Torino vs Sassuolo Prédiction

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

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Sassuolo

Away

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36%

28%

36%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Torino vs Sassuolo : Sportiko estime que Torino a 36% de chances de s'imposer, Sassuolo 36% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Torino came from behind to claim a 2–1 victory over Sassuolo in Serie A matchday 36, with all the action compressed into a frantic second half after a goalless first period. Sassuolo broke the deadlock six minutes after the restart through Kristian Thorstvedt, and the visitors looked the more threatening side throughout, finishing with 18 total shots and an expected goals figure of 3.26 against Torino's 2.24.

Torino responded swiftly, however, with Giovanni Simeone levelling on 66 minutes before Marcus Pedersen put the home side ahead just four minutes later — a decisive ten-minute swing that proved to be the match's turning point. A flurry of substitutions on both sides in the final quarter disrupted the flow, and Sassuolo were unable to restore parity despite their statistical dominance.

Discipline was a recurring theme, with six yellow cards distributed across both teams, including bookings for Thorstvedt and Simeone before each was withdrawn late on. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Torino win as the most likely outcome at just 36%, a call that looked uncertain for much of the contest before Pedersen's finish proved decisive.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 38'

Luca Lipani Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Luca Marianucci Yellow Card

51' ▮

⚽ 0–1 51'

Kristian Thorstvedt assist: Luca Lipani

Alieu Njie ⇄ Duván Zapata

59' ⇄

Valentino Lazaro ⇄ Marcus Pedersen

59' ⇄

Matteo Prati Yellow Card

63' ▮

⇄ 63'

Cristian Volpato ⇄ Domenico Berardi

⇄ 63'

Luca Lipani ⇄ Ismael Koné

Giovanni Simeone assist: Enzo Ebosse

66' ⚽ 1–1

Matteo Prati ⇄ Emirhan İlkhan

67' ⇄

Marcus Pedersen

70' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 75'

Josh Doig ⇄ Ulisses Garcia

⇄ 76'

Andrea Pinamonti ⇄ M'Bala Nzola

⇄ 84'

Nemanja Matić ⇄ Darryl Bakola

▮ 86'

Kristian Thorstvedt Yellow Card

Giovanni Simeone ⇄ Sandro Kulenović

86' ⇄

Rafael Obrador ⇄ Niels Nkounkou

86' ⇄

Niels Nkounkou Yellow Card

89' ▮

Gvidas Gineitis Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

FT 2–1

Torino

Match Stats

Sassuolo

48% Ball Possession 52%

3.26 Expected Goals (xG) 2.24

18 Total Shots 13

4 Shots on Goal 7

10 Shots off Goal 3

4 Blocked Shots 3

13 Shots insidebox 10

5 Shots outsidebox 3

7 Corner Kicks 5

Offsides

13 Fouls 9

4 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

439 Total passes 482

373 Passes accurate 420

85% Passes % 87%

-0.13 goals_prevented -0.13

Torino

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
91 Duván Zapata F	8.0	31'	–	–	2	7 (3%)	–
16 Marcus Pedersen D	7.9	31'	1	–	1	2 (2%)	–
1 Alberto Paleari G	7.6	90'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	–
18 Giovanni Simeone F	7.6	86'	1	–	3	15 (11%)	–
77 Enzo Ebosse D	7.3	90'	–	1	–	71 (68%)	1
66 Gvidas Gineitis M	7.2	90'	–	–	2	37 (33%)	1
23 Saúl Coco D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	58 (55%)	2
20 Valentino Lazaro M	7.0	59'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	–
35 Luca Marianucci D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	55 (43%)	1
10 Nikola Vlašić F	6.9	90'	–	–	–	42 (34%)	2
92 Alieu Njie F	6.7	59'	–	–	2	9 (7%)	1
25 Niels Nkounkou D	6.6	9'	–	–	1	2 (2%)	1
6 Emirhan İlkhan M	6.6	23'	–	–	1	10 (10%)	1
4 Matteo Prati M	6.3	67'	–	–	1	38 (27%)	2
33 Rafael Obrador M	6.3	86'	–	–	–	35 (29%)	1
17 Sandro Kulenović F	6.3	9'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–

Sassuolo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
42 Kristian Thorstvedt M	7.9	90'	1	–	1	39 (33%)	2
7 Cristian Volpato F	7.0	63'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	1
18 Nemanja Matić M	7.0	84'	–	–	–	62 (58%)	–
6 Sebastian Walukiewicz D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	59 (57%)	2
25 Woyo Coulibaly D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	53 (49%)	3
35 Luca Lipani M	6.9	63'	–	1	1	17 (13%)	–
90 Ismael Koné M	6.6	27'	–	–	–	22 (20%)	1
23 Ulisses Garcia D	6.6	15'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	–
80 Tarik Muharemović D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	64 (58%)	–
49 Arijanet Murić G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	28 (19%)	–
45 Armand Laurienté F	6.3	90'	–	–	3	20 (15%)	1
99 Andrea Pinamonti F	6.3	76'	–	–	3	19 (15%)	–
50 Darryl Bakola M	6.3	11'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	–
10 Domenico Berardi F	6.2	27'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	–
8 M'Bala Nzola F	6.2	14'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
3 Josh Doig D	6.2	75'	–	–	–	37 (35%)	–

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Confidence Medium (57%)

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Torino

DLWLL

Sassuolo

LWDDW

Last 3 meetings Torino · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash between Torino and Sassuolo, both teams are vying for crucial points to enhance their standings. Torino, known for their solid defensive record, will look to maintain a strong home advantage, where they typically perform well. Sassuolo, on the other hand, boasts a potent attacking lineup, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, which could challenge Torino's backline. Key players for both sides will play a pivotal role; Torino's defense against Sassuolo's dynamic forwards will be crucial. Given their contrasting styles, this match could be a tactical battle, with Torino aiming to control possession while Sassuolo looks to exploit counter-attacking opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sassuolo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	11	6	3	1
1	11	13	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Torino goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Torino

No scorer data.

Sassuolo

Vasilije Adžić 3 gls

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Head to Head: Torino vs Sassuolo

1 Torino Wins

1 Draws

1 Sassuolo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Aug 2026	Sassuolo	2 - 1	Torino
21 Dec 2025	Sassuolo	0 - 1	Torino
10 Feb 2024	Sassuolo	1 - 1	Torino

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Torino — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Bologna	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H AS Roma	L	0 - 2
05 Sep	A Fiorentina	W	1 - 2
01 Sep	H Monza	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Sassuolo	L	2 - 1

Sassuolo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monza	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Juventus	W	3 - 2
06 Sep	A Bologna	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Torino	W	2 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Sassuolo

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: F. Grosso

49 Muric

3 Doig

80 Muharemovic

6 Walukiewicz

25 Coulibaly

42 Thorstvedt

18 Matic

35 Lipani

45 Lauriente

99 Pinamonti

7 Volpato

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
49	A. Muric	G
25	W. Coulibaly	D
6	S. Walukiewicz	D
80	T. Muharemovic	D
3	J. Doig	D
35	L. Lipani	M
18	N. Matic	M
42	K. Thorstvedt	M
7	C. Volpato	F
99	A. Pinamonti	F
45	A. Lauriente	F

Substitutes

12	G. Satalino	G
16	G. Zacchi	G
10	D. Berardi	F
24	L. Moro	F
90	I. Kone	M
66	Pedro Felipe	D
50	D. Bakola	M
19	F. Romagna	D
23	U. Garcia	D
8	M. Nzola	F
40	A. Vranckx	M
44	E. Iannoni	M
33	C. Frangella	M

Torino

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Leonardo Colucci

1 Paleari

77 Ebosse

23 Coco

35 Marianucci

33 Obrador

66 Gineitis

4 Prati

20 Lazaro

92 Njie

10 Vlasic

18 Simeone

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	A. Paleari	G
35	L. Marianucci	D
23	S. Coco	D
77	E. Ebosse	D
20	V. Lazaro	M
4	M. Prati	M
66	G. Gineitis	M
33	R. Obrador	M
10	N. Vlasic	F
92	A. Njie	F
18	G. Simeone	F

Substitutes

81	F. Israel	G
99	L. Siviero	G
61	A. Tameze	M
34	C. Biraghi	D
17	S. Kulenovic	F
25	N. Nkounkou	D
6	E. Ilkhan	M
91	D. Zapata	F
13	G. Maripan	D
19	C. Adams	F
16	M. Pedersen	D
22	C. Casadei	M
8	I. Ilic	M
79	Z. Savva	-
84	T. Gabellini	F