Viking vs Sabah FA Prédiction

UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4

Post on X

Sabah FA

Away

Lyse Arena, Stavanger

Prédiction IA Viking pour gagner ou match nul

69%

19%

13%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Viking vs Sabah FA : Sportiko estime que Viking a 69% de chances de s'imposer, Sabah FA 13% et le match nul 19%. Dernière mise à jour : 4 Nov 2026, 21:55.

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Plus de 2,5 buts 71%

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Match Report

Viking secured a comfortable 4–1 victory over Sabah FA in their UEFA Champions League league stage fixture, though the match was far more competitive than the scoreline suggests. Sabah drew first blood through P. Mbina in the 11th minute, but Viking levelled before the break when Erik Botheim converted in the 27th minute. The visitors actually edged possession and shots throughout, with an expected goals figure of 2.48 compared to Viking's 1.51, underlining how the home side made their opportunities count more efficiently.

The second half proved decisive. Zlatko Tripić missed a penalty in the 69th minute but immediately made amends by converting from open play moments later to put Viking ahead. Sabah's task became near-impossible in the 77th minute when A. McCarthy was shown a red card, confirmed by VAR, reducing them to ten men. Henrik Sælebakke Falchener extended the lead in the 81st minute before Botheim added a fourth deep into stoppage time to seal the result.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Viking win as most likely at 69%, a call that proved correct despite Sabah's statistical dominance for long stretches of the contest.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Kristoffer Haugen Yellow Card

2' ▮

⚽ 0–1 11'

P. Mbina assist: U. Rahmonaliyev

Gianni Stensness Yellow Card

18' ▮

Erik Botheim assist: Kristoffer Haugen

27' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 33'

V. Simić ⇄ J. Mickels

▮ 36'

U. Rahmonaliyev Yellow Card

HT 1–1

Henrik Heggheim ⇄ Herman Johan Haugen

56' ⇄

Henrik Bjørdal ⇄ Peter Christiansen

56' ⇄

Kristoffer Haugen ⇄ Vetle Auklend

66' ⇄

Zlatko Tripić Missed Penalty

69' ✗

Zlatko Tripić

69' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 70'

P. Mbina

⇄ 71'

Christian Nwachukwu ⇄ Du Queiroz

⇄ 71'

Abdulakh Khaybulaev ⇄ X. Severina

▮ 77'

A. McCarthy Red Card

🖵 77'

A. McCarthy Card upgrade confirmed

⇄ 79'

U. Rahmonaliyev ⇄ Rahman Dashdamirov

Henrik Sælebakke Falchener assist: Zlatko Tripić

81' ⚽ 3–1

Simen Kvia-Egeskog ⇄ Niklas Kemp Fuglestad

86' ⇄

Tobias Moi ⇄ Jakob Segadal Hansen

86' ⇄

▮ 87'

J. Mickels Yellow Card

Erik Botheim assist: Peter Christiansen

90+4' ⚽ 4–1

FT 4–1

Viking

Match Stats

Sabah FA

51% Ball Possession 49%

2.48 Expected Goals (xG) 1.51

21 Total Shots 16

8 Shots on Goal 4

7 Shots off Goal 6

6 Blocked Shots 6

15 Shots insidebox 6

6 Shots outsidebox 10

10 Corner Kicks 6

4 Offsides 3

5 Fouls 9

2 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 4

456 Total passes 458

370 Passes accurate 367

8 Free Kicks 5

Viking

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Zlatko Tripić M	9.0	90'	1	1	5	42 (36%)	2
22 Erik Botheim F	8.7	90'	2	–	4	14 (11%)	2
25 Henrik Sælebakke Falchener D	7.7	90'	1	–	2	53 (45%)	2
20 Peter Christiansen F	7.1	34'	–	1	3	9 (7%)	–
5 Henrik Heggheim D	6.9	56'	–	–	–	29 (26%)	1
2 Herman Johan Haugen D	6.8	34'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	2
6 Gianni Stensness D	6.7	90'	–	–	2	64 (56%)	1
23 Niklas Kemp Fuglestad F	6.6	4'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	–
1 Arild Østbø G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	34 (26%)	–
7 Kristoffer Askildsen M	6.5	90'	–	–	1	44 (32%)	4
26 Simen Kvia-Egeskog M	6.4	86'	–	–	2	32 (25%)	1
29 Tobias Moi M	6.4	86'	–	–	–	44 (39%)	–
28 Kristoffer Haugen D	6.3	66'	–	1	–	34 (26%)	2
33 Jakob Segadal Hansen M	6.3	4'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
24 Vetle Auklend D	6.1	24'	–	–	1	9 (6%)	–
16 Henrik Bjørdal M	5.8	56'	–	–	–	28 (18%)	–

Sabah FA

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
99 P. Mbina F	7.8	70'	1	–	2	7 (3%)	–
7 U. Rahmonaliyev M	6.8	79'	–	1	2	48 (38%)	–
27 T. Puchacz D	6.6	90'	–	–	3	48 (40%)	1
3 Steve Solvet D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	42 (34%)	–
92 S. Pokatilov G	6.4	90'	–	–	–	31 (19%)	–
20 J. Mickels F	6.4	57'	–	–	2	16 (13%)	–
Seamus Maughan	6.3	20'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
13 I. Lepinjica M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	62 (50%)	3
80 A. Zedadka D	6.1	90'	–	–	2	54 (47%)	2
8 Christian Nwachukwu M	6.0	71'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	1
34 X. Severina M	5.9	19'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–
6 Abdulakh Khaybulaev M	5.9	71'	–	–	2	31 (26%)	1
37 Du Queiroz M	5.8	19'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
21 V. Simić M	5.7	33'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	–
5 Rahman Dashdamirov D	5.6	11'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–
4 A. McCarthy D	5.3	77'	–	–	1	43 (37%)	1

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Confidence Medium (69%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Viking pour gagner ou match nul

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Viking

WLWLW

Sabah FA

LLLWW

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Viking now leads 4-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Viking leads 3-1. Win probability: 99.8%. Comeback chance: 0.2%.

82' Goal 85% sure

Viking now leads 3-1 with 99.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 26.7%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Viking leads 2-1. Win probability: 89.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 10.5%.

70' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Viking win: 88.1%. BTTS: 100%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

69%

45%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

13%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Viking

Z. Tripić 4 gls

Sabah FA

J. Mickels 4 gls

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Head to Head: Viking vs Sabah FA

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Viking — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Nov	H Sabah FA	W	4 - 1
30 Oct	A Bodo/Glimt	L	3 - 2
25 Oct	H Tromso	W	3 - 1
21 Oct	A Aston Villa	L	3 - 1
17 Oct	H Fredrikstad	W	3 - 2

Sabah FA — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Nov	A Viking	L	4 - 1
30 Oct	A Turan	L	3 - 2
20 Oct	H Borussia Dortmund	L	1 - 2
17 Oct	A Qabala	W	0 - 4
13 Oct	H Slavia Praha	W	2 - 0

UEFA Champions League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	20	5	+15	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	13	7	+6	12
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	8	3	+5	10
4	Como	4	3	0	1	19	6	+13	9
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	14	6	+8	9
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	12	6	+6	9
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	12	7	+5	9
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	14	10	+4	9
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	11	7	+4	9
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	8	4	+4	9
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	8	6	+2	9
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	7	5	+2	9
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	12	5	+7	8
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	7	4	+3	7
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	8	6	+2	6
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	10	9	+1	6
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	8	8	0	6
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	8	9	-1	6
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	6	11	-5	5
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	10	8	+2	4
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	4	4	0	4
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	9	10	-1	4
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	4	5	-1	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	4	9	-5	4
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	6	7	-1	3
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	6	11	-5	3
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	8	14	-6	3
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	4	10	-6	3
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	4	11	-7	3
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	4	16	-12	3
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	5	9	-4	1
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	4	10	-6	1
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	1	17	-16	0

Sabah FA

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: V. Dambrauskas

92 Pokatilov

27 Puchacz

4 McCarthy

3 Solvet

80 Zedadka

13 Lepinjica

7 Rahmonaliyev

21 Simić

6 Xaybulayev

8 Nwachukwu

99 Mbina

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
92	S. Pokatilov	G
80	A. Zedadka	D
3	S. Solvet	D
4	A. McCarthy	D
27	T. Puchacz	D
7	U. Rahmonaliyev	M
13	I. Lepinjica	M
8	C. Nwachukwu	M
6	A. Xaybulayev	M
21	V. Simić	M
99	P. Mbina	F

Substitutes

10	A. Isaev	M
33	Erivaldo Almeida	D
88	Rodrigo Fernandes	M
37	Du Queiroz	M
34	X. Severina	M
1	A. Ramazanov	G
11	K. Parris	M
20	J. Mickels	F
17	T. Mütəllimov	D
94	R. Mirzəmmədov	G
9	K. Aliyev	M
5	R. Daşdəmirov	D

Viking

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: B. Aarsheim

1 Østbø

28 Haugen

25 Falchener

6 Stensness

5 Heggheim

29 Moi

7 Askildsen

10 Tripić

26 Kvia-Egeskog

16 Bjørdal

22 Botheim

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	A. Østbø	G
5	H. Heggheim	D
6	G. Stensness	D
25	H. Falchener	D
28	K. Haugen	D
7	K. Askildsen	M
29	T. Moi	M
16	H. Bjørdal	M
26	S. Kvia-Egeskog	M
10	Z. Tripić	M
22	E. Botheim	F

Substitutes

17	E. Bassey	D
24	Vetle Auklend	D
30	Ľ. Belko	G
8	J. Bell	M
20	P. Christiansen	F
19	A. Cosic	F
27	J. Daland	D
23	N. Fuglestad	F
33	J. Hansen	M
2	H. Haugen	D
11	R. Postema	F
3	V. Vevatne	D