Aalesund vs Tromso Prédiction
FT
Prédiction IA
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Tromso
19%
25%
56%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic Aalesund vs Tromso : Sportiko estime que Aalesund a 19% de chances de s'imposer, Tromso 56% et le match nul 25%. Dernière mise à jour : 2 Aug 2026, 16:58.
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Timeline
▮
7'
Mathias Tonnessen
Yellow Card
⚽
0–1
9'
David Edvardsson
assist: Troy Nyhammer
Isak Vadebu
Own Goal
42'
⚽
1–1
Henrik Melland
Goal Disallowed - video review
44'
🖵
HT 1–1
Simen Haram
46'
⇄
⚽
1–2
48'
Alexander Warneryd
⚽
1–3
55'
Alexander Warneryd
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
59'
⚽
2–3
⇄ Elias Heggland Myrlid
60'
⇄
Marius Andresen
⇄ Kristoffer Nessø
60'
⇄
⚽
2–4
69'
Alexander Warneryd
⇄
72'
Troy Nyhammer
Ólafur Guðmundsson
77'
⇄
Kristian Lonebu
⇄ Ivan Djantou
77'
⇄
⚽
2–5
81'
Heine Asen Larsen
assist: David Edvardsson
⇄
90'
Lars Olden Larsen
⇄ Jesper Andreas Grundt
⚽
2–6
90+2'
Own Goal
⇄
90+3'
Alexander Warneryd
⇄ Sander Innvær
⇄
90+4'
Heine Asen Larsen
⇄ Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu
FT 2–6
Aalesund
Match Stats
Tromso
54%
Ball Possession
46%
2.58
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
22
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
6
10
Shots off Goal
4
9
Blocked Shots
2
15
Shots insidebox
9
7
Shots outsidebox
3
9
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
14
0
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
488
Total passes
450
415
Passes accurate
363
85%
Passes %
81%
-0.98
goals_prevented
-0.98
Aalesund
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Endre Hjertager Osenbroch F | 8.9 | 92' | 1 | – | 1 | 44 (35%) | – |
| 6 Hakon Butli Hammer M | 7.3 | 60' | – | 1 | – | 23 (21%) | 2 |
| 18 Elias Kristoffersen Hagen M | 7.2 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 50 (47%) | 1 |
| 8 Henrik Melland M | 7.0 | 92' | – | – | 4 | 25 (22%) | 1 |
| 14 Uba Charles D | 6.9 | 92' | – | – | – | 35 (32%) | 1 |
| 39 Kristian Lonebu F | 6.9 | 77' | – | – | 2 | 19 (13%) | – |
| 20 Ivan Djantou F | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 7 Kristoffer Nessø M | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 13 (13%) | – |
| 17 Elias Heggland Myrlid F | 6.2 | 32' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 10 Mathias Kristensen M | 6.2 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 2 Marius Andresen D | 6.0 | 60' | – | – | – | 16 (12%) | 2 |
| 4 Simen Haram D | 5.9 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 29 (20%) | – |
| 3 Ólafur Guðmundsson D | 5.9 | 77' | – | – | – | 65 (58%) | 1 |
| 22 Emil Engqvist D | 5.9 | 92' | – | – | – | 72 (60%) | 1 |
| 25 Ulrik Syversen D | 5.7 | 47' | – | – | 1 | 40 (37%) | 3 |
| 1 Luca Podlech G | 5.2 | 92' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | – |
Tromso
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Alexander Warneryd D | 9.0 | 92' | 3 | – | 3 | 27 (16%) | – |
| 5 David Edvardsson M | 8.9 | 92' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 40 (33%) | 4 |
| 22 Heine Asen Larsen F | 7.9 | 92' | 1 | – | 3 | 21 (13%) | 1 |
| 1 Jakob Haugaard G | 7.5 | 92' | – | – | – | 64 (46%) | – |
| 3 Mathias Tonnessen D | 6.7 | 92' | – | – | – | 55 (50%) | 1 |
| 4 Vetle Skjaervik D | 6.6 | 92' | – | – | – | 66 (63%) | – |
| 20 Ieltsin Camões F | 6.6 | 20' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 11 Ruben Jenssen M | 6.3 | 92' | – | – | – | 48 (42%) | – |
| 7 Lars Olden Larsen M | 6.3 | 89' | – | 1 | 1 | 28 (24%) | 2 |
| 30 Isak Vadebu D | 6.2 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 44 (32%) | 3 |
| 10 Troy Nyhammer F | 6.2 | 72' | – | 1 | 1 | 19 (17%) | – |
| 17 Isak Dahlqvist D | 6.2 | 92' | – | 1 | – | 24 (14%) | 3 |
| 8 Jesper Andreas Grundt M | — | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Confidence
Medium (56%)
At a glance
Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Tromso
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Aalesund
LWLWL
Tromso
DLWLD
Last 3 meetings
Aalesund · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
Aalesund currently sits in the mid-table of the Eliteserien, having displayed a solid home record this season with a high goal-scoring rate, averaging 1.8 goals per game at home. Tromsø, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, showing inconsistencies in both defense and attack, with only 1.0 goals per game away from home. Aalesund's offensive strength could exploit Tromsø's defensive vulnerabilities, leading to a potentially favorable outcome for the hosts. However, Tromsø must capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities to challenge Aalesund's backline effectively. Overall, Aalesund will look to maintain pressure and control the match.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
19%
10%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
56%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Aalesund
M. Christensen
11 gls
Tromso
H. Larsen
10 gls
J. Hjertø-Dahl
7 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Aalesund vs Tromso
1
Aalesund Wins
1
Draws
1
Tromso Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May 2026 | Tromso | 1 - 1 | Aalesund |
| 08 Oct 2023 | Tromso | 1 - 2 | Aalesund |
| 11 Jun 2023 | Aalesund | 2 - 3 | Tromso |
Aalesund — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | H Sandefjord | L | 3 - 4 |
| 28 Oct | A Kristiansund BK | W | 0 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Sarpsborg 08 FF | L | 2 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Kristiansund BK | W | 1 - 4 |
| 11 Oct | H Sarpsborg 08 FF | L | 2 - 4 |
Tromso — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Bodo/Glimt | D | 0 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | A Valerenga | L | 4 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | H Haugesund | W | 3 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Viking | L | 3 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H KFUM Oslo | D | 1 - 1 |
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viking
|
25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 64 | 26 | +38 | 59 |
| 2 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 61 | 23 | +38 | 59 |
| 3 |
Rosenborg
|
26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 53 | 32 | +21 | 46 |
| 4 |
Molde
|
25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 39 | +20 | 43 |
| 5 |
Lillestrom
|
25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 33 | +3 | 42 |
| 6 |
Tromso
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 38 | +5 | 40 |
| 7 |
Brann
|
25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 42 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 |
Valerenga
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 |
KFUM Oslo
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 |
Fredrikstad
|
25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 29 |
| 12 |
Sandefjord
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 |
Ham-Kam
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 27 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 |
Kristiansund BK
|
25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 |
Start
|
26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 59 | -32 | 19 |
Tromso
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Jorgen Vik
1
Haugaard
29
Warneryd
30
Vadebu
3
Tonnessen
4
Skjaervik
17
Dahlqvist
22
Larsen
11
Jenssen
5
Edvardsson
7
Larsen
10
Nyhammer
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jakob Haugaard | G |
| 17 | Isak Dahlqvist | D |
| 4 | Vetle Skjaervik | D |
| 3 | Mathias Tonnessen | D |
| 30 | Isak Vadebu | D |
| 29 | Alexander Warneryd | D |
| 5 | David Edvardsson | M |
| 11 | Ruben Jenssen | M |
| 22 | Heine Asen Larsen | M |
| 10 | Troy Nyhammer | F |
| 7 | Lars Olden Larsen | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | Ole Lauvli | G |
| 27 | Mads Mikkelsen | M |
| 25 | Casper Öyvann | D |
| 37 | Sander Innvær | M |
| 16 | Benjamin Myrvold | D |
| 8 | Jesper Andreas Grundt | M |
| 9 | Daniel Braut | F |
| 19 | Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu | M |
| 20 | Ieltsin Camões | F |
Aalesund
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Kjetil-Andre Rekdal
1
Podlech
14
Charles
3
Guðmundsson
22
Engqvist
4
Haram
2
Andresen
8
Melland
18
Hagen
6
Hammer
15
Osenbroch
39
Lonebu
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luca Podlech | G |
| 2 | Marius Andresen | D |
| 4 | Simen Haram | D |
| 22 | Emil Engqvist | D |
| 3 | Ólafur Guðmundsson | D |
| 14 | Uba Charles | D |
| 6 | Hakon Butli Hammer | M |
| 18 | Elias Kristoffersen Hagen | M |
| 8 | Henrik Melland | M |
| 39 | Kristian Lonebu | F |
| 15 | Endre Hjertager Osenbroch | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | Tor Erik Larsen | G |
| 45 | Philip Sandvik Aukland | D |
| 7 | Kristoffer Nessø | M |
| 16 | Jakob Nyland Örsahl | D |
| 25 | Ulrik Syversen | D |
| 10 | Mathias Kristensen | M |
| 11 | Davíð Snær Jóhannsson | M |
| 17 | Elias Heggland Myrlid | F |
| 20 | Ivan Djantou | F |