1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 Prédiction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34

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FSV Mainz 05

Away

Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour FSV Mainz 05

16%

25%

59%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic 1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 : Sportiko estime que 1. FC Heidenheim a 16% de chances de s'imposer, FSV Mainz 05 59% et le match nul 25%. Dernière mise à jour : 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Mainz 05 made a decisive start to secure a comfortable 2–0 victory away at Heidenheim on the final day of the Bundesliga regular season. Phillip Tietz struck early in the seventh minute to put the visitors ahead, and Nadiem Amiri doubled the advantage just before half-time, ensuring Mainz went into the break with a commanding two-goal cushion.

The second half saw both sides make multiple changes, with Heidenheim pushing for a way back into the contest. Despite generating the higher expected goals figure of 3.71 and registering nine shots on target, the hosts were unable to convert their opportunities. A brief flare-up midway through the half saw both Eren Dinkçi and Sheraldo Becker receive yellow cards in the 70th minute, with both subsequently substituted shortly after.

Mainz controlled possession at 53% and limited Heidenheim effectively when it mattered, holding firm to claim all three points. The result aligned with the pre-match AI model, which had rated a Mainz win as the most likely outcome at 59%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 7'

Phillip Tietz

⚽ 0–2 43'

Nadiem Amiri assist: Phillip Tietz

HT 0–2

Marvin Pieringer ⇄ Christian Joe Conteh

46' ⇄

Marnon Busch ⇄ Haktab Omar Traore

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Stefan Posch ⇄ Danny da Costa

Arijon Ibrahimović ⇄ Stefan Schimmer

65' ⇄

⇄ 68'

Silvan Widmer ⇄ Anthony Caci

⇄ 68'

Nadiem Amiri ⇄ Jae-sung Lee

Eren Dinkçi Yellow Card

70' ▮

▮ 70'

Sheraldo Becker Yellow Card

Eren Dinkçi ⇄ Mathias Honsak

73' ⇄

Niklas Dorsch ⇄ Adrian Beck

73' ⇄

⇄ 77'

Sheraldo Becker ⇄ Lennard Maloney

⇄ 84'

Phillip Tietz ⇄ Nelson Weiper

FT 0–2

1. FC Heidenheim

Match Stats

FSV Mainz 05

53% Ball Possession 47%

2.53 Expected Goals (xG) 3.71

15 Total Shots 15

5 Shots on Goal 9

6 Shots off Goal 4

4 Blocked Shots 2

12 Shots insidebox 10

3 Shots outsidebox 5

6 Corner Kicks 3

3 Offsides 1

8 Fouls 12

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 5

428 Total passes 389

345 Passes accurate 302

81% Passes % 78%

2.06 goals_prevented 2.06

1. FC Heidenheim

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
40 Frank Feller G	8.7	90'	–	–	–	30 (25%)	1
11 Budu Zivzivadze F	7.5	90'	–	–	4	11 (10%)	2
6 Patrick Mainka D	7.2	90'	–	–	2	48 (40%)	–
19 Jonas Föhrenbach D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	68 (63%)	3
8 Eren Dinkçi M	7.0	73'	–	–	1	23 (16%)	–
30 Niklas Dorsch M	6.9	73'	–	–	–	40 (37%)	1
17 Mathias Honsak F	6.9	17'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	1
23 Haktab Omar Traore D	6.9	45'	–	–	–	21 (14%)	2
21 Adrian Beck M	6.9	17'	–	–	–	17 (16%)	1
3 Jan Schöppner M	6.7	90'	–	–	1	46 (29%)	4
2 Marnon Busch D	6.6	45'	–	–	–	19 (14%)	1
9 Stefan Schimmer F	6.6	25'	–	–	1	–	2
22 Arijon Ibrahimović M	6.5	65'	–	–	1	23 (16%)	–
26 Hennes Behrens D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	49 (40%)	2
18 Marvin Pieringer F	6.3	45'	–	–	1	10 (7%)	–
10 Christian Joe Conteh F	6.3	45'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	–

FSV Mainz 05

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
33 Daniel Batz G	9.3	90'	–	–	–	37 (22%)	–
48 Kacper Potulski D	8.5	90'	–	–	2	40 (34%)	2
10 Nadiem Amiri M	8.3	68'	1	–	3	44 (36%)	2
30 Silvan Widmer M	7.3	68'	–	–	–	23 (20%)	3
2 Phillipp Mwene M	7.3	90'	–	–	–	40 (35%)	3
21 Danny da Costa D	7.2	45'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	1
6 Kaishu Sano M	7.0	90'	–	–	1	37 (30%)	1
4 Stefan Posch D	6.9	45'	–	–	–	26 (18%)	–
31 Dominik Kohr D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	32 (28%)	3
23 Sheraldo Becker F	6.9	77'	–	–	2	17 (14%)	–
20 Phillip Tietz F	6.9	84'	1	1	2	26 (18%)	1
7 Jae-sung Lee M	6.7	22'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	2
15 Lennard Maloney M	6.6	13'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
19 Anthony Caci D	6.6	22'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
44 Nelson Weiper F	6.5	10'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
8 Paul Nebel M	6.3	90'	–	–	2	33 (25%)	1

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Confidence Medium (55%)

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Victoire ou match nul difficile pour FSV Mainz 05

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1. FC Heidenheim

DWWWL

FSV Mainz 05

WLWDW

Last 3 meetings 1. FC Heidenheim · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash on May 16, 2026, 1. FC Heidenheim hosts FSV Mainz 05. Heidenheim, having shown resilience at home, will look to leverage their solid defensive record, conceding an average of just 1.2 goals per match. Mainz 05, meanwhile, has struggled on the road, with a win rate of only 25% away from home this season. Key players to watch include Heidenheim's top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Mainz’s playmaker, who leads the team in assists. This match could be pivotal for both teams as they aim to secure crucial points in the relegation battle.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FSV Mainz 05 goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	16	13	7	3	1
1	7	11	9	5	2	1
2	2	4	3	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ 1. FC Heidenheim goals · most likely 0–1 (15.6%)

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Players in form

1. FC Heidenheim

No scorer data.

FSV Mainz 05

P. Tietz 4 gls

S. Becker 2 gls

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Head to Head: 1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05

1 1. FC Heidenheim Wins

0 Draws

2 FSV Mainz 05 Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Jan 2026	FSV Mainz 05	2 - 1	1. FC Heidenheim
16 Feb 2025	1. FC Heidenheim	0 - 2	FSV Mainz 05
28 Sep 2024	FSV Mainz 05	0 - 2	1. FC Heidenheim

Voir les 5 confrontations — Premium

1. FC Heidenheim — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Arminia Bielefeld	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Holstein Kiel	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A SpVgg Greuther Fürth	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Dynamo Dresden	W	5 - 3
23 Aug	A SSV Jeddeloh	L	5 - 2

FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 4
12 Sep	H Eintracht Frankfurt	L	1 - 3
06 Sep	A Hamburger SV	W	0 - 5
29 Aug	H SC Paderborn 07	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Krieschow	W	0 - 9

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0