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HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu Prédiction

Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 32

LIVE 45'

Post on X

AC Oulu

Away

Bolt Arena, Helsinki

Prédiction IA HJK Helsinki pour gagner ou match nul

78%

15%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu : Sportiko estime que HJK Helsinki a 78% de chances de s'imposer, AC Oulu 7% et le match nul 15%. Dernière mise à jour : 8 Nov 2026, 12:00.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 10'

C. Triana assist: N. Jokelainen

⇄ 24'

Miguel Santos

⚽ 0–2 26'

M. Bogićević Own Goal

▮ 39'

M. Pitkänen Yellow Card

⇄ 39'

C. Triana ⇄ R. Riski

▮ 45+2'

J. Pirinen Yellow Card

HJK Helsinki

Match Stats

AC Oulu

58% Ball Possession 42%

1.09 Expected Goals (xG) 0.09

14 Total Shots 2

1 Shots on Goal 2

6 Shots off Goal 0

7 Blocked Shots 0

12 Shots insidebox 0

2 Shots outsidebox 2

3 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 1

4 Fouls 9

0 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 1

326 Total passes 175

287 Passes accurate 133

9 Free Kicks 3

HJK Helsinki

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 P. Mentu M	7.2	45'	–	–	–	41 (39%)	1
7 Alfie Cicale M	6.8	45'	–	–	2	29 (25%)	1
9 M. Borchers F	6.7	45'	–	–	5	15 (12%)	1
17 N. Alho D	6.7	45'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	–
6 V. Tikkanen D	6.6	45'	–	–	1	55 (52%)	–
13 K. Simojoki D	6.5	45'	–	–	1	34 (32%)	1
4 A. Ring M	6.5	45'	–	–	3	39 (34%)	–
22 L. Möller M	6.2	45'	–	–	2	18 (14%)	1
29 S. Haarala M	6.0	45'	–	–	–	18 (13%)	1
31 M. Bogićević D	5.7	45'	–	–	–	40 (36%)	1
30 Jasper Samooja G	5.7	45'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–

AC Oulu

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 C. Triana F	7.8	39'	1	–	1	5 (4%)	–
14 N. Jokelainen M	7.7	45'	–	1	–	30 (29%)	–
22 T. Kaukua D	7.1	45'	–	–	–	13 (9%)	2
Seamus Maughan	6.9	21'	–	–	–	12 (1%)	–
11 L. Ghezali M	6.8	45'	–	–	1	11 (8%)	1
30 J. Makelainen M	6.8	45'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	3
66 J. Pirinen D	6.7	45'	–	–	–	28 (24%)	1
25 M. Arsalo M	6.6	45'	–	–	–	22 (17%)	1
16 O. Kemppainen D	6.6	45'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
9 R. Riski F	6.5	6'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
7 R. Karjalainen F	6.5	45'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
13 Miguel Santos G	6.4	24'	–	–	–	9 (5%)	–
5 M. Pitkänen D	6.2	45'	–	–	–	17 (13%)	–

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Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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HJK Helsinki

WWDWW

AC Oulu

WDWWL

Last 3 meetings HJK Helsinki · 2W 0D 1L

Live insights

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-2. AC Oulu leads. Win probability: 65.9%. Over 0.5 more goals: 83.9%.

28' Goal 85% sure

AC Oulu now leads 0-2 with 54.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 91.5%.

10' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. AC Oulu win: 24.3%. BTTS: 92.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

78%

45%

Draw

15%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

HJK Helsinki

M. Borchers 15 gls

T. Pukki 4 gls

S. Haarala 4 gls

Alfie Cicale 3 gls

AC Oulu

R. Karjalainen 4 gls

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Head to Head: HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu

2 HJK Helsinki Wins

0 Draws

1 AC Oulu Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Oct 2026	AC Oulu	3 - 4	HJK Helsinki
09 Aug 2026	AC Oulu	0 - 1	HJK Helsinki
14 Mar 2026	AC Oulu	2 - 1	HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Nov	A VPS	W	0 - 4
29 Oct	A Inter Turku	W	2 - 4
25 Oct	H KuPS	D	2 - 2
17 Oct	H Gnistan	W	4 - 0
12 Oct	A AC Oulu	W	3 - 4

AC Oulu — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Nov	H KuPS	W	2 - 0
28 Oct	H VPS	D	0 - 0
24 Oct	A Gnistan	W	3 - 4
17 Oct	A Inter Turku	W	1 - 2
12 Oct	H HJK Helsinki	L	3 - 4

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	HJK Helsinki	31	17	7	7	63	36	+27	58
2	Inter Turku	31	16	10	5	41	27	+14	58
3	KuPS	31	14	11	6	46	31	+15	53
4	AC Oulu	31	14	5	12	38	37	+1	47
5	Gnistan	31	11	10	10	47	46	+1	43
6	VPS	31	11	7	13	31	38	-7	40

Relegration Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	27	11	6	10	35	26	+9	39
2	Ilves	27	11	5	11	45	39	+6	38
3	Turku PS	27	8	8	11	29	33	-4	32
4	SJK	27	6	9	12	29	37	-8	27
5	FF Jaro	27	4	9	14	22	49	-27	21
6	Mariehamn	27	4	7	16	22	49	-27	19

HJK Helsinki

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Rantanen

30 Samooja

13 Simojoki

6 Tikkanen

31 Bogićević

17 Alho

8 Mentu

4 Ring

7 Cicale

29 Haarala

22 Möller

9 Borchers

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	J. Samooja	G
17	N. Alho	D
31	M. Bogićević	D
6	V. Tikkanen	D
13	K. Simojoki	D
4	A. Ring	M
8	P. Mentu	M
22	L. Möller	M
29	S. Haarala	M
7	Alfie Cicale	M
9	M. Borchers	F

Substitutes

77	J. Veteli	M
10	L. Lingman	M
32	Mouhamed Guèye II	M
11	M. Kirilov	M
3	T. Cissokho	D
14	L. Montano	D
12	M. Haapanen	G
20	T. Pukki	F
26	L. Lappalainen	F

AC Oulu

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: M. Isokangas

13 Santos

22 Kaukua

66 Pirinen

5 Pitkänen

16 Kemppainen

11 Ghezali

14 Jokelainen

25 Arsalo

30 Makelainen

7 Karjalainen

10 Triana

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Miguel Santos	G
16	O. Kemppainen	D
5	M. Pitkänen	D
66	J. Pirinen	D
22	T. Kaukua	D
30	J. Makelainen	M
25	M. Arsalo	M
14	N. Jokelainen	M
11	L. Ghezali	M
10	C. Triana	F
7	R. Karjalainen	F

Substitutes

9	R. Riski	F
18	Adramane Cassamá	D
29	S. Silander	D
3	J. Lietsa	D
2	S. Sipola	D
36	J. Lotvonen	M
40	J. Korhonen	M
8	M. Ojala	M
62	Tobias Backman	G