Fluminense vs RB Bragantino Prédiction

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Post on X

RB Bragantino

Away

Prédiction IA Fluminense ou match nul

44%

30%

26%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Fluminense vs RB Bragantino : Sportiko estime que Fluminense a 44% de chances de s'imposer, RB Bragantino 26% et le match nul 30%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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L'équipe à domicile marque 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Plus de 1,5 buts 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 27'

Eduardo Sasha assist: José Herrera

Julián Millán ⇄ Juan Pablo Freytes

33' ⇄

HT 0–1

Jemmes ⇄ Ignácio

46' ⇄

▮ 58'

Eduardo Sasha Yellow Card

Kevin Serna ⇄ Agustín Canobbio

58' ⇄

Jefferson Savarino ⇄ John Kennedy

58' ⇄

▮ 64'

Agustin Sant Anna Red Card

▮ 64'

Alix Vinicius Yellow Card

⇄ 67'

Eduardo Sasha ⇄ José Andrés Hurtado

⇄ 68'

José Herrera ⇄ Henry Mosquera

Hércules ⇄ Germán Cano

79' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Fernando

⇄ 85'

Eric Ramires ⇄ Matheus Fernandes

▮ 90'

Tiago Volpi Yellow Card

⇄ 90+2'

Rodriguinho ⇄ Fabinho

John Kennedy Red Card

90+4' ▮

▮ 90+4'

Fabinho Red Card

Ignácio Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

▮ 90+5'

Henry Mosquera Yellow Card

Juan Pablo Freytes Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

Ignácio assist: Agustín Canobbio

90+14' ⚽ 1–1

FT 1–1

Fluminense

Match Stats

RB Bragantino

67% Ball Possession 33%

1.56 Expected Goals (xG) 0.89

25 Total Shots 6

4 Shots on Goal 2

13 Shots off Goal 2

8 Blocked Shots 2

14 Shots insidebox 4

11 Shots outsidebox 2

11 Corner Kicks 4

3 Offsides 2

6 Fouls 9

2 Yellow Cards 4

1 Red Cards 2

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

578 Total passes 294

512 Passes accurate 223

89% Passes % 76%

-0.48 goals_prevented -0.48

Fluminense

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Martinelli M	7.9	104'	–	–	–	110 (104%)	–
6 Renê D	7.5	104'	–	–	1	77 (66%)	2
35 Hércules M	7.3	79'	–	–	3	57 (50%)	1
32 Luciano Acosta M	7.3	104'	–	–	1	60 (50%)	1
22 Juan Pablo Freytes D	7.2	71'	–	–	1	38 (30%)	–
4 Ignácio D	7.2	59'	1	–	1	21 (20%)	–
17 Agustín Canobbio F	6.9	48'	–	1	1	17 (15%)	–
7 Hulk F	6.7	104'	–	–	5	30 (27%)	–
44 Jemmes D	6.6	45'	–	–	–	35 (31%)	1
29 Julián Millán D	6.6	33'	–	–	–	25 (24%)	2
1 Fábio G	6.3	104'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
23 Guga D	6.3	104'	–	–	–	55 (50%)	–
11 Jefferson Savarino M	6.3	56'	–	–	1	16 (15%)	–
90 Kevin Serna M	6.3	56'	–	–	2	11 (6%)	1
14 Germán Cano F	6.3	25'	–	–	1	–	–
9 John Kennedy F	5.9	38'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	–

RB Bragantino

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 Gustavo Marques D	7.5	104'	–	–	–	29 (22%)	1
18 Tiago Volpi G	7.3	104'	–	–	–	42 (28%)	–
4 Alix Vinicius D	7.3	104'	–	–	–	24 (18%)	3
11 Fernando M	7.2	85'	–	–	2	21 (19%)	1
32 José Herrera M	7.0	68'	–	1	–	16 (13%)	1
8 Eduardo Sasha F	7.0	67'	1	–	1	12 (11%)	–
51 Cauê Nascimento Santos D	6.9	104'	–	–	–	31 (24%)	4
7 Eric Ramires M	6.7	85'	–	–	–	32 (28%)	1
30 Henry Mosquera F	6.7	36'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
34 José Andrés Hurtado D	6.5	37'	–	–	1	6 (3%)	1
23 Agustin Sant Anna D	6.2	64'	–	–	–	17 (9%)	2
21 Lucas Barbosa M	6.2	104'	–	–	–	29 (22%)	1
20 Rodriguinho M	6.2	92'	–	–	–	29 (22%)	2
14 Pedro Henrique D	6.2	19'	–	–	–	–	–
35 Matheus Fernandes M	6.2	19'	–	–	–	–	–
5 Fabinho M	5.5	2'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Fluminense ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Fluminense

WLLWW

RB Bragantino

LDLLW

Last 3 meetings Fluminense · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Fluminense will face RB Bragantino in a Serie A encounter on July 17, 2026. Fluminense has shown solid form at home, leveraging their offensive capabilities, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while maintaining a strong defensive record with only 0.9 goals conceded per game. RB Bragantino, known for their high pressing and quick transitions, averages 1.5 goals per match but has struggled defensively, conceding 1.3 goals per game. The matchup will likely hinge on Fluminense's ability to control possession and exploit Bragantino's defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

26%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

RB Bragantino goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	5	2
1	11	14	7	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Fluminense goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Fluminense

John Kennedy 9 gls

Hulk 7 gls

RB Bragantino

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

63% Home (No Draw) 37% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	7.2%	4.6%	1.6%	0.4%
1	10.6%	14.3%	6.5%	2.2%	0.6%
2	8.8%	9.0%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%
3	4.2%	4.3%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fluminense	Draw	RB Bragantino
Fluminense	27.0%	4.3%	1.4%
Draw	16.6%	19.3%	10.5%
RB Bragantino	2.1%	4.3%	14.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fluminense vs RB Bragantino

2 Fluminense Wins

0 Draws

1 RB Bragantino Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Aug 2025	RB Bragantino	4 - 2	Fluminense
06 Apr 2025	Fluminense	2 - 1	RB Bragantino
28 Jul 2024	RB Bragantino	0 - 1	Fluminense

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Fluminense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Corinthians	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	A Platense	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Atletico-MG	L	3 - 1
08 Sep	H Platense	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Vasco DA Gama	W	1 - 0

RB Bragantino — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Flamengo	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Botafogo	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Bahia	L	2 - 3
29 Aug	A Sao Paulo	L	2 - 1
23 Aug	H Gremio	W	1 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Fluminense

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Francisco Zubeldia Luis

1 Fábio

6 Renê

29 Millán

44 Jemmes

23 Guga

8 Martinelli

35 Hércules

90 Serna

32 Acosta

11 Savarino

7 Hulk

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Fábio	G
23	Guga	D
44	Jemmes	D
29	Julián Millán	D
6	Renê	D
35	Hércules	M
8	Martinelli	M
11	Jefferson Savarino	M
32	Luciano Acosta	M
90	Kevin Serna	M
7	Hulk	F

Substitutes

22	Juan Pablo Freytes	D
4	Ignácio	D
17	Agustín Canobbio	F
9	John Kennedy	F
27	Marcelo Pitaluga	G
13	Guilherme Arana	D
46	Júlio Fidelis	D
30	Yeferson Soteldo	F
16	Nonato	M
94	Otávio	M
14	Germán Cano	F
19	Rodrigo Castillo	F

RB Bragantino

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Mancini Vagner

18 Volpi

51 Santos

16 Marques

4 Vinicius

23 Anna

7 Ramires

11 Fernando

20 Rodriguinho

21 Barbosa

32 Herrera

8 Sasha

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
18	Tiago Volpi	G
23	Agustin Sant Anna	D
4	Alix Vinicius	D
16	Gustavo Marques	D
51	Cauê Nascimento Santos	D
7	Eric Ramires	M
32	José Herrera	M
21	Lucas Barbosa	M
20	Rodriguinho	M
11	Fernando	M
8	Eduardo Sasha	F

Substitutes

34	José Andrés Hurtado	D
30	Henry Mosquera	F
1	Cleiton	G
2	Guzmán Rodríguez	D
3	Eduardo Santos	D
14	Pedro Henrique	D
22	Gustavo Neves	M
35	Matheus Fernandes	M
15	Ignacio Sosa	M
5	Fabinho	M
57	Marcelinho Braz	M
17	Vinicinho	F