Arouca vs Benfica Prédiction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26
FT
Post on X
Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Prédiction IA Benfica pour gagner ou match nul
14%
21%
65%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Arouca vs Benfica : Sportiko estime que Arouca a 14% de chances de s'imposer, Benfica 65% et le match nul 21%. Dernière mise à jour : 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Benfica pour gagner ou match nul
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Arouca
DLDWL
Benfica
LWWWW
Last 3 meetings Arouca · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In this Primeira Liga clash, Arouca will host Benfica on March 14, 2026. Benfica currently sits among the league's top contenders, boasting a strong attacking lineup that has averaged over 2 goals per match this season. Arouca, while competitive at home, has struggled against top-tier teams, often conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Historical data shows Benfica's dominance in previous encounters, winning over 70% of their matches against Arouca. This match will likely hinge on Arouca's ability to contain Benfica's attacking threat while capitalizing on set pieces to secure any points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
14%
10%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
65%
45%

Most likely scores

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Players in form

Arouca
A. Trezza 9 gls
Barbero 8 gls
Lee Hyun-Ju 7 gls
Benfica
V. Pavlidis 23 gls

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Head to Head: Arouca vs Benfica

0 Arouca Wins
1 Draws
2 Benfica Wins
Date Home Score Away
25 Oct 2025 Benfica 5 - 0 Arouca
13 Apr 2025 Benfica 2 - 2 Arouca
01 Dec 2024 Arouca 0 - 2 Benfica
Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Arouca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Sporting CP D 2 - 2
13 Sep H Santa Clara L 1 - 2
07 Sep A Estoril D 0 - 0
29 Aug H Maritimo W 2 - 1
23 Aug A FC Porto L 2 - 0

Benfica — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A FC Porto L 3 - 1
16 Sep A AC Milan W 0 - 2
13 Sep H GIL Vicente W 3 - 1
09 Sep A Moreirense W 0 - 4
05 Sep A Maritimo W 0 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
34 28 4 2 +48 88
2
Sporting CP
34 25 7 2 +65 82
3
Benfica
34 23 11 0 +49 80
4
SC Braga
34 16 11 7 +28 59
5
Famalicao
34 15 11 8 +13 56
6
GIL Vicente
34 13 11 10 +9 50
7
Moreirense
34 12 7 15 -12 43
8
Arouca
34 12 6 16 -17 42
9
Vitória SC
34 12 6 16 -12 42
10
Estoril
34 10 9 15 -3 39
11
Alverca
34 10 9 15 -17 39
12
Rio Ave
34 8 12 14 -22 36
13
Santa Clara
34 9 9 16 -9 36
14
Nacional
34 9 7 18 -8 34
15
Estrela
34 6 12 16 -18 30
16
Casa Pia
34 6 12 16 -26 30
17
Tondela
34 6 10 18 -28 28
18
AVS
34 3 12 19 -40 21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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