Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC Prédiction

K League 1 · Regular Season - 24

Post on X

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Away

Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo

Prédiction IA Jeju United FC ou match nul

42%

30%

29%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC : Sportiko estime que Jeju United FC a 42% de chances de s'imposer, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 29% et le match nul 30%. Dernière mise à jour : 22 Aug 2026, 12:30.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Plus de 1,5 buts 72%

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Timeline

▮ 44'

Park Cheol-Woo Yellow Card

Emerson Ramon Yellow Card

45+2' ▮

HT 0–0

Shin Sang-Eun ⇄ Chang-jun Park

54' ⇄

Emerson Ramon ⇄ Choi Byung-Wook

67' ⇄

Lee Chang-Min

67' ⇄

Jang Min-Gyu ⇄ Kwon Ki-Min

68' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Se-jin Park ⇄ Kim Lee-Seok

⇄ 69'

Yun-sang Hong ⇄ Joo-chan Kim

Yellow Card

71' ▮

⇄ Kim Shin-jin

78' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Lee Jung-Taek ⇄ Lee Chan-wook

⇄ 82'

Kim Tae-Hwan ⇄ Hong Si-Hoo

▮ 85'

Tae-jun Park Yellow Card

⇄ 89'

Lee Kun-Hee ⇄ Kim In-Gyun

Choi Byung-Wook Yellow Card

90+7' ▮

▮ 90+7'

Kim Lee-Seok Yellow Card

▮ 90+8'

Yellow Card

FT 0–0

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Jeju United FC ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Jeju United FC

WDWDW

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

WDDDL

Last 2 meetings Jeju United FC · 0W 2D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

42%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

29%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	6	4	1
1	11	14	6	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Jeju United FC goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Players in form

Jeju United FC

No scorer data.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Go Jae-Hyeon 3 gls

Lee Kun-Hee 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

30%

Away Win

29%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

30%

Away Win

29%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.9%	6.3%	3.7%	1.2%	0.3%
1	11.3%	13.7%	5.7%	1.8%	0.4%
2	10.0%	9.4%	4.4%	1.4%	0.3%
3	5.2%	4.9%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.0%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Jeju United FC	Draw	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Jeju United FC	31.1%	4.2%	1.3%
Draw	17.9%	18.6%	9.1%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	2.1%	3.9%	11.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

0 Jeju United FC Wins

2 Draws

0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Jul 2026	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	1 - 1	Jeju United FC
18 Apr 2026	Jeju United FC	1 - 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Jeju United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Gangwon FC	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Bucheon FC 1995	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Gwangju FC	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Ulsan Hyundai FC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Daejeon Citizen	W	3 - 1

Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Bucheon FC 1995	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H Gangwon FC	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Pohang Steelers	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Gwangju FC	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Ulsan Hyundai FC	L	3 - 1

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Jeju United FC

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Sergio Costa

1 Kim

13 Jeong

3 Celestine

2 Figueiredo

47 Park

20 Jang

94 Ramon

5 Italo

8 Lee

11 Sang-Eun

9 Aiás

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Dong-jun Kim	G
47	Min-jae Park	D
2	Tobias Figueiredo	D
3	Julien Celestine	D
13	Woon Jeong	D
20	Min-gyu Jang	M
11	Shin Sang-Eun	M
8	Chang-min Lee	M
5	Italo	M
94	Emerson Ramon	M
9	Matheus Aiás	F

Substitutes

81	Ja-ung Heo	G
41	Jae-woo Kim	D
88	Jo In-Jung	D
6	Kwon Ki-Min	D
33	Su-bin Park	M
24	Byung-wook Choi	M
7	Chang-jun Park	F
18	Kim Shin-jin	F
77	Seung-jae Yoo	M

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Seung-jin Joo

1 Baek

3 Cheol-woo

26 Lee

45 Jun-soo

11 Kim

56 Kang-Hyeon

48 Hong

55 Park

14 Park

7 Go

9 Lee

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Jong-beom Baek	G
11	Tae-hwan Kim	D
45	Byeon Jun-soo	D
26	Jung-taek Lee	D
3	Park Cheol-woo	D
56	Lee Kang-Hyeon	M
7	Jae-hyeon Go	M
14	Se-jin Park	M
55	Tae-jun Park	M
48	Yun-sang Hong	M
9	Kun-hee Lee	F

Substitutes

41	Park Man-Ho	G
20	Lee Chan-wook	D
17	Joo-chan Kim	F
8	Kim Lee-Seok	M
53	Roh Kyung-ho	M
15	Deok-geun Lim	D
57	Jeong Jae-Min	F
21	In-kyun Kim	F
42	Si-hoo Hong	D