Mirassol vs Palmeiras Prédiction

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

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Mirassol

Home

1 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Palmeiras

Away

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Palmeiras

18%

26%

56%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Mirassol vs Palmeiras : Sportiko estime que Mirassol a 18% de chances de s'imposer, Palmeiras 56% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 30 Aug 2026, 23:34.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Plus de 1,5 buts 71%

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Timeline

HT 0–0

Eduardo assist: Igor Formiga

50' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ Japa

70' ⇄

Eduardo ⇄ Gustavo Cazonatti

70' ⇄

⇄ 70'

Felipe Anderson ⇄ Khellven

⇄ 70'

Vitor Roque ⇄ Lucas Evangelista

⚽ 1–1 75'

Mauricio assist: Gustavo Gómez

Gustavo Silva

76' ⇄

Alesson ⇄ Fernandinho

79' ⇄

Bruno Santos ⇄ André Luis

79' ⇄

Denilson Yellow Card

85' ▮

⇄ 87'

Mauricio ⇄ Heittor

▮ 90+6'

Arthur Gabriel Yellow Card

▮ 90+8'

Arthur Gabriel Yellow Card

▮ 90+8'

Arthur Gabriel Red Card

FT 1–1

Mirassol

Match Stats

Palmeiras

47% Ball Possession 53%

0.75 Expected Goals (xG) 1.50

9 Total Shots 13

5 Shots on Goal 3

4 Shots off Goal 6

0 Blocked Shots 4

7 Shots insidebox 10

2 Shots outsidebox 3

3 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 0

16 Fouls 10

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

402 Total passes 463

350 Passes accurate 374

87% Passes % 81%

0.23 goals_prevented 0.23

Mirassol

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Walter G	7.9	98'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	–
33 Eduardo M	7.9	70'	1	–	1	31 (30%)	–
34 João Victor D	7.3	98'	–	–	1	52 (49%)	2
27 Denilson M	7.2	98'	–	–	–	57 (53%)	3
19 Gustavo Silva M	7.2	76'	–	–	1	26 (23%)	3
25 Neto Moura M	7.0	69'	–	–	–	42 (36%)	1
6 Reinaldo D	6.9	98'	–	–	2	30 (22%)	–
3 Willian Machado D	6.9	98'	–	–	–	48 (42%)	–
17 Fernandinho F	6.7	19'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
32 Igor Formiga D	6.6	98'	–	1	–	51 (44%)	1
96 Carlos Eduardo F	6.6	22'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	1
55 Gustavo Cazonatti M	6.5	28'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	1
5 Japa M	6.3	29'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
77 Alesson M	6.3	79'	–	–	1	14 (12%)	1
9 André Luis F	6.3	19'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
30 Bruno Santos F	6.2	79'	–	–	3	15 (11%)	–

Palmeiras

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Carlos Miguel G	7.5	98'	–	–	–	20 (13%)	–
18 Mauricio M	7.3	87'	1	–	1	25 (19%)	–
15 Gustavo Gómez D	7.2	98'	–	1	2	46 (41%)	2
42 José Manuel López F	7.2	98'	–	–	3	30 (21%)	1
26 Murilo D	6.9	98'	–	–	–	72 (62%)	1
17 Marlon Freitas M	6.9	98'	–	–	1	61 (54%)	–
8 Andreas Pereira M	6.9	98'	–	–	–	45 (35%)	1
7 Felipe Anderson F	6.9	70'	–	–	–	35 (27%)	2
56 Arthur Gabriel M	6.9	98'	–	–	–	51 (42%)	1
30 Lucas Evangelista M	6.6	28'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
9 Vitor Roque F	6.5	70'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	1
39 Heittor F	6.5	11'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
12 Khellven D	6.3	28'	–	–	1	8 (7%)	1
4 Agustín Giay D	6.3	98'	–	–	1	44 (34%)	3

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Palmeiras

Most likely score

0:2 · 16.9%

Both teams to score

34%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Mirassol

WDWLD

Palmeiras

DWWDD

Last 3 meetings Mirassol · 1W 1D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

18%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

56%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Palmeiras goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	16	17	11	6	2
1	3	9	8	5	3	1
2	1	2	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Mirassol goals · most likely 0–2 (16.9%)

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Players in form

Mirassol

No scorer data.

Palmeiras

J. López 8 gls

Maurício 7 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

26%

Home Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

26%

Home Win

18%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

91% Away (No Draw) 9% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

46% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Away Scores More 21% Equal Goals 7% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	15.9%	16.9%	11.2%	5.6%
1	3.1%	9.4%	8.3%	5.5%	2.7%
2	1.0%	2.0%	2.0%	1.3%	0.7%
3	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mirassol	Draw	Palmeiras
Mirassol	4.0%	2.5%	1.9%
Draw	3.2%	14.7%	23.2%
Palmeiras	0.3%	2.3%	48.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

61%

30%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mirassol vs Palmeiras

1 Mirassol Wins

1 Draws

1 Palmeiras Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Mar 2026	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Mirassol
09 Nov 2025	Mirassol	2 - 1	Palmeiras
16 Jul 2025	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol

Mirassol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Botafogo	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Vitoria	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Coritiba	W	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Flamengo	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Palmeiras	D	1 - 1

Palmeiras — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Gremio	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Sao Paulo	W	2 - 0
09 Sep	H LDU de Quito	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Botafogo	D	0 - 0
03 Sep	A Santos	D	0 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Palmeiras

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Abel Ferreira

1 Miguel

26 Murilo

15 Gómez

4 Giay

56 Gabriel

8 Pereira

17 Freitas

18 Mauricio

7 Anderson

42 López

9 Roque

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Carlos Miguel	G
4	Agustín Giay	D
15	Gustavo Gómez	D
26	Murilo	D
18	Mauricio	M
17	Marlon Freitas	M
8	Andreas Pereira	M
56	Arthur Gabriel	M
42	José Manuel López	F
7	Felipe Anderson	F
9	Vitor Roque	F

Substitutes

14	Marcelo Lomba	G
66	André Lucas	D
12	Khellven	D
3	Bruno Fuchs	D
50	Luis Pacheco	M
48	Larson	M
45	Erick Belé	M
32	Emiliano Martínez	M
30	Lucas Evangelista	M
39	Heittor	F
29	Miguel Cinoncelli Bilong	F
37	Riquelme Fillipi	F

Mirassol

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Rafael Guanaes

22 Walter

6 Reinaldo

3 Machado

34 Victor

32 Formiga

27 Denilson

25 Moura

77 Alesson

30 Santos

19 Silva

33 Eduardo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Walter	G
32	Igor Formiga	D
34	João Victor	D
3	Willian Machado	D
6	Reinaldo	D
25	Neto Moura	M
27	Denilson	M
19	Gustavo Silva	M
30	Bruno Santos	M
77	Alesson	M
33	Eduardo	F

Substitutes

23	Alex Muralha	G
44	Gabriel Knesowitsch	D
18	Elias	D
2	Lucas Oliveira	D
12	Victor Luis	D
55	Gustavo Cazonatti	M
5	Japa	M
7	Shaylon	M
17	Fernandinho	F
10	Chico	M
96	Carlos Eduardo	F
9	André Luis	F