St. Louis City vs Toronto FC Prédiction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 26

Post on X

St. Louis City

Home

3 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Toronto FC

Away

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour St. Louis City

59%

23%

19%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic St. Louis City vs Toronto FC : Sportiko estime que St. Louis City a 59% de chances de s'imposer, Toronto FC 19% et le match nul 23%. Dernière mise à jour : 20 Sep 2026, 02:40.

Pronostics Premium

Premium

Under 4.5 76%
1st Half Over 0.5 75%
Home/Draw & Over 1.5 70%

Les membres Premium avaient ces pronostics avant le coup d'envoi. Voir les sélections Premium

Timeline

▮ 23'

Walker Zimmerman Yellow Card

Conrad Wallem Yellow Card

28' ▮

Carlo Holse assist: Alexandru Mățan

41' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

Jeong Sang-bin ⇄ Simon Becher

46' ⇄

Tomas Totland assist: Alexandru Mățan

54' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 57'

Walker Zimmerman ⇄ Nickseon Gomis

⇄ 63'

Derrick Etienne ⇄ Zane Monlouis

⇄ 63'

Niklas Dorsch ⇄ Jonathan Osorio

⇄ 63'

Markus Cimermancic ⇄ Theo Corbeanu

Simon Becher assist: Conrad Wallem

68' ⚽ 3–0

Fallou Fall Yellow Card

73' ▮

▮ 74'

Alonso Coello Yellow Card

⇄ 75'

Josh Sargent ⇄ Lewis Morgan

Conrad Wallem ⇄ Dante Polvara

78' ⇄

Alexandru Mățan ⇄ Daniel Edelman

79' ⇄

Rafael Navarro ⇄ Damion Downs

85' ⇄

Damion Downs Goal Disallowed - video review

90' 🖵

Carlo Holse ⇄ Tomáš Ostrák

90+2' ⇄

⚽ 3–1 90+7'

Theo Corbeanu assist: Alonso Coello

FT 3–1

St. Louis City

Match Stats

Toronto FC

62% Ball Possession 38%

2.23 Expected Goals (xG) 0.58

17 Total Shots 9

8 Shots on Goal 1

5 Shots off Goal 2

4 Blocked Shots 6

14 Shots insidebox 4

3 Shots outsidebox 5

8 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 0

14 Fouls 8

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 5

454 Total passes 277

385 Passes accurate 215

85% Passes % 78%

0.02 goals_prevented 0.02

St. Louis City

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Carlo Holse F	9.7	92'	1	–	2	40 (33%)	2
23 Alexandru Mățan M	7.9	78'	–	2	2	32 (27%)	1
14 Tomas Totland M	7.5	94'	1	–	1	30 (25%)	–
11 Simon Becher F	7.3	49'	1	–	4	7 (5%)	–
1 Roman Bürki G	7.3	94'	–	–	–	32 (28%)	–
8 Christopher Durkin M	7.3	94'	–	–	–	42 (39%)	1
6 Conrad Wallem M	7.2	78'	–	1	–	33 (25%)	–
21 Dante Polvara M	6.9	16'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	–
27 Fallou Fall D	6.9	94'	–	–	–	53 (47%)	1
99 Jaziel Orozco D	6.9	94'	–	–	–	62 (58%)	1
24 Daniel Edelman M	6.7	16'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
42 Damion Downs F	6.7	11'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–
32 Timo Baumgartl D	6.3	94'	–	–	1	64 (54%)	1
9 Rafael Navarro F	6.3	83'	–	–	1	20 (14%)	1
77 Jeong Sang-bin F	6.2	45'	–	–	1	16 (10%)	–
7 Tomáš Ostrák M	—	2'	–	–	–	–	–

Toronto FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Luka Gavran G	7.9	94'	–	–	–	28 (18%)	–
3 Matheus Pereira D	7.2	94'	–	–	–	30 (20%)	4
14 Alonso Coello M	7.0	94'	–	–	1	36 (31%)	3
90 Lewis Morgan F	6.9	20'	–	–	1	3 (2%)	–
6 Niklas Dorsch M	6.9	62'	–	–	–	14 (14%)	2
11 Derrick Etienne M	6.7	63'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
7 Theo Corbeanu F	6.7	32'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
71 Markus Cimermancic M	6.6	62'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	1
21 Jonathan Osorio M	6.5	32'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	–
20 Dániel Sallói M	6.5	94'	–	–	–	19 (15%)	–
22 Richie Laryea D	6.3	94'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	4
25 Walker Zimmerman D	6.3	56'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	–
13 Benjamin Kuscevic D	6.3	94'	–	–	1	26 (22%)	2
15 Nickseon Gomis D	6.3	38'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	2
12 Zane Monlouis D	6.2	31'	–	–	–	13 (9%)	1
9 Josh Sargent F	6.2	74'	–	–	–	17 (11%)	–

Premium

Accéder à l'analyse complète de l'IA pour St. Louis City vs Toronto FC

Tous les 70+ marchés de probabilité
Rapport de match — Analyse approfondie IA
Avantage Analytique — modèle vs marché
Types de sélections que vous choisissez

Passer à Premium

Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour St. Louis City

Most likely score

1:1 · 10.1%

Both teams to score

63%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

St. Louis City

WWWDW

Toronto FC

LLWDD

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

St. Louis City now leads 4-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

90' Goal 85% sure

St. Louis City now leads 3-1 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: St. Louis City leads 3-0. Win probability: 99.9%. Comeback chance: 0.1%.

70' Goal 85% sure

St. Louis City now leads 3-0 with 99.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 52.5%.

56' Goal 85% sure

St. Louis City now leads 2-0 with 96.3% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

59%

45%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

19%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Toronto FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4	3	2	1
1	6	10	5	2	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	6	7	4	2	1
4	3	4	2	1
5	2	2	1

↑ St. Louis City goals · most likely 1–1 (10.1%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

St. Louis City

Rafael Navarro 14 gls

Toronto FC

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Pourquoi cette sélection ? · Premium Analyse approfondie IA · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

23%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

14%

1.5

86%

34%

2.5

66%

57%

3.5

43%

76%

4.5

24%

89%

5.5

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

23%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

14%

1.5

86%

34%

2.5

66%

57%

3.5

43%

76%

4.5

24%

89%

5.5

11%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

22%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.5%	2.8%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%
1	6.3%	10.1%	5.4%	2.1%	0.6%
2	8.3%	9.9%	6.0%	2.4%	0.7%
3	6.2%	7.4%	4.4%	1.8%	0.5%
4	3.4%	4.1%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

40%

1.5

60%

69%

2.5

31%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

16%

24%

29%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	St. Louis City	Draw	Toronto FC
St. Louis City	41.8%	5.2%	2.4%
Draw	16.3%	12.5%	8.4%
Toronto FC	2.3%	2.9%	8.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

63%

2.5

37%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: St. Louis City vs Toronto FC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

St. Louis City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Toronto FC	W	3 - 1
17 Sep	A Colorado Rapids	W	0 - 3
13 Sep	H Minnesota United FC	W	4 - 2
10 Sep	A Portland Timbers	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Vancouver Whitecaps	W	1 - 3

Toronto FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A St. Louis City	L	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Orlando City SC	L	3 - 0
09 Sep	H Nashville SC	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Chicago Fire	D	4 - 4
29 Aug	H New York City FC	D	1 - 1

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Toronto FC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Robin Fraser

1 Gavran

3 Pereira

13 Kuscevic

25 Zimmerman

22 Laryea

6 Dorsch

14 Coello

20 Sallói

71 Cimermancic

11 Etienne

9 Sargent

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Luka Gavran	G
22	Richie Laryea	D
25	Walker Zimmerman	D
13	Benjamin Kuscevic	D
3	Matheus Pereira	D
14	Alonso Coello	M
6	Niklas Dorsch	M
11	Derrick Etienne	M
71	Markus Cimermancic	M
20	Dániel Sallói	M
9	Josh Sargent	F

Substitutes

23	William Yarbrough	G
38	Jackson Gilman	D
15	Nickseon Gomis	D
19	Kobe Franklin	D
12	Zane Monlouis	D
21	Jonathan Osorio	M
7	Theo Corbeanu	F
17	Emilio Aristizábal	F
90	Lewis Morgan	F

St. Louis City

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Yoann Damet

1 Bürki

27 Fall

32 Baumgartl

99 Orozco

14 Totland

23 Mățan

8 Durkin

6 Wallem

19 Holse

9 Navarro

77 Sang-bin

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Roman Bürki	G
99	Jaziel Orozco	D
32	Timo Baumgartl	D
27	Fallou Fall	D
6	Conrad Wallem	M
8	Christopher Durkin	M
23	Alexandru Mățan	M
14	Tomas Totland	M
77	Jeong Sang-bin	F
9	Rafael Navarro	F
19	Carlo Holse	F

Substitutes

39	Benjamin Lundt	G
5	Lukas MacNaughton	D
24	Daniel Edelman	M
21	Dante Polvara	M
59	Mykhi Joyner	M
7	Tomáš Ostrák	M
20	Rafael Santos	D
11	Simon Becher	F
42	Damion Downs	F