Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol Prédiction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 20
FT
Post on X
Prédiction IA Vasco DA Gama ou match nul
37%
29%
33%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol : Sportiko estime que Vasco DA Gama a 37% de chances de s'imposer, Mirassol 33% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 26 Jul 2026, 01:28.

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  • L'équipe extérieure marque 74%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 70%
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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 30'
Igor Formiga assist: Reinaldo
⇄ 36'
José Aldo ⇄ Lucas Oliveira
HT 0–1
⇄ 46'
Gustavo Silva
Tchê Tchê ⇄ Nuno Moreira
59' ⇄
Adson ⇄ David
60' ⇄
▮ 66'
Walter Yellow Card
⇄ 69'
Edson Carioca ⇄ Fernandinho
⇄ 69'
Japa ⇄ Eduardo
Ramon Rique ⇄ Jair
70' ⇄
Cuiabano ⇄ Lucas Piton
71' ⇄
Cauan Barros ⇄ Johan Rojas
74' ⇄
Andrés Gómez
80' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 82'
Denilson ⇄ Chico
Nuno Moreira Yellow Card
83' ▮
FT 1–1
Vasco DA Gama

Match Stats

Mirassol
58% Ball Possession 42%
1.83 Expected Goals (xG) 0.77
20 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 4
10 Blocked Shots 1
16 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 3
9 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
464 Total passes 349
372 Passes accurate 280
80% Passes % 80%
1.12 goals_prevented 1.12
Vasco DA Gama
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Andrés Gómez M 8.3 94' 1 – 4 28 (21%) 2
46 Carlos Cuesta D 7.2 94' – – 1 54 (49%) 1
30 Robert Renan D 7.2 94' – – – 47 (37%) 1
28 Adson M 7.0 60' – – – 34 (28%) 1
8 Jair M 7.0 24' – – – 26 (25%) 2
2 Puma Rodríguez D 6.9 94' – – – 52 (43%) 4
3 Tchê Tchê M 6.9 60' – – – 31 (27%) 1
6 Lucas Piton D 6.7 23' – – – 11 (9%) –
10 Johan Rojas F 6.6 20' – – 1 23 (22%) –
17 Nuno Moreira M 6.6 34' – – – 20 (12%) –
7 David F 6.6 34' – – – 10 (7%) –
77 Claudio Spinelli F 6.5 94' – – 3 11 (6%) 1
1 Léo Jardim G 6.3 94' – – – 21 (18%) –
88 Cauan Barros M 6.3 74' – – – 43 (35%) 2
66 Cuiabano D 6.2 71' – – – 26 (18%) 1
83 Ramon Rique M 6.2 70' – – 1 27 (15%) 1
Mirassol
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Walter G 8.2 94' – – – 32 (25%) –
34 João Victor D 8.0 94' – – – 43 (36%) 1
32 Igor Formiga D 7.9 94' 1 – 2 27 (23%) 3
5 Japa M 7.3 69' – – 3 19 (17%) 1
6 Reinaldo D 7.2 94' – 1 – 34 (24%) 1
95 Edson Carioca F 7.0 69' – – – 14 (10%) 1
44 Gabriel Knesowitsch D 6.9 94' – – – 37 (31%) 1
21 José Aldo M 6.7 36' – – – 33 (28%) –
33 Eduardo M 6.7 25' – – – 5 (5%) 1
8 Denilson M 6.6 82' – – – 45 (38%) 1
2 Lucas Oliveira D 6.6 58' – – 1 18 (13%) 1
17 Fernandinho F 6.6 25' – – – 7 (5%) 2
96 Carlos Eduardo F 6.6 49' – – – 8 (6%) –
10 Chico M 6.3 12' – – – 4 (3%) –
19 Gustavo Silva F 6.2 45' – – – 5 (4%) –
30 Bruno Santos F 6.0 94' – – 1 18 (12%) 1
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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Vasco DA Gama ou match nul
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Vasco DA Gama
WWWDL
Mirassol
WDWLD
Last 3 meetings Vasco DA Gama · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Vasco da Gama faces Mirassol in an important Serie A clash. Vasco has shown a strong home record this season, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Mirassol has been solid defensively, conceding only 1.2 goals per game. Both teams will aim to capitalize on their respective strengths; Vasco's attacking prowess against Mirassol's disciplined defense. The match promises to be competitive, with key players on both sides potentially influencing the outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
37%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
33%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol

0 Vasco DA Gama Wins
0 Draws
3 Mirassol Wins
Date Home Score Away
29 Jan 2026 Mirassol 2 - 1 Vasco DA Gama
02 Dec 2025 Vasco DA Gama 0 - 2 Mirassol
02 Aug 2025 Mirassol 3 - 2 Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Coritiba W 5 - 0
15 Sep H Santa Fe W 2 - 0
12 Sep A Gremio W 1 - 2
08 Sep A Santa Fe D 0 - 0
06 Sep A Fluminense L 1 - 0

Mirassol — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Botafogo W 2 - 0
13 Sep H Vitoria D 2 - 2
06 Sep A Coritiba W 1 - 2
02 Sep A Flamengo L 2 - 0
30 Aug H Palmeiras D 1 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
28 18 6 4 +32 60
2
Palmeiras
28 16 9 3 +26 57
3
Atletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 +11 49
4
Fluminense
28 13 9 6 +8 48
5
Bahia
28 12 10 6 +8 46
6
Cruzeiro
28 13 6 9 +2 45
7
Atletico-MG
27 11 7 9 +4 40
8
Santos
27 10 8 9 +1 38
9
Coritiba
28 10 8 10 -6 38
10
RB Bragantino
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Sao Paulo
27 10 6 11 +2 36
12
Botafogo
28 9 8 11 -4 35
13
Vitoria
28 9 6 13 -14 33
14
Corinthians
28 8 8 12 -3 32
15
Mirassol
28 8 8 12 -9 32
16
Vasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 -7 31
17
Gremio
28 7 8 13 -8 29
18
Internacional
28 6 10 12 -6 28
19
Remo
28 5 8 15 -15 23
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 -24 18

Vasco DA Gama

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Pedro Emanuel
1 Jardim
66 Cuiabano
30 Renan
46 Cuesta
2 Rodríguez
3 Tchê
88 Barros
11 Gómez
83 Rique
28 Adson
77 Spinelli

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Léo Jardim G
2 Puma Rodríguez D
46 Carlos Cuesta D
30 Robert Renan D
66 Cuiabano D
88 Cauan Barros M
3 Tchê Tchê M
28 Adson M
83 Ramon Rique M
11 Andrés Gómez M
77 Claudio Spinelli F

Substitutes

13 Daniel Fuzato G
96 Paulo Henrique D
43 Lucas Freitas D
6 Lucas Piton D
29 Paulinho D
17 Nuno Moreira M
60 João Vitor Silva F
18 Marino Hinestroza F
98 JP M
8 Jair M
10 Johan Rojas F
7 David F

Mirassol

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Rafael Guanaes
22 Walter
6 Reinaldo
44 Knesowitsch
34 Victor
32 Formiga
5 Japa
21 Aldo
8 Denilson
95 Carioca
30 Santos
19 Silva

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 Walter G
32 Igor Formiga D
34 João Victor D
44 Gabriel Knesowitsch D
6 Reinaldo D
8 Denilson M
21 José Aldo M
5 Japa M
19 Gustavo Silva F
30 Bruno Santos F
95 Edson Carioca F

Substitutes

2 Lucas Oliveira D
90 Thomazella G
3 Willian Machado D
12 Victor Luis D
18 Elias D
7 Shaylon M
33 Eduardo M
10 Chico M
27 Antonio Galeano F
17 Fernandinho F
9 André Luis F
96 Carlos Eduardo F

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