Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Prédiction
Pronostic Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen : Sportiko estime que Borussia Dortmund a 72% de chances de s'imposer, Bayer Leverkusen 10% et le match nul 18%. Dernière mise à jour : 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Borussia Dortmund suffered a frustrating home defeat to Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga Matchday 29, with the visitors securing a 0–1 victory thanks to a goal just before half-time on 42 minutes. Dortmund had started the match on the back foot early, with Ramy Bensebaini picking up a yellow card in the fifth minute, and Serhou Guirassy was also booked on the stroke of half-time, leaving the hosts with a difficult second half ahead.
Despite dominating possession at 53% and generating 14 total shots, Dortmund managed only one shot on target — a damning statistic that underlined their inability to convert pressure into genuine chances. Leverkusen, by contrast, were clinical, registering four shots on target from 11 total efforts. The expected goals figures told a similar story, with Dortmund recording 1.30 xG against Leverkusen's 0.63, yet the scoreline reflected the visitors' greater efficiency. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Dortmund win as most likely at 72%, a call that proved well wide of the mark.
Both managers turned to their benches heavily in the second half, with multiple substitutions from each side unable to alter the outcome. Leverkusen held firm to claim all three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Borussia Dortmund
Match Stats
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nico Schlotterbeck D | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 88 (84%) | 2 |
| 3 Waldemar Anton D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 87 (80%) | 6 |
| 26 Julian Ryerson M | 7.3 | 75' | – | – | – | 38 (36%) | – |
| 17 Carney Chukwuemeka M | 7.2 | 26' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | – |
| 7 Jobe Bellingham M | 7.0 | 76' | – | – | – | 54 (47%) | 3 |
| 6 Salih Özcan M | 6.9 | 14' | – | – | – | 20 (19%) | 1 |
| 20 Marcel Sabitzer M | 6.9 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 34 (32%) | – |
| 10 Julian Brandt M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 44 (39%) | 1 |
| 42 Almugera Kabar D | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 1 Gregor Kobel G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (25%) | – |
| 24 Daniel Svensson M | 6.7 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 12 (12%) | 1 |
| 21 Fábio Silva F | 6.7 | 64' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | – |
| 40 Samuele Inacio F | 6.6 | 26' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | 1 |
| 14 Maximilian Beier F | 6.5 | 31' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | 3 |
| 9 Serhou Guirassy F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 19 (14%) | – |
| 5 Ramy Bensebaini D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 65 (59%) | 1 |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Loïc Badé D | 8.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (50%) | 2 |
| 8 Robert Andrich D | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 48 (42%) | 2 |
| 24 Aleix García M | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 92 (88%) | 2 |
| 25 Exequiel Palacios M | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 85 (80%) | 2 |
| 12 Edmond Tapsoba D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (54%) | 2 |
| 20 Alejandro Grimaldo M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 49 (40%) | 3 |
| 30 Ibrahim Maza F | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 35 (28%) | 1 |
| 21 Lucas Vázquez D | 6.9 | 16' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | – |
| 1 M. Flekken G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (20%) | – |
| 42 Montrell Culbreath M | 6.6 | 74' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | 1 |
| 23 Nathan Tella F | 6.5 | 74' | – | – | – | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 19 Ernest Poku F | 6.3 | 16' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 14 Patrik Schick F | 6.2 | 36' | – | – | 2 | 8 (8%) | 1 |
| 35 Christian Kofane F | 6.0 | 54' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 10 Malik Tillman M | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
S. Guirassy
2 gls
F. Nmecha
2 gls
P. Schick
4 gls
Christian Kofane
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 - 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 11 May 2025 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 - 4 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 10 Jan 2025 | Borussia Dortmund | 2 - 3 | Bayer Leverkusen |
Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A VfB Stuttgart | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H SC Paderborn 07 | W | 3 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | H Villarreal | W | 3 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A 1899 Hoffenheim | W | 2 - 3 |
| 01 Sep | A HEBC | W | 0 - 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H RB Leipzig | W | 2 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Celje | W | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A FC Augsburg | D | 2 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | H Union Berlin | W | 4 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | A SV Elversberg | L | 3 - 2 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
Borussia Dortmund
Formation: 3-5-1-1
Coach: N. Kovač
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Kobel | G |
| 3 | W. Anton | D |
| 4 | N. Schlotterbeck | D |
| 5 | R. Bensebaini | D |
| 26 | J. Ryerson | M |
| 20 | M. Sabitzer | M |
| 7 | J. Bellingham | M |
| 10 | J. Brandt | M |
| 24 | D. Svensson | M |
| 21 | F. Silva | F |
| 9 | S. Guirassy | F |
Substitutes
| 33 | A. Meyer | G |
| 25 | N. Sule | D |
| 14 | M. Beier | F |
| 40 | S. Inacio | F |
| 49 | L. Reggiani | D |
| 41 | M. Albert | F |
| 6 | S. Ozcan | M |
| 17 | C. Chukwuemeka | M |
| 42 | A. Kabar | D |
Bayer Leverkusen
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Kasper Hjulmand
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Flekken | G |
| 8 | R. Andrich | D |
| 5 | L. Bade | D |
| 12 | E. Tapsoba | D |
| 42 | M. Culbreath | M |
| 25 | E. Palacios | M |
| 24 | A. Garcia | M |
| 20 | A. Grimaldo | M |
| 30 | I. Maza | F |
| 23 | N. Tella | F |
| 35 | C. Kofane | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | J. Blaswich | G |
| 14 | P. Schick | F |
| 21 | Lucas | D |
| 6 | E. Fernandez | M |
| 15 | T. Oermann | D |
| 7 | J. Hofmann | M |
| 10 | M. Tillman | M |
| 19 | E. Poku | F |
| 17 | E. Ben Seghir | F |