 L. Sirch D

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