Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama Prédiction

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

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Vasco DA Gama

Away

Prédiction IA Atletico Paranaense ou match nul

42%

28%

30%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama : Sportiko estime que Atletico Paranaense a 42% de chances de s'imposer, Vasco DA Gama 30% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 5 Nov 2026, 00:28.

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1st Half Home or Draw 76%
L'équipe extérieure marque 71%
Moins de 3,5 buts 70%

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Timeline

Jádson Yellow Card

1' ▮

Steven Mendoza assist: Luiz Gustavo

22' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Brenner ⇄ Bruno Duarte

⇄ 46'

Santiago Sosa ⇄ Facundo Colidio

Steven Mendoza ⇄ João Cruz

46' ⇄

▮ 55'

Alan Lescano Yellow Card

⚽ 1–1 61'

Juan Felipe Aguirre assist: Cuiabano

⚽ 1–2 63'

Bruno Duarte assist: Puma Rodríguez

⚽ 1–3 67'

Gabriel Pereira assist: Facundo Colidio

Jádson ⇄ Juan Portilla

69' ⇄

Juan Felipe Aguirre ⇄ Leozinho

69' ⇄

⇄ 75'

Andrés Gómez ⇄ Jair

⇄ 75'

Alan Lescano ⇄ Ramon Rique

Kevin Viveros Red Card

77' ▮

Kerwin Calderón Vargas ⇄ Jorge Rivaldo

86' ⇄

Gastón Benavídez ⇄ Gilberto

87' ⇄

⇄ 89'

Puma Rodríguez ⇄ Paulo Henrique

Dantas Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

Arthur Dias Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 1–3

Atletico Paranaense

Match Stats

Vasco DA Gama

51% Ball Possession 49%

0.31 Expected Goals (xG) 0.71

11 Total Shots 7

3 Shots on Goal 3

2 Shots off Goal 3

6 Blocked Shots 1

3 Shots insidebox 5

8 Shots outsidebox 2

6 Corner Kicks 0

0 Offsides 1

9 Fouls 15

1 Yellow Cards 1

1 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

468 Total passes 453

391 Passes accurate 386

84% Passes % 85%

-0.82 goals_prevented -0.82

Atletico Paranaense

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Steven Mendoza F	7.7	45'	1	–	3	13 (10%)	–
37 Lucas Esquivel M	6.9	86'	–	–	1	37 (30%)	3
14 Luiz Gustavo M	6.9	86'	–	1	–	57 (53%)	–
27 Juan Portilla M	6.7	17'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	1
16 Jádson M	6.7	69'	–	–	–	44 (41%)	1
18 Kerwin Calderón Vargas F	6.6	86'	–	–	1	44 (35%)	–
21 Leozinho F	6.3	17'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
8 João Cruz M	6.3	41'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	–
29 Gastón Benavídez M	6.3	86'	–	–	–	46 (37%)	2
4 Arthur Dias D	6.2	86'	–	–	–	49 (41%)	1
9 Kevin Viveros F	5.9	77'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
25 Dantas D	5.9	86'	–	–	–	50 (43%)	1
1 Mycael G	5.3	86'	–	–	–	33 (20%)	–
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre D	5.2	69'	–	–	–	43 (39%)	–

Vasco DA Gama

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
66 Cuiabano M	7.7	86'	–	–	2	36 (21%)	4
55 Gabriel Pereira D	7.6	86'	1	–	1	55 (50%)	1
19 Bruno Duarte F	7.3	41'	1	–	1	11 (9%)	–
4 Alan Saldivia D	7.3	86'	–	–	–	52 (46%)	3
2 Puma Rodríguez M	7.2	86'	–	1	1	32 (23%)	1
9 Facundo Colidio F	7.0	41'	–	1	–	10 (5%)	–
5 Santiago Sosa M	6.9	45'	–	–	–	44 (37%)	2
23 Thiago Mendes M	6.7	86'	–	–	–	59 (55%)	–
22 Alan Lescano M	6.7	75'	–	–	–	44 (39%)	2
20 Brenner F	6.6	45'	–	–	–	14 (14%)	–
30 Robert Renan D	6.3	86'	–	–	–	62 (55%)	–
8 Jair M	6.3	11'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
83 Ramon Rique M	6.3	11'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
1 Léo Jardim G	6.2	86'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
11 Andrés Gómez F	6.0	75'	–	–	1	10 (9%)	–

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Atletico Paranaense ou match nul

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Atletico Paranaense

LLDLW

Vasco DA Gama

WLLWL

Last 3 meetings Atletico Paranaense · 1W 0D 2L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Vasco DA Gama leads 1-3. Win probability: 97.7%. Comeback chance: 2.3%.

68' Goal 85% sure

Vasco DA Gama now leads 1-3 with 95.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 48.6%.

64' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Vasco DA Gama win: 74.1%. BTTS: 100%.

62' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 52.3%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Atletico Paranaense leads. Win probability: 74.9%. Over 0.5 more goals: 73.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Atletico Paranaense

K. Viveros 21 gls

Vasco DA Gama

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama

1 Atletico Paranaense Wins

0 Draws

2 Vasco DA Gama Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 0	Atletico Paranaense
26 Aug 2024	Vasco DA Gama	2 - 1	Atletico Paranaense
05 May 2024	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 0	Vasco DA Gama

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Atletico Paranaense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Nov	H Vasco DA Gama	L	1 - 3
30 Oct	A Gremio	L	2 - 0
24 Oct	A Vitoria	D	1 - 1
17 Oct	H Palmeiras	L	0 - 2
12 Oct	A Chapecoense-sc	W	1 - 4

Vasco DA Gama — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Nov	A Atletico Paranaense	W	1 - 3
01 Nov	A Palmeiras	L	1 - 0
29 Oct	H Flamengo	L	1 - 4
24 Oct	H Corinthians	W	3 - 2
21 Oct	H Boca Juniors	L	1 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	71	29	+42	76
2	Palmeiras	34	21	10	3	62	23	+39	73
3	Cruzeiro	34	18	6	10	55	48	+7	60
4	Fluminense	34	16	9	9	55	42	+13	57
5	Atletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	51	43	+8	54
6	Bahia	34	14	11	9	50	45	+5	53
7	Atletico-MG	34	14	8	12	44	40	+4	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	13	8	13	44	39	+5	47
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	50	49	+1	47
10	Sao Paulo	34	12	8	14	39	39	0	44
11	Botafogo	34	11	9	14	46	53	-7	42
12	Coritiba	34	11	9	14	40	51	-11	42
13	Vasco DA Gama	33	11	8	14	43	50	-7	41
14	Mirassol	34	10	10	14	39	48	-9	40
15	Vitoria	34	10	8	16	35	51	-16	38
16	Internacional	34	9	11	14	38	42	-4	38
17	Corinthians	34	9	10	15	36	42	-6	37
18	Gremio	34	9	10	15	38	47	-9	37
19	Remo	34	6	11	17	37	57	-20	29
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	33	4	9	20	33	68	-35	21

Vasco DA Gama

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: David Díaz

1 Jardim

30 Renan

4 Saldivia

55 Pereira

66 Cuiabano

23 Mendes

5 Sosa

22 Lescano

2 Rodríguez

20 Brenner

11 Gómez

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Léo Jardim	G
55	Gabriel Pereira	D
4	Alan Saldivia	D
30	Robert Renan	D
2	Puma Rodríguez	M
22	Alan Lescano	M
5	Santiago Sosa	M
23	Thiago Mendes	M
66	Cuiabano	M
11	Andrés Gómez	F
20	Brenner	F

Substitutes

13	Daniel Fuzato	G
96	Paulo Henrique	D
6	Lucas Piton	D
43	Lucas Freitas	D
83	Ramon Rique	M
8	Jair	M
17	Nuno Moreira	M
3	Tchê Tchê	M
9	Facundo Colidio	F
28	Adson	F
19	Bruno Duarte	F
7	David	F