Union St. Gilloise vs Dender Prédiction

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 29

Post on X

Dender

Away

Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels

Prédiction IA Union St. Gilloise pour gagner ou match nul

77%

18%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Union St. Gilloise vs Dender : Sportiko estime que Union St. Gilloise a 77% de chances de s'imposer, Dender 5% et le match nul 18%. Dernière mise à jour : 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Union St. Gilloise pour gagner ou match nul

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Union St. Gilloise

WWWWW

Dender

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Union St. Gilloise · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Union St. Gilloise currently sits in a strong position in the Jupiler Pro League, showcasing a solid home record with a high goal-scoring average. They have been particularly effective in creating goal-scoring opportunities, ranking in the top three for shots on target per match. Conversely, Dender has struggled on the road, often conceding multiple goals, which may play into Union's hands. With their offensive prowess and Dender's defensive vulnerabilities, this match could see a decisive victory for the home side. Expect Union to dominate possession and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Dender.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

77%

45%

Draw

18%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dender goals →

	0	1	2
0	11	3
1	21	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	13	4	1
4	6	2
5	3	1

↑ Union St. Gilloise goals · most likely 1–0 (20.9%)

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Players in form

Union St. Gilloise

K. Rodríguez 10 gls

P. David 9 gls

Dender

B. Nsimba 9 gls

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Head to Head: Union St. Gilloise vs Dender

2 Union St. Gilloise Wins

1 Draws

0 Dender Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Sep 2025	Dender	0 - 1	Union St. Gilloise
01 Mar 2025	Union St. Gilloise	4 - 1	Dender
27 Jul 2024	Dender	0 - 0	Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Antwerp	W	0 - 2
17 Sep	A Plzen	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lommel United	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A Charleroi	W	2 - 3
02 Sep	A St. Truiden	W	0 - 3

Dender — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Patro Eisden	W	1 - 0
11 Sep	A KAA Gent II	W	0 - 1
04 Sep	H Seraing United	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A Liège	W	1 - 2
22 Aug	H Beerschot VA	W	1 - 0

Jupiler Pro League Standings

Pro League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	30	19	9	2	50	17	+33	66
2	Club Brugge KV	30	20	3	7	59	36	+23	63
3	St. Truiden	30	18	3	9	47	35	+12	57
4	Gent	30	13	6	11	49	43	+6	45
5	KV Mechelen	30	12	9	9	39	37	+2	45
6	Anderlecht	30	12	8	10	43	39	+4	44
13	Zulte Waregem	30	8	8	14	38	47	-9	32
14	Cercle Brugge	30	7	10	13	39	47	-8	31
15	RAAL La Louvière	30	6	13	11	30	37	-7	31
16	Dender	30	3	10	17	24	51	-27	19

Pro League , Qualifying Round

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Genk	40	15	14	11	57	53	+4	38
2	Standard Liege	40	16	9	15	44	46	-2	37
3	Charleroi	40	14	9	17	50	50	0	34
4	KVC Westerlo	40	14	10	16	50	57	-7	33
5	Antwerp	40	13	9	18	43	48	-5	31
6	OH Leuven	40	10	10	20	41	60	-19	23

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.