Gremio vs Sao Paulo Prédiction
Prédiction IA
Gremio ou match nul
39%
31%
30%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic Gremio vs Sao Paulo : Sportiko estime que Gremio a 39% de chances de s'imposer, Sao Paulo 30% et le match nul 31%. Dernière mise à jour : 9 Aug 2026, 00:03.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
45+2'
Marcos Antônio
assist: Luciano
Mathias Villasanti
Yellow Card
45+5'
▮
HT 0–1
Jovane Cabral
⇄ Francis Amuzu
46'
⇄
Wallace
assist: Carlos Vinícius
48'
⚽
1–1
Juan Nardoni
⇄ Dodi
54'
⇄
⇄
70'
Danielzinho
⇄ Damián Bobadilla
⇄
71'
Ferreirinha
⇄ Cauly
▮
75'
Luciano
Yellow Card
⇄
77'
Jonathan Calleri
⇄ André Silva
Carlos Vinícius
⇄ Martin Braithwaite
78'
⇄
Diego Caito
Yellow Card
81'
▮
Cristian Pavón
86'
⚽
2–1
⇄
89'
Pablo Maia
⇄ Gustavo Santana
⇄
89'
Wendell
⇄ Victor Sá
Marlon
Yellow Card
90+1'
▮
Mathias Villasanti
⇄ Walter Kannemann
90+1'
⇄
Cristian Pavón
⇄ Leonel Pérez
90+1'
⇄
▮
90+2'
André Silva
Yellow Card
Walter Kannemann
Yellow Card
90+5'
▮
▮
90+5'
Robert Arboleda
Yellow Card
FT 2–1
Gremio
Match Stats
Sao Paulo
48%
Ball Possession
52%
1.62
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
12
Total Shots
18
5
Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots off Goal
8
4
Blocked Shots
5
8
Shots insidebox
12
4
Shots outsidebox
6
7
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
19
4
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
421
Total passes
462
364
Passes accurate
392
86%
Passes %
85%
0.13
goals_prevented
0.13
Gremio
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82 Wallace D | 8.2 | 97' | 1 | – | 1 | 57 (52%) | – |
| 7 Cristian Pavón M | 8.2 | 91' | 1 | – | 1 | 38 (34%) | – |
| 1 Weverton G | 7.9 | 97' | – | – | – | 35 (18%) | – |
| 95 Carlos Vinícius F | 7.9 | 78' | – | 1 | 1 | 12 (11%) | – |
| 19 Erick Noriega M | 7.2 | 97' | – | – | 1 | 62 (55%) | 1 |
| 20 Mathias Villasanti M | 7.0 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 33 (28%) | 2 |
| 6 Gustavo Martins D | 6.9 | 97' | – | – | – | 63 (60%) | 1 |
| 9 Francis Amuzu F | 6.9 | 52' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 77 Jovane Cabral M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 11 (11%) | – |
| 22 Martin Braithwaite F | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 27 Diego Caito D | 6.7 | 97' | – | – | 1 | 47 (42%) | 1 |
| 5 Juan Nardoni M | 6.5 | 54' | – | – | 1 | 20 (19%) | 1 |
| 17 Dodi M | 6.5 | 43' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 23 Marlon D | 6.2 | 97' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | 1 |
| 4 Walter Kannemann D | — | 6' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 33 Leonel Pérez M | — | 6' | – | – | – | – | – |
Sao Paulo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Marcos Antônio M | 7.7 | 97' | 1 | – | 2 | 57 (53%) | 1 |
| 11 Ferreirinha M | 7.5 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 25 (21%) | 1 |
| 23 Rafael G | 7.0 | 97' | – | – | – | 37 (26%) | – |
| 10 Luciano M | 7.0 | 97' | – | 1 | 2 | 25 (22%) | 2 |
| 43 Gustavo Santana M | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 16 Damián Bobadilla M | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | 2 | 17 (12%) | – |
| 19 Lucas Ramon D | 6.3 | 97' | – | – | 1 | 22 (14%) | 1 |
| 5 Robert Arboleda D | 6.3 | 97' | – | – | 1 | 55 (42%) | – |
| 18 Wendell D | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | 2 |
| 9 Jonathan Calleri F | 6.3 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 94 Danielzinho M | 6.3 | 70' | – | – | – | 49 (45%) | – |
| 27 Victor Sá F | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 80 Cauly M | 6.3 | 26' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 17 André Silva F | 6.3 | 20' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 29 Pablo Maia M | 6.2 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 75 (69%) | 1 |
| 54 Luis Osorio D | 6.0 | 97' | – | – | – | 50 (46%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (39%)
At a glance
Notre approche
Gremio ou match nul
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Gremio
DLLLW
Sao Paulo
WDLLW
Last 3 meetings
Gremio · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Serie A clash, Gremio faces Sao Paulo on August 9, 2026. Both teams have shown competitive form, with Gremio currently averaging 1.8 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding just 1.1 goals per game. Sao Paulo, meanwhile, boasts a slightly lower scoring rate at 1.5 goals per match but has a strong midfield presence that can disrupt Gremio's rhythm. Key players to watch include Gremio's striker, who has been prolific this season, and Sao Paulo's creative midfielder, known for his playmaking abilities. This matchup promises to be closely contested, with both teams vying for crucial points in the league standings.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
39%
45%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
30%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Gremio
Carlos Vinícius
10 gls
Sao Paulo
Luciano
8 gls
J. Calleri
8 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Gremio vs Sao Paulo
1
Gremio Wins
0
Draws
2
Sao Paulo Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | Sao Paulo | 2 - 0 | Gremio |
| 16 Oct 2025 | Gremio | 2 - 0 | Sao Paulo |
| 17 May 2025 | Sao Paulo | 2 - 1 | Gremio |
Gremio — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Palmeiras | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Botafogo | L | 3 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Vasco DA Gama | L | 1 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | A Vitoria | L | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | H Internacional | W | 3 - 1 |
Sao Paulo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Internacional | W | 1 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Boca Juniors | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Palmeiras | L | 2 - 0 |
| 09 Sep | A Boca Juniors | L | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Atletico-MG | W | 2 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Coritiba
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |
RB Bragantino
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |
Mirassol
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |
Internacional
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 |
Sao Paulo
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Dorival Júnior
23
Rafael
18
Wendell
54
Osorio
5
Arboleda
19
Ramon
29
Maia
94
Danielzinho
11
Ferreirinha
10
Luciano
8
Antônio
9
Calleri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rafael | G |
| 19 | Lucas Ramon | D |
| 5 | Robert Arboleda | D |
| 54 | Luis Osorio | D |
| 18 | Wendell | D |
| 94 | Danielzinho | M |
| 29 | Pablo Maia | M |
| 8 | Marcos Antônio | M |
| 10 | Luciano | M |
| 11 | Ferreirinha | M |
| 9 | Jonathan Calleri | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | Damián Bobadilla | M |
| 80 | Cauly | M |
| 17 | André Silva | F |
| 27 | Victor Sá | F |
| 43 | Gustavo Santana | M |
| 31 | Carlos Coronel | G |
| 20 | Aurélio Buta | D |
| 35 | Sabino | D |
| 12 | Iago Borduchi | D |
| 22 | Domingos Duarte | D |
| 34 | Tetê | F |
| 28 | Newton | M |
Gremio
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Luis Castro
1
Weverton
23
Marlon
82
Wallace
6
Martins
27
Caito
19
Noriega
77
Cabral
5
Nardoni
20
Villasanti
7
Pavón
95
Vinícius
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weverton | G |
| 27 | Diego Caito | D |
| 6 | Gustavo Martins | D |
| 82 | Wallace | D |
| 23 | Marlon | D |
| 19 | Erick Noriega | M |
| 7 | Cristian Pavón | M |
| 20 | Mathias Villasanti | M |
| 5 | Juan Nardoni | M |
| 77 | Jovane Cabral | M |
| 95 | Carlos Vinícius | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | Francis Amuzu | F |
| 17 | Dodi | M |
| 22 | Martin Braithwaite | F |
| 4 | Walter Kannemann | D |
| 33 | Leonel Pérez | M |
| 12 | Gabriel Grando | G |
| 14 | Marcos Rocha | D |
| 3 | Wagner Leonardo | D |
| 38 | Caio Paulista | D |
| 37 | Gabriel Mec | F |
| 99 | José Enamorado | F |
| 30 | Matheus Nascimento | F |