Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Prédiction

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 35
FT
Post on X
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset
Prédiction IA Crystal Palace ou match nul
30%
30%
40%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace : Sportiko estime que Bournemouth a 30% de chances de s'imposer, Crystal Palace 40% et le match nul 30%. Dernière mise à jour : 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Bournemouth claimed a comfortable 3–0 home victory over Crystal Palace in Premier League matchday 35, with the result effectively settled before the interval. The hosts took an early advantage when a Jefferson Lerma own goal opened the scoring in the tenth minute, and Eli Junior Kroupi converted a penalty just before the half-hour mark to double the lead. Crystal Palace, who had seen Jaydee Canvot cautioned as early as the sixth minute, went into the break two goals down and struggling to impose themselves.

The second half offered little improvement for the visitors. Despite Crystal Palace introducing several substitutes at the break — including Yéremy Pino, Daniel Muñoz, and Daichi Kamada — they were unable to find a way back into the contest. Rayan put the result beyond doubt with a third goal in the 77th minute, capping a dominant display from Bournemouth, who finished with 16 total shots to Palace's seven and seven corner kicks to one.

The stats told a clear story, with Bournemouth's expected goals figure of 2.08 reflecting their control throughout. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Crystal Palace win as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that proved well wide of the mark.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 6'
Jaydee Canvot Yellow Card
Jefferson Lerma Own Goal
10' ⚽ 1–0
Eli Junior Kroupi Penalty
32' ⚽ 2–0
▮ 38'
Maxence Lacroix Yellow Card
HT 2–0
⇄ 46'
Yéremy Pino ⇄ Ismaïla Sarr
⇄ 46'
Daniel Muñoz ⇄ Tyrick Mitchell
⇄ 46'
Daichi Kamada ⇄ Adam Wharton
⇄ 65'
Jørgen Strand Larsen ⇄ Jean-Philippe Mateta
Tyler Adams ⇄ Ryan Christie
69' ⇄
Eli Junior Kroupi ⇄ David Brooks
70' ⇄
⇄ 76'
Chadi Riad ⇄ Chris Richards
Rayan assist: David Brooks
77' ⚽ 3–0
Evanilson ⇄ Enes Ünal
80' ⇄
Rayan ⇄ Amine Adli
86' ⇄
Marcus Tavernier ⇄ Ben Gannon-Doak
86' ⇄
FT 3–0
Bournemouth

Match Stats

Crystal Palace
50% Ball Possession 50%
2.08 Expected Goals (xG) 0.89
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 1
7 Corner Kicks 1
3 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
391 Total passes 405
320 Passes accurate 314
82% Passes % 78%
-1.07 goals_prevented -1.07
Bournemouth
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Marcos Senesi D 8.2 90' – – – 69 (53%) 3
37 Rayan M 7.9 86' 1 – 4 20 (15%) 2
23 James Hill D 7.7 90' – – – 56 (37%) 4
20 Álex Jiménez D 7.5 90' – – – 35 (29%) 3
1 Đorđe Petrović G 7.0 90' – – – 15 (13%) –
8 Alex Scott M 7.0 90' – – 1 49 (43%) 2
7 David Brooks M 7.0 20' – 1 – 3 (2%) –
12 Tyler Adams M 6.9 69' – – – 27 (25%) –
3 Adrien Truffert D 6.9 90' – – – 37 (33%) –
22 Eli Junior Kroupi M 6.9 70' 1 – 2 17 (13%) 1
16 Marcus Tavernier M 6.9 86' – – 1 25 (24%) –
9 Evanilson F 6.9 80' – – 2 16 (12%) –
10 Ryan Christie M 6.7 21' – – – 13 (13%) 2
26 Enes Ünal F 6.7 10' – – – 1 (1%) –
21 Amine Adli F 6.7 10' – – – 4 (3%) –
11 Ben Gannon-Doak F 6.3 10' – – – 4 (4%) –
Crystal Palace
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
34 Chadi Riad D 6.7 76' – – – 41 (35%) 2
10 Yéremy Pino F 6.6 45' – – – 19 (15%) –
3 Tyrick Mitchell D 6.6 45' – – – 21 (15%) 1
20 Adam Wharton M 6.6 45' – – – 20 (17%) 1
55 Justin Devenny M 6.6 90' – – – 26 (18%) 7
26 Chris Richards D 6.5 14' – – – 11 (10%) –
18 Daichi Kamada M 6.5 45' – – – 18 (17%) –
14 Jean-Philippe Mateta F 6.3 25' – – 1 6 (3%) 1
22 Jørgen Strand Larsen F 6.3 65' – – 2 23 (13%) 1
2 Daniel Muñoz M 6.3 45' – – – 13 (12%) 3
11 Brennan Johnson F 6.3 90' – – 1 20 (16%) 1
5 Maxence Lacroix D 6.2 90' – – – 55 (48%) 2
7 Ismaïla Sarr F 6.0 45' – – 2 12 (10%) –
1 Dean Henderson G 6.0 90' – – – 39 (22%) –
8 Jefferson Lerma M 5.9 90' – – – 43 (31%) –
23 Jaydee Canvot D 5.9 90' – – – 38 (32%) 3
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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Crystal Palace ou match nul
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Bournemouth
LWDWD
Crystal Palace
DWLWW
Last 3 meetings Bournemouth · 0W 3D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match on May 2, 2026, Bournemouth will host Crystal Palace at the Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth has shown resilience at home, securing 60% of their points this season in front of their fans, while Crystal Palace's away form has been inconsistent, with only 30% of their total points coming from away matches. Key players to watch include Bournemouth's forward, who has been involved in 70% of their goals in the last five matches, and Palace's solid defense, which has kept three clean sheets in their last five outings. This clash will be crucial for both teams as they vie for mid-table security.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Bournemouth
M. Tavernier 3 gls
Crystal Palace

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace

0 Bournemouth Wins
3 Draws
0 Crystal Palace Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Oct 2025 Crystal Palace 3 - 3 Bournemouth
19 Apr 2025 Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Bournemouth
26 Dec 2024 Bournemouth 0 - 0 Crystal Palace
Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Liverpool L 0 - 1
17 Sep A Real Sociedad W 1 - 2
12 Sep H Brentford D 2 - 2
08 Sep H Lincoln W 4 - 0
05 Sep A Newcastle D 2 - 2

Crystal Palace — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Leeds D 0 - 0
17 Sep H Lech Poznan W 4 - 0
12 Sep H Ipswich L 2 - 3
08 Sep H Middlesbrough W 3 - 0
05 Sep A Fulham W 2 - 3

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Bournemouth

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Andoni Iraola
1 Petrovic
3 Truffert
5 Senesi
23 Hill
20 Jimenez
12 Adams
8 Scott
16 Tavernier
22 Kroupi
37 Rayan
9 Evanilson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 D. Petrovic G
20 A. Jimenez D
23 J. Hill D
5 M. Senesi D
3 A. Truffert D
8 A. Scott M
12 T. Adams M
37 Rayan M
22 E. J. Kroupi M
16 M. Tavernier M
9 Evanilson F

Substitutes

29 C. Mandas G
15 A. Smith D
10 R. Christie M
26 E. Unal F
18 B. Diakite D
7 D. Brooks M
21 A. Adli F
11 B. Doak F
27 A. Toth M

Crystal Palace

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: O. Glasner
1 Henderson
34 Riad
5 Lacroix
23 Canvot
55 Devenny
18 Kamada
8 Lerma
2 Munoz
10 Pino
22 Larsen
11 Johnson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 D. Henderson G
23 J. Canvot D
5 M. Lacroix D
34 C. Riad D
2 D. Munoz M
8 J. Lerma M
18 D. Kamada M
55 J. Devenny M
11 B. Johnson F
22 J. S. Larsen F
10 Y. Pino F

Substitutes

44 W. Benitez G
31 R. Matthews G
17 N. Clyne D
7 I. Sarr F
14 J. Mateta F
26 C. Richards D
3 T. Mitchell D
20 A. Wharton M
59 R. Cardines M

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