Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29 Prédiction

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32
FT
Post on X
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Paris FC
51%
26%
23%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29 : Sportiko estime que Paris FC a 51% de chances de s'imposer, Stade Brestois 29 23% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Paris FC claimed a commanding 4–0 victory over Stade Brestois 29 in Ligue 1, with the hosts establishing control early despite the statistics telling a different story. Rudy Matondo opened the scoring in the 13th minute before Willem Geubbels doubled the advantage seven minutes later, giving Paris FC a 2–0 lead at the break. A flurry of yellow cards — for Traoré, Chardonnet, and Mbow — added an edgy undertone to the first half.

The second half saw Paris FC extend their lead through Matondo again in the 67th minute, the winger completing a fine individual display before being withdrawn a decade later. Luca Koleosho added a fourth in the 89th minute to put a gloss on the scoreline. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Paris FC win as the most likely outcome at 51%, and the result duly delivered on that call.

The xG figures — 0.79 for Paris FC against 1.86 for Brestois — underline how efficiently the hosts converted their limited chances, with just one shot on goal compared to eight for the visitors. Paris FC took their opportunities ruthlessly when it mattered most.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Rudy Matondo
13' ⚽ 1–0
Willem Geubbels assist: Jonathan Ikoné
20' ⚽ 2–0
Hamari Traoré Yellow Card
24' ▮
▮ 26'
Brendan Chardonnet Yellow Card
Moustapha Mbow Yellow Card
35' ▮
HT 2–0
⇄ 60'
Lucas Tousart ⇄ Hamidou Makalou
⇄ 60'
Remy Labeau Lascary ⇄ Junior Dina Ebimbe
Ilan Kebbal ⇄ Maxime López
65' ⇄
Willem Geubbels ⇄ Luca Koleosho
65' ⇄
Rudy Matondo
67' ⚽ 3–0
⇄ 70'
Hugo Magnetti ⇄ Kamory Doumbia
⇄ 71'
Romain Del Castillo ⇄ Mama Baldé
Jonathan Ikoné ⇄ Ciro Immobile
77' ⇄
Rudy Matondo ⇄ Vincent Marchetti
77' ⇄
⇄ 83'
Joris Chotard ⇄ Pathé Mboup
Hamari Traoré
85' ⇄
Luca Koleosho assist: Vincent Marchetti
89' ⚽ 4–0
FT 4–0
Paris FC

Match Stats

Stade Brestois 29
51% Ball Possession 49%
1.86 Expected Goals (xG) 0.79
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 5
7 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
434 Total passes 411
366 Passes accurate 345
84% Passes % 84%
-1.20 goals_prevented -1.20
Paris FC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Rudy Matondo M 8.9 77' 2 – 3 30 (29%) 3
24 Luca Koleosho F 7.9 25' 1 – 2 5 (5%) 1
42 Diego Coppola D 7.5 90' – – 1 39 (36%) –
93 Jonathan Ikoné M 7.5 77' – 1 – 46 (41%) 2
9 Willem Geubbels F 7.3 65' 1 – 1 14 (8%) 1
14 Hamari Traoré D 7.3 85' – – – 50 (45%) 3
10 Ilan Kebbal M 7.2 65' – – 1 44 (36%) –
5 Moustapha Mbow D 7.0 90' – – 1 47 (42%) 1
27 Moses Simon M 6.9 90' – – 3 24 (20%) 2
35 Kevin Trapp G 6.7 90' – – – 29 (16%) –
36 Ciro Immobile F 6.7 13' – – – 4 (3%) –
19 Nhoa Sangui D 6.6 90' – – – 38 (35%) 2
21 Maxime López M 6.6 25' – – – 19 (18%) –
4 Vincent Marchetti M 6.6 13' – 1 – 8 (7%) –
2 Tuomas Ollila D 6.6 8' – – 1 1 (1%) –
18 Marshall Munetsi M 6.5 90' – – – 36 (24%) 3
Stade Brestois 29
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Hugo Magnetti M 6.9 70' – – – 30 (28%) 2
10 Romain Del Castillo M 6.9 71' – – – 27 (24%) –
99 Pathé Mboup F 6.9 10' – – – 4 (4%) 2
33 Hamidou Makalou M 6.9 30' – – – 21 (20%) 1
13 Joris Chotard M 6.7 83' – – 1 41 (36%) 2
24 Lucas Tousart M 6.7 60' – – 1 15 (12%) 2
23 Kamory Doumbia M 6.6 20' – – – 16 (15%) 1
17 Mama Baldé F 6.6 19' – – – 10 (7%) 1
7 Junior Dina Ebimbe M 6.5 30' – – 1 14 (13%) 1
14 Remy Labeau Lascary M 6.5 60' – – 1 7 (6%) 1
19 Ludovic Ajorque F 6.5 90' – – – 22 (17%) –
30 Grégoire Coudert G 6.0 90' – – – 37 (25%) –
5 Brendan Chardonnet D 5.9 90' – – – 47 (45%) –
12 Luc Zogbé D 5.6 90' – – 1 35 (26%) –
77 Kenny Lala D 5.5 90' – – – 43 (33%) –
71 Raphaël Le Guen D 5.2 90' – – 2 42 (34%) –
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Paris FC
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Paris FC
WDWWD
Stade Brestois 29
LLWDD
Last 1 meetings Paris FC · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on May 3, 2026, Paris FC hosts Stade Brestois 29. Paris FC has shown a solid home record this season, with a win rate of approximately 60% at their stadium, emphasizing their defensive solidity with an average of only 1 goal conceded per match at home. In contrast, Stade Brestois has struggled on the road, with a mere 25% win rate in away fixtures, often faltering against teams in the upper half of the table. Key players to watch include Paris FC's leading scorer, who has consistently found the net, and Brestois's playmaker, whose creative contributions could be pivotal. Overall, Paris FC is favored to secure a crucial three points in this encounter.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Players in form

Paris FC
L. Sinayoko 4 gls
Stade Brestois 29
K. Doumbia 4 gls

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Head to Head: Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29

1 Paris FC Wins
0 Draws
0 Stade Brestois 29 Wins
Date Home Score Away
14 Sep 2025 Stade Brestois 29 1 - 2 Paris FC

Paris FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Strasbourg W 2 - 1
12 Sep H Lyon D 0 - 0
06 Sep A Marseille W 2 - 3
30 Aug H Nice W 3 - 0
22 Aug A Estac Troyes D 0 - 0

Stade Brestois 29 — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Auxerre L 2 - 1
13 Sep H Paris Saint Germain L 0 - 1
05 Sep A Le Havre W 1 - 2
29 Aug H Toulouse D 2 - 2
22 Aug A Le Mans D 2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Stade Brestois 29

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Eric Roy
30 Coudert
12 Zogbe
71 Guen
5 Chardonnet
77 Lala
13 Chotard
14 Lascary
8 Magnetti
24 Tousart
10 Castillo
19 Ajorque

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 G. Coudert G
77 K. Lala D
5 B. Chardonnet D
71 R. Le Guen D
12 L. Zogbe D
13 J. Chotard M
10 R. Del Castillo M
24 L. Tousart M
8 H. Magnetti M
14 R. Labeau Lascary M
19 L. Ajorque F

Substitutes

50 N. Jauny G
1 R. Majecki G
17 M. Balde F
4 J. M. Diaz D
33 H. Makalou M
7 J. Dina Ebimbe M
23 K. Doumbia M
99 P. Mboup F
29 S. Diop F

Paris FC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Antoine Kombouare
35 Trapp
19 Sangui
5 Mbow
42 Coppola
14 Traore
23 Matondo
18 Munetsi
27 Simon
10 Kebbal
93 Ikone
9 Geubbels

Starting XI

# Player Pos
35 K. Trapp G
14 H. Traore D
42 D. Coppola D
5 M. Mbow D
19 N. Sangui D
18 M. Munetsi M
23 R. Matondo M
93 J. Ikone M
10 I. Kebbal M
27 M. Simon M
9 W. Geubbels F

Substitutes

16 O. Nkambadio G
36 C. Immobile F
21 M. Lopez M
2 T. Ollila D
17 A. Camara M
4 V. Marchetti M
7 A. Gory F
6 Otavio D
24 L. Koleosho F

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