FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln Prédiction
Pronostic FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln : Sportiko estime que FC St. Pauli a 44% de chances de s'imposer, 1. FC Köln 25% et le match nul 31%. Dernière mise à jour : 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
A goalless first half gave way to a dramatic second period in Hamburg, as FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Köln shared the points in a 1–1 Bundesliga draw. Both sides made early second-half changes, with Köln introducing Jan Thielmann and St. Pauli bringing on Ragnar Ache, but it was the visitors who broke the deadlock when Karol Mets headed Köln in front on 69 minutes.
St. Pauli pushed back immediately, and their pressure was rewarded when VAR confirmed a penalty in the 84th minute. Luca Waldschmidt stepped up two minutes later to level proceedings and rescue a point for the hosts. The closing stages turned fractious, with four yellow cards distributed in a chaotic 87th minute and a further booking deep into stoppage time.
The statistics told a story of St. Pauli dominance that the scoreline only partially reflected — the hosts registered six shots on target to Köln's one and carried an expected goals figure of 2.01. Our pre-match AI model had rated a St. Pauli win as the most likely outcome at 44%, a call that came close to being vindicated.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
FC St. Pauli
Match Stats
FC St. Pauli
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Hauke Wahl D | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 62 (56%) | – |
| 7 Jackson Irvine M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (32%) | 1 |
| 20 Mathias Rasmussen M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (40%) | 1 |
| 10 Danel Sinani F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (28%) | – |
| 3 Karol Mets D | 6.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 59 (50%) | – |
| 11 Arkadiusz Pyrka M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | 2 |
| 28 Mathias Pereira Lage F | 6.6 | 87' | – | – | 2 | 13 (9%) | 2 |
| 27 Andreas Hountondji F | 6.6 | 77' | – | – | 3 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 21 Lars Ritzka M | 6.6 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 28 (22%) | – |
| 15 Tomoya Ando D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 45 (38%) | 4 |
| 19 Martijn Kaars F | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 2 Manolis Saliakas D | 6.3 | 25' | – | – | – | 15 (8%) | 1 |
| 22 Nikola Vasilj G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (21%) | – |
| 24 Connor Metcalfe M | 6.2 | 13' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | 1 |
1. FC Köln
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Marvin Schwäbe G | 8.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (34%) | – |
| 39 Cenk Özkaçar D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 66 (57%) | 2 |
| 32 Kristoffer Lund D | 7.2 | 20' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | 1 |
| 16 Jakub Kamiński M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (27%) | – |
| 18 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson M | 7.2 | 79' | – | – | – | 44 (36%) | 5 |
| 30 Marius Bülter F | 7.2 | 39' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| 7 Luca Waldschmidt F | 7.0 | 11' | 1 | – | 1 | 12 (7%) | – |
| 22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 77 (63%) | – |
| 6 Eric Martel M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (47%) | 4 |
| 29 Jan Thielmann M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 9 (5%) | – |
| 37 Linton Maina M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 17 (16%) | – |
| 28 Sebastian Sebulonsen D | 6.3 | 79' | – | – | – | 36 (29%) | – |
| 13 Said El Mala F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 12 (11%) | – |
| 17 Alessio Castro-Montes D | 6.3 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 17 (10%) | 2 |
| 27 Felipe Chávez M | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 9 Ragnar Ache F | 6.2 | 51' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec 2025 | 1. FC Köln | 1 - 1 | FC St. Pauli |
| 29 Jan 2011 | FC St. Pauli | 3 - 0 | 1. FC Köln |
| 12 Sep 2010 | 1. FC Köln | 1 - 0 | FC St. Pauli |
FC St. Pauli — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Energie Cottbus | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H VfL Wolfsburg | W | 1 - 0 |
| 04 Sep | A Arminia Bielefeld | D | 2 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L | 1 - 2 |
| 23 Aug | A Rot-Weiß Essen | L | 2 - 0 |
1. FC Köln — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Hamburger SV | L | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Werder Bremen | D | 1 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | A VfB Stuttgart | L | 4 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H 1899 Hoffenheim | W | 3 - 2 |
| 24 Aug | A Würzburger Kickers | W | 1 - 2 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
FC St. Pauli
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Alexander Blessin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | N. Vasilj | G |
| 15 | T. Ando | D |
| 5 | H. Wahl | D |
| 3 | K. Mets | D |
| 11 | A. Pyrka | M |
| 20 | M. Rasmussen | M |
| 7 | J. Irvine | M |
| 21 | L. Ritzka | M |
| 10 | D. Sinani | F |
| 28 | M. Pereira Lage | F |
| 27 | A. Hountondji | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | B. A. Voll | G |
| 2 | M. Saliakas | D |
| 25 | A. Dzwigala | D |
| 4 | D. Nemeth | D |
| 19 | M. Kaars | F |
| 18 | T. Hara | F |
| 24 | C. Metcalfe | M |
| 23 | L. Oppie | D |
| 9 | A. Ceesay | F |
1. FC Köln
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Lukas Kwasniok
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Schwabe | G |
| 28 | S. Sebulonsen | D |
| 22 | J. Simpson-Pusey | D |
| 39 | C. Ozkacar | D |
| 17 | A. Castro-Montes | D |
| 29 | J. Thielmann | M |
| 18 | I. Johannesson | M |
| 6 | E. Martel | M |
| 16 | J. Kaminski | M |
| 9 | R. Ache | F |
| 13 | S. El Mala | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | R. Zieler | G |
| 7 | L. Waldschmidt | F |
| 37 | L. Maina | M |
| 32 | K. Lund | D |
| 27 | F. Chavez | M |
| 30 | M. Bulter | F |
| 5 | T. Krauss | M |
| 2 | J. Schmied | D |
| 33 | R. van den Berg | D |