Gwangju FC vs Incheon United Prédiction

K League 1 · Regular Season - 24

Post on X

Gwangju FC

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Incheon United

Away

Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Incheon United

14%

25%

61%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Gwangju FC vs Incheon United : Sportiko estime que Gwangju FC a 14% de chances de s'imposer, Incheon United 61% et le match nul 25%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Aug 2026, 12:30.

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Timeline

Yellow Card

22' ▮

HT 0–0

T. van Grunsven ⇄ Sang-ki Min

53' ⇄

▮ 55'

Yellow Card

⇄ 58'

Kim Myung-Sun ⇄ Choi Seung-Gu

⇄ 58'

⇄ S. Mugoša

J. Iredale

65' ⇄

H. Friðjónsson ⇄ Ji-hoon Jeong

65' ⇄

⇄ 76'

M. Ferrier

Kwon Sung-Yun Yellow Card

78' ▮

80' ⇄

Moon Min-seo ⇄ A. Ba Loua

80' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Lee Chung-Yong

⇄ 84'

Gerso

⚽ 0–1 90+5'

S. Mugoša Penalty

FT 0–1

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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Incheon United

Most likely score

0:1 · 21.6%

Both teams to score

22%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Gwangju FC

DDLDL

Incheon United

DLWLD

Last 2 meetings Gwangju FC · 1W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

14%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

61%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Incheon United goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	22	20	12	5	2
1	3	8	6	4	2	1
2	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Gwangju FC goals · most likely 0–1 (21.6%)

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Players in form

Gwangju FC

Moon Min-seo 2 gls

Incheon United

S. Mugoša 6 gls

M. Ferrier 3 gls

Gerso 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

25%

Home Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

25%

Home Win

14%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

94% Away (No Draw) 6% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

45% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 5% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.5%	21.6%	20.0%	11.9%	5.3%
1	2.9%	7.6%	6.0%	3.6%	1.6%
2	0.6%	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%
3	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

36%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gwangju FC	Draw	Incheon United
Gwangju FC	2.4%	1.6%	1.1%
Draw	2.5%	17.2%	24.6%
Incheon United	0.2%	1.8%	48.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

88%

0.5

12%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gwangju FC vs Incheon United

1 Gwangju FC Wins

0 Draws

1 Incheon United Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 May 2026	Incheon United	4 - 0	Gwangju FC
07 Mar 2026	Gwangju FC	3 - 2	Incheon United

Gwangju FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Jeonbuk Motors	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H FC Anyang	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	H Jeju United FC	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Gimcheon Sangmu FC	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H FC Seoul	L	2 - 5

Incheon United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Daejeon Citizen	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Ulsan Hyundai FC	L	2 - 1
08 Sep	H Bucheon FC 1995	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A FC Seoul	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Jeonbuk Motors	D	1 - 1

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Gwangju FC

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jeong-kyu Lee

1 Kim

17 Pedro

6 Ahn

4 Grunsven

22 Kwon

88 Moon

37 Ri

10 Choi

40 Shin

18 Iredale

11 Friðjónsson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Kyeong-min Kim	G
22	Sung-yun Kwon	D
4	Teun van Grunsven	D
6	Yeong-kyu Ahn	D
17	João Pedro	D
40	Chang-mu Shin	M
10	Kyoung-Rok Choi	M
37	Yong-jik Ri	M
88	Min-seo Moon	M
11	Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson	F
18	John Iredale	F

Substitutes

23	Dong-hwa Kim	G
2	Suk-Hwan Jang	D
3	Min-ki Lee	D
39	Sang-ki Min	D
50	Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua	M
70	Kim Woo-Jin	M
16	Ji-hoon Jeong	M
14	Yu Je-ho	M
8	Se-jong Ju	M

Incheon United

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jong-Hwan Yoon

1 Kim

39 Myung-Sun

4 Kim

2 Ibiza

32 Lee

17 Kim

5 Lee

15 Seo

11 Fernandes

72 Lee

99 Ferrier

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Dong-heon Kim	G
32	Ju-yong Lee	D
2	Juan Ibiza	D
4	Gun-hee Kim	D
39	Kim Myung-Sun	D
11	Gerso Fernandes	M
15	Jae-min Seo	M
5	Myung Joo Lee	M
17	Seong-min Kim	M
99	Morgan Ferrier	F
72	Chung-yong Lee	F

Substitutes

21	Lee Tae Hui	G
3	Sang-ki Lee	D
20	Park Kyung-sub	D
30	Young-whan Kim	M
13	Choi Seung-Gu	D
26	Lee Min-Hyeok	M
10	Dong-ryul Lee	F
70	Leandro Ribeiro	F
9	Stefan Mugoša	F