St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo Prédiction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 21

Post on X

St. Louis City

Home

2 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Houston Dynamo

Away

Prédiction IA St. Louis City ou match nul

39%

27%

34%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo : Sportiko estime que St. Louis City a 39% de chances de s'imposer, Houston Dynamo 34% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Aug 2026, 02:39.

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L'équipe à domicile marque 73%
1st Half Draw or Away 73%

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Timeline

Simon Becher assist: Alexandru Mățan

23' ⚽ 1–0

Alexandru Mățan Yellow Card

26' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Marcelo Saracchi ⇄ Felipe Andrade

⇄ 57'

Diadié Samassékou ⇄ Héctor Herrera

⇄ 57'

Duncan McGuire ⇄ Ibrahim Aliyu

▮ 58'

Mateusz Bogusz Yellow Card

▮ 58'

Agustín Bouzat Yellow Card

Tomáš Ostrák ⇄ Carlo Holse

62' ⇄

Simon Becher Yellow Card

63' ▮

🖵 66'

Mateusz Bogusz Goal Disallowed - offside

Carlo Holse Yellow Card

70' ▮

Jeong Sang-bin ⇄ Palmer Ault

72' ⇄

Alexandru Mățan ⇄ Lukas MacNaughton

72' ⇄

⚽ 1–1 75'

Ibrahim Aliyu

▮ 81'

Lucas Halter Yellow Card

Dante Polvara

85' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 87'

Agustín Bouzat ⇄ Franco Negri

Simon Becher ⇄ Miguel Perez

90+2' ⇄

⇄ 90+3'

Lawrence Ennali ⇄ Duane Holmes

Tomas Totland Yellow Card

90+8' ▮

FT 2–1

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Notre approche

St. Louis City ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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St. Louis City

WWWDW

Houston Dynamo

DLWDD

Last 1 meetings St. Louis City · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

34%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Houston Dynamo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	7	7	4	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	3	3	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ St. Louis City goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Players in form

St. Louis City

Rafael Navarro 14 gls

Houston Dynamo

Guilherme 14 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

34%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

34%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

58% Away (No Draw) 42% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 30% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	7.4%	7.0%	3.7%	1.4%
1	5.9%	13.2%	9.1%	4.8%	1.9%
2	4.9%	7.6%	6.0%	3.1%	1.2%
3	2.1%	3.3%	2.6%	1.4%	0.5%
4	0.7%	1.1%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	St. Louis City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
St. Louis City	18.2%	5.3%	3.3%
Draw	11.3%	16.8%	17.6%
Houston Dynamo	1.7%	3.8%	22.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo

0 St. Louis City Wins

1 Draws

0 Houston Dynamo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 May 2026	St. Louis City	2 - 2	Houston Dynamo

St. Louis City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Toronto FC	W	3 - 1
17 Sep	A Colorado Rapids	W	0 - 3
13 Sep	H Minnesota United FC	W	4 - 2
10 Sep	A Portland Timbers	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Vancouver Whitecaps	W	1 - 3

Houston Dynamo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H FC Cincinnati	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A San Jose Earthquakes	L	1 - 0
10 Sep	H Real Salt Lake	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Charlotte	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H San Jose Earthquakes	D	0 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.