Sao Paulo vs Santos Prédiction

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

02 Oct 2026, 23:00

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Santos

Away

Prédiction IA Sao Paulo ou match nul

46%

29%

25%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Sao Paulo vs Santos : Sportiko estime que Sao Paulo a 46% de chances de s'imposer, Santos 25% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 26 Sep 2026, 06:02.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Sao Paulo

WDLLW

Santos

WWWWD

Last 3 meetings Sao Paulo · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Sao Paulo faces Santos in a matchup that promises to be competitive. Sao Paulo has demonstrated a solid home record, with a strong attacking line averaging 1.8 goals per game this season. In contrast, Santos has been resilient defensively, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match. The battle in midfield will be crucial, as both teams seek to control possession and create scoring opportunities. With both sides having talented players capable of changing the game, this encounter could be decided by a moment of individual brilliance or tactical execution.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

46%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

25%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Santos goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	4	1
1	10	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5		1

↑ Sao Paulo goals · most likely 1–1 (14.0%)

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Players in form

Sao Paulo

Luciano 8 gls

J. Calleri 8 gls

Santos

Gabriel Barbosa 11 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

29%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

29%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	6.7%	4.3%	1.5%	0.4%
1	10.4%	14.0%	6.4%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.3%	4.8%	1.6%	0.4%
3	4.5%	4.6%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sao Paulo	Draw	Santos
Sao Paulo	25.9%	4.0%	1.4%
Draw	18.9%	18.9%	10.4%
Santos	2.6%	4.4%	13.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sao Paulo vs Santos

1 Sao Paulo Wins

1 Draws

1 Santos Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Feb 2026	Santos	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
21 Sep 2025	Santos	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
20 Apr 2025	Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Santos

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Sao Paulo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Internacional	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	H Boca Juniors	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Palmeiras	L	2 - 0
09 Sep	A Boca Juniors	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Atletico-MG	W	2 - 0

Santos — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Remo	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Cruzeiro	W	2 - 1
09 Sep	H Atletico-MG	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	A Internacional	W	2 - 3
03 Sep	H Palmeiras	D	0 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.