Rennes vs Paris FC Prédiction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33

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Paris FC

Away

Roazhon Park, Rennes

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Rennes

62%

22%

16%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Rennes vs Paris FC : Sportiko estime que Rennes a 62% de chances de s'imposer, Paris FC 16% et le match nul 22%. Dernière mise à jour : 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Rennes secured a 2–1 victory over Paris FC in a Ligue 1 encounter that came to life in a dramatic five-minute spell midway through the second half. The first half was goalless and largely uneventful, but Willem Geubbels broke the deadlock eight minutes after the restart to give the hosts the lead.

The match then produced a frantic sequence around the 74th and 75th minutes, as Esteban Lepaul equalised for Paris FC before Diego Coppola's own goal immediately restored Rennes' advantage and ultimately proved decisive. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Rennes win as the most likely outcome at 62%, a call that proved correct. Geubbels was withdrawn shortly after scoring, with both sides making multiple substitutions during the busy closing stages, while yellow cards for Maxime López and Ciro Immobile added further edge to the contest.

Rennes were the more dominant side throughout, finishing with 14 total shots to Paris FC's 11, eight corner kicks to two, and an expected goals figure of 1.77 against 1.20, reflecting their overall control of a match settled by one of the evening's more chaotic moments.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

Ilan Kebbal ⇄ Maxime López

⚽ 0–1 53'

Willem Geubbels

Ludovic Blas ⇄ Breel Embolo

66' ⇄

Sebastian Szymański

67' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Willem Geubbels ⇄ Ciro Immobile

Esteban Lepaul assist: Quentin Merlin

74' ⚽ 1–1

Diego Coppola Own Goal

75' ⚽ 2–1

Mahamadou Nagida ⇄ Alidu Seidu

76' ⇄

⇄ 76'

Hamari Traoré ⇄ Adama Camara

⇄ 77'

Alimami Gory ⇄ Jonathan Ikoné

⇄ 83'

Pierre Lees Melou ⇄ Vincent Marchetti

▮ 87'

Maxime López Yellow Card

Esteban Lepaul ⇄ Djaoui Cissé

87' ⇄

▮ 89'

Ciro Immobile Yellow Card

FT 2–1

Rennes

Match Stats

Paris FC

51% Ball Possession 49%

1.77 Expected Goals (xG) 1.20

14 Total Shots 11

5 Shots on Goal 1

8 Shots off Goal 5

1 Blocked Shots 5

9 Shots insidebox 6

5 Shots outsidebox 5

8 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 1

13 Fouls 11

0 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

423 Total passes 420

331 Passes accurate 336

78% Passes % 80%

-0.16 goals_prevented -0.16

Rennes

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Breel Embolo F	7.7	23'	1	–	1	5 (3%)	–
10 Ludovic Blas F	7.7	66'	–	–	1	27 (20%)	1
9 Esteban Lepaul F	7.6	87'	1	–	3	21 (16%)	1
48 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal D	7.3	90'	–	–	2	39 (31%)	1
17 Sebastian Szymański M	7.3	67'	–	–	1	28 (20%)	2
26 Quentin Merlin D	7.2	90'	–	1	1	47 (33%)	3
18 Mahamadou Nagida D	7.2	76'	–	–	–	44 (34%)	1
36 Alidu Seidu D	6.9	14'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
45 Mahdi Camara M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	29 (21%)	2
70 Arnaud Nordin F	6.9	24'	–	1	1	7 (5%)	–
11 Mousa Tamari F	6.6	90'	–	–	2	26 (20%)	–
21 Valentin Rongier M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	55 (46%)	1
30 Brice Samba G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	33 (27%)	–
6 Djaoui Cissé M	6.3	10'	–	–	–	1	–
24 Anthony Rouault D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	53 (48%)	–

Paris FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
35 Kevin Trapp G	7.6	90'	–	–	–	41 (21%)	–
17 Adama Camara M	7.6	14'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	1
9 Willem Geubbels F	7.2	71'	1	–	2	11 (4%)	–
14 Hamari Traoré D	6.9	76'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	1
42 Diego Coppola D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	60 (54%)	–
19 Nhoa Sangui D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	27 (24%)	2
33 Pierre Lees Melou M	6.6	83'	–	–	1	35 (26%)	2
93 Jonathan Ikoné F	6.6	13'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
10 Ilan Kebbal M	6.6	45'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	–
4 Vincent Marchetti M	6.6	14'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
5 Moustapha Mbow D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	51 (48%)	–
24 Luca Koleosho M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	27 (23%)	3
7 Alimami Gory M	6.3	77'	–	–	–	15 (10%)	2
23 Rudy Matondo M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	26 (23%)	1
21 Maxime López M	6.2	45'	–	–	1	31 (21%)	–
36 Ciro Immobile F	5.7	19'	–	–	1	6 (3%)	–

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Rennes

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Rennes

LDWWW

Paris FC

WDWWD

Last 1 meetings Rennes · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Rennes will host Paris FC on May 9, 2026. Rennes has shown a strong home performance this season, leveraging their attacking prowess with an average of 2.1 goals per game at Roazhon Park. Conversely, Paris FC struggles on the road, with only 1.0 goal scored per away match, highlighting their difficulties in breaking down solid defenses. Rennes will aim to exploit this weakness while capitalizing on their home advantage. A key factor will be Rennes' ability to control the midfield, where they have consistently outperformed opponents in possession stats. Expect Rennes to push for a decisive victory to secure crucial points in their quest for European qualification.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paris FC goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	6	2	1
1	13	10	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	8	6	3	1
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Rennes goals · most likely 1–0 (12.6%)

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Players in form

Rennes

E. Lepaul 3 gls

Paris FC

L. Sinayoko 4 gls

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Head to Head: Rennes vs Paris FC

1 Rennes Wins

0 Draws

0 Paris FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Nov 2025	Paris FC	0 - 1	Rennes

Rennes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Lyon	L	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Sturm Graz	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	H Marseille	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Angers	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Le Mans	W	3 - 2

Paris FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Strasbourg	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Lyon	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	A Marseille	W	2 - 3
30 Aug	H Nice	W	3 - 0
22 Aug	A Estac Troyes	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2