Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Prédiction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 16

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New York Red Bulls

Away

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour New York Red Bulls

12%

27%

61%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls : Sportiko estime que Philadelphia Union a 12% de chances de s'imposer, New York Red Bulls 61% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 01:41.

Timeline

Milan Iloski

9' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 38'

Cade Cowell assist: Emil Forsberg

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

Matthew Dos Santos ⇄ Omar Valencia

Japhet Sery Larsen ⇄ Neil Pierre

56' ⇄

Indiana Vassilev assist: Frankie Westfield

57' ⚽ 2–1

Neil Pierre assist: Kai Wagner

66' ⚽ 3–1

Indiana Vassilev ⇄ Quinn Sullivan

73' ⇄

⇄ 74'

Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ⇄ Julián Bazán

⇄ 75'

Emil Forsberg ⇄ Gustav Berggren

⇄ 75'

Cade Cowell ⇄ Mohammed Sofo

▮ 77'

Ronald Donkor Yellow Card

▮ 85'

Omar Valencia Yellow Card

Milan Iloski ⇄ Ezekiel Alladoh

85' ⇄

Cavan Sullivan ⇄ Jesus Bueno

85' ⇄

▮ 88'

Gustav Berggren Yellow Card

FT 3–1

Philadelphia Union

Match Stats

New York Red Bulls

40% Ball Possession 60%

3.08 Expected Goals (xG) 0.54

23 Total Shots 10

9 Shots on Goal 5

10 Shots off Goal 3

4 Blocked Shots 2

15 Shots insidebox 7

8 Shots outsidebox 3

8 Corner Kicks 6

1 Offsides 0

13 Fouls 9

0 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

4 Goalkeeper Saves 6

260 Total passes 418

180 Passes accurate 345

69% Passes % 83%

0.47 goals_prevented 0.47

Philadelphia Union

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Bruno Damiani F	8.2	91'	–	–	2	25 (15%)	2
10 Milan Iloski F	8.0	85'	1	–	4	16 (13%)	–
6 Cavan Sullivan M	7.9	85'	–	–	2	18 (12%)	2
44 Neil Pierre D	7.5	35'	1	–	3	5 (4%)	–
19 Indiana Vassilev M	7.3	73'	1	–	2	17 (13%)	1
21 Danley Jean Jacques M	7.2	91'	–	–	2	25 (21%)	2
26 Nathan Harriel D	7.2	91'	–	–	–	22 (13%)	–
27 Kai Wagner D	7.0	91'	–	1	1	36 (19%)	2
39 Frankie Westfield D	6.9	91'	–	1	2	24 (20%)	1
18 Andre Blake G	6.7	91'	–	–	–	25 (12%)	–
4 Jovan Lukić M	6.5	91'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	–
33 Quinn Sullivan M	6.3	18'	–	–	1	6 (5%)	1
5 Japhet Sery Larsen D	6.2	56'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	1
8 Jesus Bueno M	—	6'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
23 Ezekiel Alladoh F	—	6'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

New York Red Bulls

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
34 Ethan Horvath G	8.0	91'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	–
7 Cade Cowell F	7.2	74'	1	–	1	17 (13%)	–
16 Julian Hall F	6.9	91'	–	–	1	11 (8%)	–
48 Ronald Donkor M	6.7	91'	–	–	–	34 (29%)	–
2 Justin Che D	6.6	91'	–	–	–	60 (49%)	1
14 Julián Bazán D	6.6	17'	–	–	1	7 (6%)	–
3 Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty D	6.3	74'	–	–	1	40 (34%)	1
56 Matthew Dos Santos D	6.3	45'	–	–	–	24 (15%)	2
11 Jorge Ruvalcaba F	6.3	91'	–	–	2	23 (19%)	–
37 Mohammed Sofo F	6.3	17'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
15 Adri Mehmeti M	6.2	91'	–	–	–	47 (42%)	–
10 Emil Forsberg M	6.2	74'	–	1	–	27 (18%)	–
4 Gustav Berggren M	6.2	17'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
5 Omar Valencia D	6.0	46'	–	–	–	23 (22%)	–
12 Dylan Nealis D	5.9	91'	–	–	2	69 (61%)	1

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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour New York Red Bulls

Most likely score

0:1 · 16.5%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Philadelphia Union

WWWWW

New York Red Bulls

WWLDL

Last 3 meetings Philadelphia Union · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming MLS clash, the Philadelphia Union will face the New York Red Bulls. The Union have shown strong form at home, with an average of 2 goals scored per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goal per match in their last five games. Conversely, the Red Bulls have struggled on the road, averaging 1 goal scored and 2 conceded per match in their recent away fixtures. The matchup may hinge on the Union's ability to capitalize on their attacking prowess while containing the Red Bulls' counter-attacks. Overall, Philadelphia's home form positions them as the favorites heading into this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

12%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

61%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

New York Red Bulls goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12	16	15	8	3	1
1	5	12	9	5	2	1
2	2	3	3	1	1
3		1
4
5

↑ Philadelphia Union goals · most likely 0–1 (16.5%)

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Players in form

Philadelphia Union

M. Iloski 13 gls

New York Red Bulls

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

27%

Home Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

27%

Home Win

12%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

84% Away (No Draw) 16% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 12% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.3%	16.5%	14.5%	7.9%	3.2%
1	5.1%	11.9%	8.6%	4.7%	1.9%
2	1.9%	3.1%	2.5%	1.4%	0.6%
3	0.4%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union	6.3%	3.0%	1.8%
Draw	5.6%	19.0%	21.9%
New York Red Bulls	0.6%	3.1%	38.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

55%

33%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls

2 Philadelphia Union Wins

1 Draws

0 New York Red Bulls Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Aug 2026	New York Red Bulls	1 - 3	Philadelphia Union
17 Aug 2013	New York Red Bulls	0 - 0	Philadelphia Union
23 Jun 2013	Philadelphia Union	3 - 0	New York Red Bulls

Voir les 7 confrontations — Premium

Philadelphia Union — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Sporting Kansas City	W	3 - 4
14 Sep	A San Diego	W	0 - 5
09 Sep	H FC Cincinnati	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	H CF Montreal	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A New York Red Bulls	W	1 - 3

New York Red Bulls — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A New York City FC	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Columbus Crew	W	0 - 1
10 Sep	A Los Angeles FC	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	A Seattle Sounders	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Philadelphia Union	L	1 - 3

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Philadelphia Union

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Bradley Carnell

18 Blake

27 Wagner

5 Larsen

26 Harriel

39 Westfield

19 Vassilev

4 Lukić

21 Jacques

6 Sullivan

10 Iloski

9 Damiani

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
18	Andre Blake	G
39	Frankie Westfield	D
26	Nathan Harriel	D
5	Japhet Sery Larsen	D
27	Kai Wagner	D
6	Cavan Sullivan	M
21	Danley Jean Jacques	M
4	Jovan Lukić	M
19	Indiana Vassilev	M
9	Bruno Damiani	F
10	Milan Iloski	F

Substitutes

76	Andrew Rick	G
2	Geiner Martínez	D
44	Neil Pierre	D
16	Ben Bender	M
28	Agustin Anello	F
11	Alejandro Bedoya	M
33	Quinn Sullivan	M
8	Jesus Bueno	M
23	Ezekiel Alladoh	F

New York Red Bulls

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Mohammed Adil Erradi

34 Horvath

56 Santos

12 Nealis

2 Che

3 Marshall-Rutty

10 Forsberg

15 Mehmeti

48 Donkor

11 Ruvalcaba

16 Hall

7 Cowell

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
34	Ethan Horvath	G
3	Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty	D
2	Justin Che	D
12	Dylan Nealis	D
56	Matthew Dos Santos	D
48	Ronald Donkor	M
15	Adri Mehmeti	M
10	Emil Forsberg	M
7	Cade Cowell	F
16	Julian Hall	F
11	Jorge Ruvalcaba	F

Substitutes

77	John McCarthy	G
5	Omar Valencia	D
26	Tim Parker	D
14	Julián Bazán	D
4	Gustav Berggren	M
80	Nathan Worth	M
37	Mohammed Sofo	F
91	Mijahir Jiménez	F
70	Andy Rojas	F