Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Predviđanje

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
AI predikcija Težak ishod — pobjeda ili remi za Arsenal
17%
26%
58%
Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Sportiko procjenjuje da Nottingham Forest ima 17% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Arsenal 58%, a neriješeno 26%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 18 Oct 2026, 17:26.

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Match Report

Nottingham Forest dominated possession at the City Ground, controlling 74% of the ball, but struggled to convert that dominance into clear chances, managing just one shot on target throughout the match. Arsenal, despite seeing far less of the ball, were more clinical and efficient, registering 14 total shots to Forest's nine as the first half ended goalless.

The second half brought a flurry of changes from both sides, with Arsenal introducing Ben White, Kai Havertz, and Bruno Guimarães around the hour mark to reshape the contest. The decisive moment arrived in the 80th minute when Noni Madueke, who had been booked earlier in the half, struck to give Arsenal the lead — a goal that proved enough to secure all three points.

Arsenal's win, despite their 26% possession share, reflected a disciplined and counter-punching performance, with their expected goals figure of 0.72 ultimately outweighed by Madueke's decisive contribution. The result aligned with our pre-match AI model, which had rated an Arsenal victory as the most likely outcome at 58%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Neco Williams Yellow Card
17' ▮
⇄ 45'
Eberechi Eze ⇄ Noni Madueke
HT 0–0
▮ 53'
Noni Madueke Yellow Card
⇄ 66'
Ben White ⇄ J. Timber
⇄ 66'
Kai Havertz ⇄ Viktor Gyökeres
⇄ 66'
Bruno Guimarães ⇄ Mikel Merino
Dan Ndoye ⇄ Arnaud Kalimuendo
73' ⇄
Nicolás Domínguez ⇄ Ibrahim Sangaré
74' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 80'
Noni Madueke assist: Declan Rice
Jair ⇄ Chris Wood
85' ⇄
James McAtee ⇄ Callum Hudson-Odoi
85' ⇄
FT 0–1
Nottingham Forest

Match Stats

Arsenal
26% Ball Possession 74%
0.72 Expected Goals (xG) 1.09
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 2
8 Corner Kicks 6
2 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
219 Total passes 629
152 Passes accurate 565
7 Free Kicks 14
Nottingham Forest
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Murillo D 7.6 90' – – 3 34 (27%) 2
2 Ousmane Diomande D 6.8 90' – – – 18 (12%) 3
23 Jair D 6.8 85' – – – 15 (13%) –
19 Liam Delap F 6.7 90' – – 4 14 (9%) 1
21 Xaver Schlager M 6.6 90' – – 1 14 (9%) 7
24 James McAtee M 6.6 85' – – 2 24 (18%) 2
6 Ibrahim Sangaré M 6.5 16' – – – 8 (5%) 1
27 Daniel Muñoz M 6.4 90' – – – 14 (12%) 2
7 Callum Hudson-Odoi F 6.4 5' – – – 5 (3%) –
9 Chris Wood F 6.3 5' – – 1 – –
15 Arnaud Kalimuendo F 6.3 17' – – – – –
8 Nicolás Domínguez M 6.2 74' – – – 10 (7%) 3
14 Dan Ndoye M 6.1 73' – – 2 6 (5%) –
3 Neco Williams M 6.0 90' – – 1 23 (16%) 1
26 Matz Sels G 5.6 90' – – – 34 (16%) –
Arsenal
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
41 Declan Rice M 7.7 90' – 1 1 98 (92%) –
6 Gabriel Magalhães D 7.5 90' – – 2 73 (70%) 2
15 Ezri Konsa D 7.4 90' – – – 80 (78%) 1
20 Noni Madueke F 7.4 44' 1 – 2 17 (16%) –
4 Ben White D 7.3 66' – – – 55 (48%) –
33 Riccardo Calafiori D 7.2 90' – – – 42 (40%) –
23 Mikel Merino M 7.1 24' – – 1 22 (19%) –
12 J. Timber D 7.1 24' – – – 16 (14%) –
8 Martin Ødegaard M 7.0 90' – – – 76 (69%) –
1 David Raya G 6.9 90' – – – 23 (16%) –
39 Bruno Guimarães M 6.8 66' – – – 56 (51%) 2
10 Eberechi Eze M 6.7 46' – – – 13 (9%) –
14 Viktor Gyökeres F 6.6 24' – – 1 8 (5%) –
7 Bukayo Saka M 6.5 90' – – – 35 (26%) 4
29 Kai Havertz F 6.3 66' – – 2 15 (12%) –
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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Naša prednost
Težak ishod — pobjeda ili remi za Arsenal
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Nottingham Forest
WLDLL
Arsenal
WWWDW
Last 3 meetings Nottingham Forest · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In this Premier League clash, Nottingham Forest faces Arsenal. Forest's recent form has been mixed, with a reliance on strong defensive stability, conceding an average of just 1.2 goals per match this season. Conversely, Arsenal boasts a potent attack, averaging 2.1 goals per match, led by their star strikers. Key to the match will be whether Forest can contain Arsenal's offensive threats while capitalizing on set-pieces. Both teams will look to secure crucial points, making this encounter pivotal in their respective campaigns.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
17%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
58%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Nottingham Forest

No scorer data.

Arsenal
K. Havertz 3 gls

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Head to Head: Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal

0 Nottingham Forest Wins
2 Draws
1 Arsenal Wins
Date Home Score Away
17 Jan 2026 Nottingham Forest 0 - 0 Arsenal
13 Sep 2025 Arsenal 3 - 0 Nottingham Forest
26 Feb 2025 Nottingham Forest 0 - 0 Arsenal
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Nottingham Forest — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Manchester City W 3 - 1
31 Oct A Brentford L 2 - 0
23 Oct A Ipswich D 1 - 1
18 Oct H Arsenal L 0 - 1
11 Oct A Crystal Palace L 3 - 1

Arsenal — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Hull City W 1 - 0
04 Nov A Slavia Praha W 1 - 2
01 Nov A Liverpool W 0 - 1
27 Oct A Fleetwood Town D 1 - 1
24 Oct H Everton W 2 - 0

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal
10 9 0 1 +10 27
2
Manchester City
10 7 0 3 +8 21
3
Brighton
9 6 1 2 +17 19
4
Chelsea
9 5 1 3 +4 16
5
Everton
10 4 4 2 +2 16
6
Liverpool
9 4 3 2 +2 15
7
Brentford
9 3 5 1 +7 14
8
Leeds
10 3 5 2 +2 14
9
Bournemouth
9 3 3 3 +1 12
10
Tottenham
10 3 3 4 -1 12
11
Newcastle
10 3 3 4 -3 12
12
Aston Villa
9 3 3 3 -3 12
13
Hull City
10 2 5 3 0 11
14
Ipswich
9 3 2 4 -4 11
15
Fulham
10 2 4 4 -2 10
16
Nottingham Forest
10 2 3 5 -4 9
17
Coventry
10 3 0 7 -9 9
18
Manchester United
9 1 4 4 -5 7
19
Crystal Palace
9 2 1 6 -12 7
20
Sunderland
9 1 2 6 -10 5

Arsenal

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mikel Arteta
1 Raya
33 Calafiori
6 Magalhães
15 Konsa
4 White
39 Guimarães
41 Rice
10 Eze
8 Ødegaard
7 Saka
29 Havertz

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 David Raya G
4 B. White D
15 E. Konsa D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
33 R. Calafiori D
41 D. Rice M
39 Bruno Guimarães M
7 B. Saka M
8 M. Ødegaard M
10 E. Eze M
29 K. Havertz F

Substitutes

3 Cristhian Mosquera D
12 J. Timber D
49 M. Lewis-Skelly D
23 Mikel Merino M
56 M. Dowman F
36 Martín Zubimendi M
14 V. Gyökeres F
30 I. Meslier G
20 N. Madueke F

Nottingham Forest

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: O. Glasner
26 Sels
5 Murillo
2 Diomande
23 Jair
3 Williams
21 Schlager
24 McAtee
27 Muñoz
14 Ndoye
8 Domínguez
19 Delap

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 M. Sels G
23 Jair D
2 O. Diomande D
5 Murillo D
27 D. Muñoz M
24 J. McAtee M
21 X. Schlager M
3 N. Williams M
8 N. Domínguez M
14 D. Ndoye M
19 L. Delap F

Substitutes

7 C. Hudson-Odoi F
22 R. Yates M
15 A. Kalimuendo F
9 C. Wood F
12 John G
25 L. Netz D
31 N. Milenković D
34 O. Aina D
6 I. Sangaré M

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