Iraq vs Norway Predviđanje

World Cup · Group Stage - 1

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Norway

Away

Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

AI predikcija Težak ishod — pobjeda ili remi za Norway

21%

28%

51%

Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Iraq vs Norway: Sportiko procjenjuje da Iraq ima 21% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Norway 51%, a neriješeno 28%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Više od 1,5 golova 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%

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Match Report

Norway made a bright start to their World Cup campaign, taking the lead through Erling Haaland on 29 minutes. Iraq hit back quickly, with Aymen Hussein levelling at 39 minutes, but Haaland restored Norway's advantage just before half-time to send the teams in at 2–1. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Norway win as the most likely outcome at 51%, and that assessment proved correct.

The second half saw Norway assert greater control. Leo Østigård extended the lead to 3–1 on 76 minutes, and the match was effectively settled shortly after. Iraq's Aymen Hussein then turned the ball into his own net deep into stoppage time to complete a 4–1 scoreline, a cruel end for a player who had earlier scored at the right end.

Despite Iraq enjoying 61% of possession and registering five shots on goal to Norway's one, the expected goals figures told a clearer story — Norway generated 2.53 xG against Iraq's 0.77, underlining that the final scoreline was a fair reflection of the chances created across the ninety-six minutes.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 29'

Erling Haaland assist: David Møller Wolfe

Aymen Hussein assist: Amir Al-Ammari

39' ⚽ 1–1

⚽ 1–2 43'

Erling Haaland

HT 1–2

Zaid Ismail ⇄ Zidane Iqbal

59' ⇄

Ali Al-Hamadi ⇄ Marko Farji

59' ⇄

⇄ 73'

Antonio Nusa ⇄ Andreas Schjelderup

⇄ 73'

Fredrik Aursnes ⇄ Kristian Thorstvedt

⇄ 73'

David Møller Wolfe ⇄ Leo Østigård

⇄ 73'

Alexander Sørloth ⇄ Oscar Bobb

Hussein Ali ⇄ Mustafa Saadoon

73' ⇄

Ali Jasim ⇄ Ahmed Qasem

73' ⇄

⚽ 1–3 76'

Leo Østigård assist: Martin Ødegaard

Ibrahim Bayesh

78' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Martin Ødegaard ⇄ Patrick Berg

Zaid Tahseen Yellow Card

86' ▮

⚽ 1–4 90+6'

Aymen Hussein Own Goal

FT 1–4

Iraq

Match Stats

Norway

39% Ball Possession 61%

0.77 Expected Goals (xG) 2.53

11 Total Shots 12

1 Shots on Goal 5

8 Shots off Goal 4

2 Blocked Shots 3

8 Shots insidebox 11

3 Shots outsidebox 1

2 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 0

11 Fouls 13

1 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 0

332 Total passes 530

270 Passes accurate 472

81% Passes % 89%

-0.45 goals_prevented -0.45

Iraq

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Aymen Hussein F	7.5	95'	1	–	3	15 (12%)	–
23 Merchas Doski D	7.2	95'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	6
16 Amir Al-Ammari M	7.0	95'	–	1	–	48 (41%)	–
8 Ibrahim Bayesh M	6.7	78'	–	–	–	16 (15%)	1
17 Ali Jasim M	6.7	73'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	1
11 Ahmed Qasem F	6.7	22'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	1
14 Zidane Iqbal M	6.7	36'	–	–	–	20 (17%)	–
24 Zaid Ismail M	6.6	59'	–	–	–	27 (23%)	5
9 Ali Al-Hamadi F	6.6	59'	–	–	2	13 (9%)	2
21 Marko Farji M	6.5	36'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	1
12 Jalal Hassan G	6.3	95'	–	–	–	30 (23%)	–
5 Akam Hashem D	6.3	95'	–	–	1	52 (42%)	–
25 Mustafa Saadoon D	6.3	22'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	2
10 Mohanad Ali F	6.3	17'	–	–	–	1	–
3 Hussein Ali D	6.0	73'	–	–	1	16 (13%)	–
4 Zaid Tahseen D	5.7	95'	–	–	2	38 (30%)	–

Norway

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Erling Haaland F	8.2	95'	2	–	5	8 (4%)	–
5 David Møller Wolfe D	7.7	73'	–	1	–	43 (36%)	1
4 Leo Østigård D	7.5	22'	1	–	2	20 (17%)	–
10 Martin Ødegaard M	7.3	81'	–	1	1	42 (41%)	2
8 Sander Berge M	7.2	95'	–	–	–	82 (78%)	1
3 Kristoffer Ajer D	6.9	95'	–	–	–	65 (56%)	1
17 Torbjørn Heggem D	6.9	95'	–	–	–	84 (79%)	1
1 Ørjan Nyland G	6.7	95'	–	–	–	30 (25%)	–
26 Julian Ryerson D	6.7	95'	–	–	–	49 (41%)	4
18 Kristian Thorstvedt M	6.7	22'	–	–	1	10 (10%)	1
14 Fredrik Aursnes M	6.6	73'	–	–	–	29 (27%)	2
20 Antonio Nusa M	6.6	73'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	1
21 Andreas Schjelderup F	6.5	22'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
6 Patrick Berg M	6.5	14'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	1
22 Oscar Bobb M	6.3	22'	–	–	–	19 (17%)	1
7 Alexander Sørloth F	6.2	73'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	–

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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Naša prednost

Težak ishod — pobjeda ili remi za Norway

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Iraq

DLLLL

Norway

LWWLW

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 16, 2026, Iraq will host Norway in what promises to be a captivating clash. Iraq, known for their resilient defense and tactical discipline, will aim to capitalize on home advantage. Conversely, Norway boasts a strong attacking lineup led by star striker Erling Haaland, who has been prolific in recent qualifiers, scoring 8 goals in the last 6 matches. Iraq's ability to contain Norway's offense will be crucial, as they have struggled against teams with high attacking prowess. The match is likely to hinge on Iraq’s defensive organization against Norway's dynamic attack.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Norway goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	10	10	5	2	1
1	6	13	10	5	2	1
2	3	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Iraq goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Iraq

No scorer data.

Norway

E. Haaland 7 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

51%

Draw

28%

Home Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

51%

Draw

28%

Home Win

21%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

71% Away (No Draw) 29% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 21% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	10.3%	9.8%	5.4%	2.3%
1	5.5%	13.2%	9.7%	5.4%	2.2%
2	3.5%	5.8%	4.8%	2.7%	1.1%
3	1.2%	1.9%	1.6%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Iraq	Draw	Norway
Iraq	11.8%	4.1%	2.4%
Draw	8.7%	17.3%	18.0%
Norway	1.4%	4.2%	32.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Iraq vs Norway

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Iraq — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 Sep	H Oman	D	1 - 1
26 Jun	A Senegal	L	5 - 0
22 Jun	A France	L	3 - 0
16 Jun	H Norway	L	1 - 4
10 Jun	H Venezuela	L	0 - 2

Norway — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
11 Jul	H England	L	1 - 2
05 Jul	A Brazil	W	1 - 2
30 Jun	A Ivory Coast	W	1 - 2
26 Jun	H France	L	1 - 4
23 Jun	H Senegal	W	3 - 2

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Norway

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Stale Solbakken

1 Nyland

5 Wolfe

17 Heggem

3 Ajer

26 Ryerson

20 Nusa

14 Aursnes

8 Berge

10 Ødegaard

9 Haaland

7 Sørloth

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ørjan Nyland	G
26	Julian Ryerson	D
3	Kristoffer Ajer	D
17	Torbjørn Heggem	D
5	David Møller Wolfe	D
10	Martin Ødegaard	M
8	Sander Berge	M
14	Fredrik Aursnes	M
20	Antonio Nusa	M
7	Alexander Sørloth	F
9	Erling Haaland	F

Substitutes

12	Sander Tangvik	G
13	Egil Selvik	G
25	Henrik Sælebakke Falchener	D
4	Leo Østigård	D
15	Fredrik André Bjørkan	D
24	Sondre Langås	D
21	Andreas Schjelderup	F
19	Thelo Aasgaard	M
2	Morten Thorsby	M
16	Marcus Pedersen	D
6	Patrick Berg	M
22	Oscar Bobb	M
18	Kristian Thorstvedt	M
11	Jørgen Strand Larsen	F
23	Jens Petter Hauge	M

Iraq

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Graham Arnold

12 Hassan

23 Doski

5 Hashem

4 Tahseen

3 Ali

17 Jasim

16 Al-Ammari

24 Ismail

8 Bayesh

9 Al-Hamadi

18 Hussein

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Jalal Hassan	G
3	Hussein Ali	D
4	Zaid Tahseen	D
5	Akam Hashem	D
23	Merchas Doski	D
8	Ibrahim Bayesh	M
24	Zaid Ismail	M
16	Amir Al-Ammari	M
17	Ali Jasim	M
18	Aymen Hussein	F
9	Ali Al-Hamadi	F

Substitutes

21	Marko Farji	M
14	Zidane Iqbal	M
22	Ahmed Basil	G
1	Fahad Talib	G
2	Rebin Sulaka	D
26	Frans Putros	D
15	Ahmed Hasan Maknazi	D
25	Mustafa Saadoon	D
6	Munaf Younus	D
7	Youssef Amyn	F
11	Ahmed Qasem	F
19	Kevin Yakob	M
20	Aimar Sher	M
10	Mohanad Ali	F
13	Ali Yousif	F