Lyon vs Paris FC Prédiction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

Post on X

Paris FC

Away

Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu

Prédiction IA Lyon pour gagner ou match nul

69%

22%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Lyon vs Paris FC : Sportiko estime que Lyon a 69% de chances de s'imposer, Paris FC 9% et le match nul 22%. Dernière mise à jour : 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Lyon pour gagner ou match nul

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Lyon

WWDWD

Paris FC

WDWWD

Last 2 meetings Lyon · 0W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on March 8, 2026, Lyon will host Paris FC at the Groupama Stadium. Lyon, traditionally a strong home side, has maintained an average of 2.1 goals per game this season, showcasing their offensive prowess. Conversely, Paris FC has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, which may prove detrimental against Lyon's attacking depth. Historically, Lyon has dominated this fixture, winning 70% of their recent encounters. The match will hinge on whether Paris FC can tighten their defense and capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

69%

45%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paris FC goals →

	0	1	2
0	11	5	1
1	19	9	2
2	17	8	2
3	10	5	1
4	4	2
5	1	1

↑ Lyon goals · most likely 1–0 (19.2%)

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Players in form

Lyon

P. Šulc 11 gls

C. Tolisso 11 gls

Paris FC

I. Kebbal 9 gls

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Head to Head: Lyon vs Paris FC

0 Lyon Wins

2 Draws

0 Paris FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Sep 2026	Paris FC	0 - 0	Lyon
29 Oct 2025	Paris FC	3 - 3	Lyon

Lyon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rennes	W	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Anderlecht	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Paris FC	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Auxerre	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Le Havre	D	1 - 1

Paris FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Strasbourg	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Lyon	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	A Marseille	W	2 - 3
30 Aug	H Nice	W	3 - 0
22 Aug	A Estac Troyes	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	24	4	6	74	29	+45	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66	35	+31	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52	37	+15	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53	40	+13	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63	45	+18	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59	50	+9	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60	54	+6	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58	47	+11	53
9	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3	45
10	Toulouse	33	12	8	13	47	46	+1	44
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3	44
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23	32
17	Nantes	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23	23
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44	17

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.