Orgryte IS vs Sirius Prédiction

Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 22

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Orgryte IS

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1 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Sirius

Away

Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Sirius

15%

22%

63%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Orgryte IS vs Sirius : Sportiko estime que Orgryte IS a 15% de chances de s'imposer, Sirius 63% et le match nul 22%. Dernière mise à jour : 19 Sep 2026, 17:23.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 7'

Henrik Castegren assist: Isak Bjerkebo

HT 0–1

⚽ 0–2 62'

Victor Svensson assist: Zalán Vancsa

▮ 65'

Marcus Lindberg Yellow Card

Anton Andreasson ⇄ Michael Parker

67' ⇄

Adam Andersson

68' ⇄

⇄ 72'

Zalán Vancsa ⇄ Neo Jönsson

⇄ 72'

Victor Svensson ⇄ Charlie Nilden

Mikael Dyrestam ⇄ Liam Filip Andersson

80' ⇄

Owen Parker Price ⇄ Marlon Ebietomere

80' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Isak Bjerkebo ⇄ Simon Sandberg

▮ 85'

Charlie Nilden Yellow Card

Sebastian Lagerlund

90+5' ⚽ 1–2

FT 1–2

Orgryte IS

Match Stats

Sirius

55% Ball Possession 45%

10 Total Shots 5

0 Shots on Goal 3

6 Shots off Goal 1

4 Blocked Shots 1

6 Shots insidebox 3

4 Shots outsidebox 2

5 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 1

13 Fouls 11

0 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 0

538 Total passes 441

450 Passes accurate 363

11 Free Kicks 13

Orgryte IS

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
33 Sebastian Lagerlund D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	58 (52%)	2
23 Owen Parker Price M	6.6	80'	–	–	–	71 (66%)	2
6 Mikael Dyrestam D	6.6	80'	–	–	2	58 (51%)	–
25 Johan Hammar D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	70 (59%)	–
9 Liam Filip Andersson F	6.3	10'	–	–	–	1	1
19 Anton Andreasson D	6.2	67'	–	–	2	18 (16%)	–
18 Adam Andersson D	6.2	68'	–	–	1	40 (31%)	–
22 Tobias Sana M	6.1	90'	–	–	–	74 (62%)	–
8 Benjamin Laturnus M	6.1	90'	–	–	1	61 (51%)	4
2 Michael Parker D	6.0	23'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	–
29 Marlon Ebietomere D	5.9	10'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
17 William Hofvander F	5.8	90'	–	–	2	14 (8%)	–
44 Hampus Gustafsson G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	16 (15%)	–
14 Daniel Paulson M	5.7	90'	–	–	–	30 (18%)	3

Sirius

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
24 Victor Svensson M	8.2	72'	1	–	1	20 (16%)	3
5 Henrik Castegren D	8.1	90'	1	–	1	48 (44%)	3
30 Zalán Vancsa F	7.7	72'	–	1	–	21 (17%)	1
11 Isak Bjerkebo F	7.6	83'	–	1	1	19 (15%)	–
2 Mohamed Soumah D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	48 (43%)	2
4 Tobias Anker D	7.4	90'	–	–	–	42 (37%)	1
22 Oscar Krusnell D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	57 (43%)	7
15 Simon Sandberg D	7.0	7'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
10 Melker Heier M	7.0	90'	–	–	2	56 (49%)	1
21 Charlie Nilden M	6.6	18'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	1
6 Marcus Lindberg M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	62 (52%)	4
17 Neo Jönsson F	6.5	18'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	1
9 Jesper Uneken F	6.4	90'	–	–	–	17 (13%)	–
34 David Celic G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	37 (24%)	–

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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Sirius

Most likely score

1:1 · 10.2%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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Orgryte IS

LLDLW

Sirius

WWWLW

Last 1 meetings Orgryte IS · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Sirius win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Sirius leads 0-2. Win probability: 99.1%. Comeback chance: 0.9%.

64' Goal 85% sure

Sirius now leads 0-2 with 98.1% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 59.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Sirius leads. Win probability: 85%. Over 0.5 more goals: 78.7%.

8' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Sirius win: 85.1%. BTTS: 59.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

15%

10%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

63%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sirius goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	8	10	8	4	2
1	3	10	10	8	4	2
2	2	5	5	4	2	1
3	1	2	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Orgryte IS goals · most likely 1–1 (10.2%)

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Players in form

Orgryte IS

N. Christoffersson 8 gls

Sirius

R. Ure 15 gls

I. Bjerkebo 13 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

22%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

22%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

81% Away (No Draw) 19% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

22%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	7.9%	10.1%	7.5%	4.2%
1	2.9%	10.2%	10.1%	7.5%	4.2%
2	2.0%	4.5%	5.1%	3.8%	2.1%
3	0.7%	1.5%	1.7%	1.3%	0.7%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Orgryte IS	Draw	Sirius
Orgryte IS	8.0%	3.5%	2.9%
Draw	5.8%	12.6%	18.8%
Sirius	1.2%	3.7%	43.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

Away Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Orgryte IS vs Sirius

0 Orgryte IS Wins

0 Draws

1 Sirius Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 May 2026	Sirius	2 - 0	Orgryte IS

Orgryte IS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Sirius	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Malmo FF	L	4 - 1
06 Sep	H Hammarby FF	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A IFK Goteborg	L	1 - 0
25 Aug	A Eskilsminne	W	1 - 3

Sirius — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Orgryte IS	W	1 - 2
14 Sep	H Degerfors IF	W	2 - 0
05 Sep	A Vasteras SK FK	W	0 - 1
31 Aug	H Malmo FF	L	0 - 1
26 Aug	A Friska Viljor	W	0 - 2

Allsvenskan Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sirius	22	16	3	3	52	28	+24	51
2	Hammarby FF	22	13	4	5	49	20	+29	43
3	Djurgardens IF	22	13	2	7	47	21	+26	41
4	IF Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	31	22	+9	37
5	BK Hacken	22	9	9	4	39	30	+9	36
6	Vasteras SK FK	22	10	5	7	34	35	-1	35
7	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37	33	+4	33
8	AIK Stockholm	22	9	6	7	31	34	-3	33
9	IFK Goteborg	22	9	5	8	31	41	-10	32
10	Gais	22	8	6	8	28	20	+8	30
11	IF Brommapojkarna	22	7	6	9	30	36	-6	27
12	Mjallby AIF	22	5	7	10	27	38	-11	22
13	Kalmar FF	22	5	4	13	21	36	-15	19
14	Degerfors IF	22	5	4	13	19	34	-15	19
15	Orgryte IS	22	3	6	13	25	49	-24	15
16	Halmstad	22	3	5	14	16	40	-24	14

Sirius

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

34 Celic

22 Krusnell

4 Anker

2 Soumah

5 Castegren

6 Lindberg

10 Heier

24 Svensson

11 Bjerkebo

9 Uneken

30 Vancsa

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
34	D. Celic	G
5	H. Castegren	D
2	Mohamed Soumah	D
4	T. Anker	D
22	O. Krusnell	D
24	V. Svensson	M
10	M. Heier	M
6	M. Lindberg	M
30	Z. Vancsa	F
9	J. Uneken	F
11	I. Bjerkebo	F

Substitutes

29	Ake Andersson	F
1	I. Diawara	G
17	N. Jönsson	F
21	C. Nildén	M
7	J. Persson	F
15	S. Sandberg	D
18	A. Wikman	M
25	O. Adindu	F
20	V. Ekström	D

Orgryte IS

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: A. Holmberg

44 Gustafsson

19 Andreasson

6 Dyrestam

25 Hammar

33 Lagerlund

18 Andersson

22 Sana

8 Laturnus

23 Parker-Price

14 Paulson

17 Hofvander

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
44	H. Gustafsson	G
18	A. Andersson	D
33	S. Lagerlund	D
25	J. Hammar	D
6	M. Dyrestam	D
19	A. Andreasson	D
14	D. Paulson	M
23	O. Parker-Price	M
8	B. Laturnus	M
22	T. Sana	M
17	W. Hofvander	F

Substitutes

3	J. Azulay	D
29	Marlon Ebietomere	D
21	W. Kenndal	M
2	M. Parker	D
34	A. Rahm	G
5	C. Styffe	D
7	C. Vindehall	M
11	David Obou	F
9	L. Andersson	F