Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC Prédiction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27

Post on X

New York City FC

Away

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

Prédiction IA Trop serré pour trancher

37%

27%

35%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC : Sportiko estime que Atlanta United FC a 37% de chances de s'imposer, New York City FC 35% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 27 Sep 2026, 01:38.

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1st Half Draw or Away 74%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 5'

Matthew Edwards Own Goal

Giuliano Galoppo assist: Tomás Jacob

10' ⚽ 1–1

Luke Brennan Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 1–1

Tomás Jacob ⇄ D. Chica

55' ⇄

⚽ 1–2 56'

Andrés Perea assist: Agustin Ojeda

⇄ 67'

Bénie Traoré ⇄ Luighi Hanri

Cooper Sanchez ⇄ Ajani Fortune

67' ⇄

Yellow Card

68' ▮

Ajani Fortune assist: Tristan Muyumba

74' ⚽ 2–2

⇄ 80'

Nico Cavallo ⇄ Kevin O'Toole

Giuliano Galoppo ⇄ Steven Alzate

86' ⇄

Tristan Muyumba ⇄ C. Dunbar

86' ⇄

▮ 90+5'

Raul Gustavo Yellow Card

FT 2–2

Atlanta United FC

Match Stats

New York City FC

50% Ball Possession 50%

7 Total Shots 9

5 Shots on Goal 3

2 Shots off Goal 4

0 Blocked Shots 2

4 Shots insidebox 5

3 Shots outsidebox 4

4 Corner Kicks 3

2 Offsides 2

14 Fouls 14

1 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

500 Total passes 475

419 Passes accurate 411

13 Free Kicks 14

Atlanta United FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Giuliano Galoppo M	7.8	86'	1	–	2	35 (30%)	2
35 Ajani Fortune M	7.6	23'	1	–	2	17 (13%)	–
55 Tomás Jacob D	7.0	55'	–	1	–	28 (26%)	–
8 Tristan Muyumba M	6.8	86'	–	1	–	48 (43%)	3
44 D. Chica D	6.6	35'	–	–	–	40 (37%)	–
36 Breel Embolo F	6.5	90'	–	–	1	14 (12%)	–
70 C. Dunbar F	6.5	4'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
14 Mauricio Amaro M	6.4	90'	–	–	1	66 (58%)	2
4 Enea Mihaj D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	74 (61%)	3
48 Cooper Sanchez F	6.3	67'	–	–	–	28 (21%)	3
20 Luke Brennan F	6.2	90'	–	–	–	23 (21%)	2
3 Elías Báez D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	26 (20%)	3
1 Lucas Hoyos G	6.0	90'	–	–	–	39 (24%)	–
7 Steven Alzate M	6.0	4'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
47 Matthew Edwards D	5.5	90'	–	–	–	53 (46%)	–

New York City FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
26 Agustin Ojeda M	7.7	90'	–	1	–	46 (43%)	1
8 Andrés Perea M	7.6	90'	1	–	2	41 (33%)	–
32 Jonathan Shore M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	60 (58%)	3
30 Tomás Romero G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	–
6 James Sands D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	71 (62%)	–
2 Nico Cavallo D	6.6	80'	–	–	1	41 (38%)	1
13 Thiago Martins D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	55 (48%)	–
20 Luighi Hanri F	6.4	23'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
7 Nicolás Fernández M	6.3	90'	–	–	3	37 (33%)	–
9 Bénie Traoré F	6.3	67'	–	–	1	7 (5%)	3
22 Kevin O'Toole D	6.1	10'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	1
17 Hannes Wolf M	6.0	90'	–	–	–	19 (13%)	2
34 Raul Gustavo D	6.0	90'	–	–	1	63 (52%)	2

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Trop serré pour trancher

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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Atlanta United FC

DWDLD

New York City FC

DLWLD

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 67.1%. Late goal chance: 36.8%.

74' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 64%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

57' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. New York City FC win: 72.9%. BTTS: 100%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 30.6%, Away win 2H: 29.4%.

11' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 29.6%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

35%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

New York City FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	6	6	3	1
1	6	13	8	4	2
2	6	9	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Atlanta United FC goals · most likely 1–1 (12.8%)

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Players in form

Atlanta United FC

No scorer data.

New York City FC

N. Fernández Mercau 15 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

35%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

35%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 17% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 35% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	6.0%	5.5%	2.7%	1.0%
1	6.2%	12.8%	8.4%	4.1%	1.5%
2	5.8%	8.6%	6.4%	3.1%	1.2%
3	2.9%	4.4%	3.2%	1.6%	0.6%
4	1.1%	1.7%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atlanta United FC	Draw	New York City FC
Atlanta United FC	20.2%	3.7%	1.6%
Draw	14.7%	15.9%	11.0%
New York City FC	3.2%	5.8%	23.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Atlanta United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
26 Sep	H New York City FC	D	2 - 2
20 Sep	A Portland Timbers	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A DC United	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Orlando City SC	L	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Inter Miami	D	2 - 2

New York City FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
26 Sep	A Atlanta United FC	D	2 - 2
18 Sep	H New York Red Bulls	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Real Salt Lake	W	0 - 2
10 Sep	H New England Revolution	L	1 - 2
04 Sep	H Nashville SC	D	0 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	55	21	+34	60
2	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	45	36	+9	46
3	Inter Miami	27	12	10	5	64	50	+14	46
4	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	47	38	+9	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	54	44	+10	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	10	4	13	48	64	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	34	51	-17	33
9	New York City FC	27	8	9	10	41	36	+5	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	55	64	-9	33
11	DC United	26	6	12	8	34	42	-8	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	39	43	-4	29
13	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	39	51	-12	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	7	6	14	32	45	-13	27
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	34	54	-20	24

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	15	5	6	59	26	+33	50
2	St. Louis City	27	13	8	6	48	36	+12	47
3	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	50	42	+8	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	6	8	49	39	+10	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	34	32	+2	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	43	30	+13	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	10	8	9	35	35	0	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	11	3	13	38	38	0	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	9	9	10	37	44	-7	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	9	5	13	48	51	-3	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	5	13	40	44	-4	32
12	San Diego	27	8	8	11	47	47	0	32
13	Austin	27	7	10	10	35	47	-12	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	7	8	12	40	49	-9	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	6	3	18	32	65	-33	21