Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur Prédiction

A-League · Regular Season - 21

Post on X

Macarthur

Away

AAMI Park, Melbourne

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Melbourne Victory

61%

27%

12%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur : Sportiko estime que Melbourne Victory a 61% de chances de s'imposer, Macarthur 12% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Low (50%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Melbourne Victory

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Melbourne Victory

DWDWW

Macarthur

WWWLW

Last 1 meetings Melbourne Victory · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League matchup, Melbourne Victory will host Macarthur FC at AAMI Park. Melbourne Victory has shown a stronger home form, with a win rate of 60% at home this season, compared to Macarthur's away record, which stands at 33%. Key players like Victory's forward, who has scored 8 goals this season, will be crucial against a Macarthur defense that has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game. Given these statistics, Melbourne Victory will look to leverage their home advantage, while Macarthur will aim to improve their away performance to secure points. Expect a competitive clash with potential for goals on both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

61%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

12%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Macarthur goals →

	0	1	2
0	15	7	2
1	21	10	2
2	15	7	2
3	7	4	1
4	3	1
5	1

↑ Melbourne Victory goals · most likely 1–0 (21.1%)

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Players in form

Melbourne Victory

N. Vergos 7 gls

Clarismario Rodrigues 6 gls

Mata 5 gls

Macarthur

H. Sawyer 6 gls

M. Duke 5 gls

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Head to Head: Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur

0 Melbourne Victory Wins

1 Draws

0 Macarthur Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Dec 2025	Macarthur	0 - 0	Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Viettel	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	A Sydney	W	0 - 2
08 Aug	A Western Sydney Wanderers	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Kingborough Lions	W	0 - 4
25 Apr	A Western Sydney Wanderers	W	0 - 2

Macarthur — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Jul	A Uni Azzurri	W	0 - 3
24 Apr	H Wellington Phoenix	W	4 - 0
19 Apr	A Adelaide United	W	0 - 1
12 Apr	A Perth Glory	L	3 - 1
02 Apr	H Newcastle Jets	W	3 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle Jets	26	15	3	8	55	39	+16	48
2	Adelaide United	26	12	7	7	46	36	+10	43
3	Auckland	26	11	9	6	42	29	+13	42
4	Melbourne Victory	26	11	7	8	44	33	+11	40
5	Sydney	26	11	6	9	33	25	+8	39
6	Melbourne City	26	10	8	8	33	33	0	38
7	Macarthur	26	9	7	10	37	44	-7	34
8	Wellington Phoenix	26	9	6	11	36	48	-12	33
9	Central Coast Mariners	26	8	8	10	35	42	-7	32
10	Perth Glory	26	8	7	11	32	39	-7	31
11	Brisbane Roar	26	6	8	12	27	36	-9	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers	26	5	6	15	27	43	-16	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.