Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Prédiction

A-League A-League · Regular Season - 25
FT
Post on X
AAMI Park, Melbourne
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Newcastle Jets
28%
21%
51%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets : Sportiko estime que Melbourne Victory a 28% de chances de s'imposer, Newcastle Jets 51% et le match nul 21%. Dernière mise à jour : 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Timeline

▮ 15'
Eli Adams Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 19'
Eli Adams assist: Max Burgess
Yellow Card
25' ▮
31' ⚽ 1–1
34' ⚽ 2–1
▮ 44'
Max Burgess Yellow Card
HT 2–1
⇄ 57'
Zach Clough ⇄ Xavier Bertoncello
65' ⇄
⇄ 70'
Lachlan Rose ⇄ Ben Gibson
⇄ 81'
Clayton Taylor ⇄ Alex Nunes
82' ⇄
Nishan Velupillay
82' ⇄
⚽ 2–2 89'
Eli Adams Penalty
Yellow Card
90+1' ▮
FT 2–2
Melbourne Victory

Match Stats

Newcastle Jets
38% Ball Possession 62%
2.18 Expected Goals (xG) 2.16
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 9
10 Shots outsidebox 2
7 Corner Kicks 3
3 Offsides 3
9 Fouls 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
318 Total passes 541
235 Passes accurate 455
74% Passes % 84%
goals_prevented
Melbourne Victory
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Jason Davidson D 8.2 90' – – – 33 (28%) 2
44 Charles Nduka F 7.7 90' 2 – 3 16 (10%) 1
17 Nishan Velupillay F 7.3 82' – – 3 27 (20%) 3
22 Joshua Rawlins M 7.2 90' – 1 – 21 (17%) –
10 Denis Genreau M 7.2 90' – – 2 36 (31%) 5
8 Jordi Valadon M 7.2 82' – – 2 38 (31%) 3
18 Franco Lino M 7.2 90' – 1 – 27 (17%) 1
23 Keegan Jelacic F 7.2 65' – – – 31 (23%) –
40 Jack Warshawsky G 6.7 90' – – – 24 (8%) –
21 Roderick Miranda D 6.7 90' – – – 23 (20%) 1
14 Matthew Grimaldi F 6.6 25' – – 1 9 (6%) –
11 Clarismario F 6.5 8' – – – 4 (3%) –
27 Louis D'Arrigo M 6.5 8' – – – 5 (4%) –
15 Sebastian Esposito D 5.6 90' – – – 24 (17%) 4
Newcastle Jets
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Eli Adams F 8.3 90' 2 – 2 34 (26%) 4
17 Kosta Grozos D 7.6 90' – – – 62 (51%) 3
8 Lachlan Bayliss M 7.2 90' – – – 46 (33%) 3
14 Max Burgess M 7.2 90' – 1 – 93 (83%) 5
1 James Delianov G 7.0 90' – – – 28 (25%) –
43 Xavier Bertoncello F 6.7 33' – – 1 12 (9%) 2
33 Mark Natta D 6.6 90' – – – 82 (72%) 2
23 Daniel Wilmering D 6.6 90' – – – 51 (46%) 1
13 Clayton Taylor F 6.6 81' – – 2 25 (14%) 1
24 Alex Nunes M 6.5 9' – – – 12 (9%) –
22 Joel Bertolissio D 6.5 90' – – – 59 (53%) 1
11 Ben Gibson F 6.3 20' – – 1 3 (3%) –
10 Zach Clough M 6.2 57' – – – 21 (20%) 1
9 Lachlan Rose F 6.0 70' – – 2 13 (11%) 2
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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Newcastle Jets
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Melbourne Victory
DWDWW
Newcastle Jets
LWDDL
Last 1 meetings Melbourne Victory · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Melbourne Victory will host Newcastle Jets on April 17, 2026. Melbourne Victory has historically been strong at home, boasting a solid win rate of 60% in their last 10 home matches. Conversely, Newcastle Jets have struggled away, recording only 30% of their points on the road this season. Key players to watch include Victory’s leading scorer, who has netted 12 goals, and a Newcastle forward who has been pivotal in creating chances, averaging 3 key passes per game. The match will likely hinge on Melbourne's ability to exploit Newcastle's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly from set pieces.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Head to Head: Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets

0 Melbourne Victory Wins
0 Draws
1 Newcastle Jets Wins
Date Home Score Away
24 Oct 2025 Newcastle Jets 5 - 2 Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
16 Sep A Viettel D 1 - 1
09 Sep A Sydney W 0 - 2
08 Aug A Western Sydney Wanderers D 1 - 1
26 Jul A Kingborough Lions W 0 - 4
25 Apr A Western Sydney Wanderers W 0 - 2

Newcastle Jets — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
21 Jul A Preston Lions L 3 - 2
25 Apr H Central Coast Mariners W 4 - 0
17 Apr A Melbourne Victory D 2 - 2
11 Apr H Adelaide United D 1 - 1
02 Apr A Macarthur L 3 - 2

A-League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Adelaide United
0 0 0 0 0 0
2
Central Coast Mariners
0 0 0 0 0 0
3
Newcastle Jets
0 0 0 0 0 0
4
Perth Glory
0 0 0 0 0 0
5
Brisbane Roar
0 0 0 0 0 0
6
Sydney
0 0 0 0 0 0
7
Wellington Phoenix
0 0 0 0 0 0
8
Melbourne Victory
0 0 0 0 0 0
9
Melbourne City
0 0 0 0 0 0
10
Western Sydney Wanderers
0 0 0 0 0 0
11
Macarthur
0 0 0 0 0 0
12
Auckland
0 0 0 0 0 0

Melbourne Victory

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Arthur Diles
40 Warshawsky
2 Davidson
21 Roderick
15 Esposito
18 Lino
8 Valadon
10 Genreau
22 Rawlins
17 Velupillay
44 Nduka
23 Jelacic

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 J. Warshawsky G
15 S. Esposito D
21 Roderick D
2 J. Davidson D
22 J. Rawlins M
10 D. Genreau M
8 J. Valadon M
18 F. Lino M
23 K. Jelacic F
44 C. Nduka F
17 N. Velupillay F

Substitutes

25 J. Duncan G
5 B. Hamill D
27 L. D'Arrigo M
14 M. Grimaldi F
9 N. Vergos F
7 R. Piscopo F
11 Clarismario F

Newcastle Jets

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Mark Milligan
1 Delianov
23 Wilmering
33 Natta
17 Grozos
22 Bertolissio
8 Bayliss
14 Burgess
10 Clough
13 Taylor
9 Rose
7 Adams

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Delianov G
22 J. Bertolissio D
17 K. Grozos D
33 M. Natta D
23 D. Wilmering D
10 Z. Clough M
14 M. Burgess M
8 L. Bayliss M
7 E. Adams F
9 L. Rose F
13 C. Taylor F

Substitutes

20 A. Nassiep G
18 K. Mizunuma M
11 B. Gibson F
41 L. Scicluna M
43 X. Bertoncello F
24 A. Nunes M
42 M. Cooper D

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